Book Making

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Why Book Makers Love for bettors to bet on TV games. Hints on what you should.

Do when Betting NFL football TV or  Not betting TV, That is the Question.

How to Win Both

Many people insist o­n picking the "little guys", that is small conferences in college because he feels the big league games involving celebrated teams "everyone knows about".

That can be very true….and also very false.

Knowing the pros and cons of each is o­ne of the many pieces of ammunition that a player can use for lucrative betting. Firs, let’s start by examining how smart money affects higher profile games, as well as the more obscure matchups.

Players who are “in the know” bet on every sport and know that they can make as much money betting o­n UC Davis as UCLA.  Recreational players like to bet o­n games that they will watch on television and that everybody will be talking about, come Monday morning.  Take that one step further, to the hunch player and parlay card type gambler, who makes selections o­n games in which they have some level of insight.  Almost 99 percent of these cases are marquee match-ups and nationally televised games.

Pick any bookmaker.  Whether they are in Costa Rica, Las Vegas, or it is Vinny the Local driving around in his van with a cell phone, ask them whether they will book more bets on UCLA-USC or Eastern Michigan-Toledo. Even in the heart of MAC country, the big match-up will generate more interest.   The important question is…what does it mean to the gambler?

A line will move  a lot more in a mid-major conference when the “smart money” is bet, than it will o­n a MNF game.  This is because the potential to balance out the action is much higher in a major contest.  A sportsbook might take $250,000 in action on a MNF game, therefore a $4,000 bet is easier to offset than in that game than, say between Idaho and North Texas, where there might be only $500 worth of action o­n the other side before moving the line.

In the games in which sportsbooks are not getting a high amount of volume, books can be much more dynamic in moving the line.  In the supposed situation above, there was not a lot of money bet on the Idaho-North Texas, but the “smart money” moved the line. 

Bookmakers combat the smart money by adding juice instead of points, which too many non-professional players disregard, but smart players know they can get the same line for the standard juice.

A smart handicapper closely examines each line move. They look at whether or not the injuries were taken into consideration when the opening line came out.  In other words, were the key players considered "questionable" o­nly to have their status downgraded or were these injuries that happened in practice long after the lines were posted?.