Monthly Archives - October 2014

Cleveland Browns Vs Pittsburgh Steelers Spread & ATS Pick

Baltimore vs. Pittsburgh Sunday Night Football Betting Pick

One of the best rivalries in the league hits the field for NFL week 9’s edition of Sunday Night Football on NBC when Baltimore (5-3, 2-2 away) travels to the Steel City to take on Pittsburgh (5-3, 3-1 home) in a matchup that could decide the outcome of the AFC North.

Many have looked at the Ravens as a powerhouse this season and the Steelers as a weaker franchise, and maybe that’s the case. It certainly looked that way in Week 2, when the Ravens took home an overwhelming win over their Pennsylvania rivals. These two teams are coming in with identical records, though, and the so-called almighty Baltimore franchise is going to be recovering from an expected but rattling nonetheless loss to the Cincinnati Bengals last Sunday.

Baltimore Stats Leaders

  • Passing: Flacco – 173-279, 2049 yds, 14 tds
  • Rushing: Forsett – 104 car, 571 yds, 3 tds
  • Receiving: Smith – 41 rec, 675 yds, 4 tds

Pittsburgh Leaders

  • Passing: Roethlisberger – 206-301, 2380 yds, 16 tds
  • Rushing: Bell – 141 car, 691 yds, 1 td
  • Receiving: Brown – 60 rec, 852 yds, 7 tds

Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers
Date: Sunday, Nov. 2nd
Time: 8:30 p.m. (EST)
Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
Stadium: Heinz Field
TV Info: NBC
Point Spread: EVEN
Total: 48

Ravens Vs Steelers Sunday Night Football Betting Pick Analysis:

Football handicappers should expect nothing less than an even betting line when Baltimore and Pittsburgh take to the grid-iron against each other. In the 2011-2012 NFL Season, Baltimore covered in both games, but one was a 23 to 20 victory and Baltimore was receiving 3.5 points. In the 2012-2013 NFL Season, the season where Baltimore won the Super Bowl, the Ravens and Steelers pushed in one game and the Steelers covered in the other game. In the 2013-2014 NFL Season, Pittsburgh covered in both contests, 16 to 19 in one game and 22 to 20 in the other.

That’s how close these two teams play each other. Baltimore did beat Pittsburgh 26 to 6 in the first meeting between these two, but that Pittsburgh team was much different than this Pittsburgh team. The Steelers have won two games in a row, a crazy 23 to 20 victory over Houston and an incredibly impressive 51 to 34 beat down of Indianapolis.

Ben Roethlisberger was phenomenal in the win over the Colts. He completed 81.6% of his passes and threw for 522 yards and 6 touchdowns. He secured a perfect 150 QB rating. The man was just unreal. He was so unreal, in fact, that it’s hard to imagine Big Ben coming within a smidgen of being as good against Baltimore as he was against the Colts.

Baltimore’s defense should be the deciding factor in this game. Even though Pittsburgh has a much better offense, the Steelers average 25.6 points and 418.2 yards per game, Baltimore has the better defense. The Ravens allow opponents to score only 16.4 points per game against it on average. That ranks Baltimore second in the points allowed per game, but it doesn’t allow a lot of points. What it means is that opponents move the ball against the Ravens, but more often than not they have to settle for either a field goal or punt the ball back to Baltimore.y. Opponents rush for 90.4 yards against the Ravens’ D.
Baltimore does give up a lot of yards in the passing game, 256 per gam

The offense is actually decent. It isn’t as good as Pittsburgh’s but it could be good enough to give the Ravens the division. Quarterback Joe Flacco leads a passing attack that averages 247 yards per contest. More importantly, the Ravens rush for 128.4 yards per game and scores 27.1 points per matchup.
Both teams are good against the spread but the Baltimore Ravens are 1-3-1 against the spread in the last 5 games between these two. That’s not a great trend for the Ravens, but they’re the still the pick in this even line contest.

Baltimore lost to Cincinnati last week. They should bounce back against Pittsburgh and play very well while Pittsburgh might have been a bit too perfect against the Colts. In a game that will be extremely close, I’ll go with the Baltimore Ravens to beat Pittsburgh on Sunday night.

Sunday Night Football Betting Pick: Baltimore Ravens

 

Denver Vs New England Online Football Odds

Denver Vs New England Online Football Odds

One of the biggest rivalries in NFL history takes to the field for the NFL game of the week this Sunday when the Denver Broncos (6-1, 1-1 away) battle the New England Patriots (6-2, 4-0 home) in Foxborough, Masschusetts.

Call your bookie! Call your cable or satellite provider! Savor this moment. Peyton Manning is 38. Tom Brady is 37. They will oppose one another for the 16th time in 13 years, and the passive observer might conjure an image of two old gladiators preparing for what could be their final fight. Brady has a 10 to 5 edge, but Manning is the favorite this Sunday. Click here for more NFL week 9 matchups.

“Peyton has been a phenomenal player — so consistent and durable for a long period of time,” Brady said. “We’ve had a great rivalry in the AFC East (when Manning was with Indianapolis), and this year is no different.”

The matchup is already being touted as the best in the season thus far. But what could make it better?

Perhaps snow?

While forecasts are subject to change (and can at times do so rapidly), there is potential for flurries come the late Sunday afternoon tilt. Will it be Denver or New England in this week’s most important NFL matchup?

Denver Broncos at New England Patriots
When:  Sunday, Nov.2, 4:25 pm ET
Where:  Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts
Betting Line: Denver -3

Denver Vs New England Online Football Odds Analysis:

As always there will be a lot riding on the contest between Brady and Manning. Denver won the showdown last season, 26 to 16, and goes into this game as the road favorite. Peyton just appears to have more weapons and a better defense, at least on paper.

But it’s hard to fault either Brady or the Patriots right now. Since the terrible Monday night loss to Kansas City, Tom Brady has played about as well as you’d expect out of one of the greatest signal-callers in the history of the game. Brady has a 14 to 0 TD to interception ratio in New England’s last 4 games. He’s completing 64.4% of his passes and his QB rating is 107. In the Patriots’ last game, a 51 to 23 blowout of Chicago, Brady completed over 85% of his pass attempts and threw 5 touchdowns. The Patriots are on a 4 game winning streak and appear to be the best team in the AFC after the Broncos.

For Denver, 2014 has the looks of a magical season. Save for an overtime loss to Seattle in Seattle, the Broncos would be undefeated. They’ve been covering spreads as well and since they’re the favorite in almost every game in which they play, the Seattle game was the only exception so far this season, Denver is a legitimate NFL juggernaut. Winning straight up is one thing but covering spreads as a big favorite is another.

It all starts with Peyton Manning, of course, but Peyton isn’t the only reason for Denver’s greatness on offense. The Broncos have found a legitimate starting running back in Ronnie Hillman. Hillman has rushed for over 100 yards or more in 2 out of the Broncos’ last 3 games. In the contest where Hillman didn’t rush for 100 yards, a 42 to 17 victory over San Francisco, Hillman’s yards per carry average was over 5.

Since Denver is no longer a one-dimensional team on offense, they get the edge over the Patriots in this game. The Broncos appear to have a better defense as well; it only allows 315.3 yards and 20 points per game while New England’s D allows 340.5 total yards and 130 yards per game via the rush.

The trends point to both teams having a big shot to win this matchup on Sunday although the Broncos are 0 and 4 in the last 4 meetings in Foxborough.

Both teams are hot, but Denver gets the edge against the spread. New England has beaten the Jets, the Buffalo Bills and the Chicago Bears in their last 3 games. Denver has beaten the Jets, San Francisco and San Diego and they also beat the 7 and 1 Arizona Cardinals 4 games ago. To top it off, Denver covered in every single one of those games.

The Broncos should cover the spread in the yearly battle between Peyton Manning and Tom Brady. 

Pick: Denver Broncos -3

NFL Week 9 Five Star Lock Picks

NFL Week 9 Expert Picks – Arizona vs. Dallas

The Dallas Cowboys raced out to a 6-1 start this season on the legs of DeMarco Murray and Tony Romo’s mistake free football, briefly holding the best record in the NFL. The Cowboys are coming off an overtime Monday Night Football loss at the hands of Washington’s third string QB Colt McCoy who carved up the Dallas D at will.

Romo left the game in the third quarter after taking a knee to the back, that reportedly didn’t affect the part of his back that he had surgery on for the second offseason in a row. He was able to come back in the fourth quarter where the Cowboys used their offensive line, two tight ends and Murray in pass protection which still wasn’t enough for the blitz attack of the Washington D. Owner Jerry Jones should be more concerned about his star QBs health as his other option is Brandon Weedon.

In NFL week 9 betting action, the Dallas Cowboys (6-2, 1st in NFC East) host the Arizona Cardinals (6-1, 1st in NFC West), the only remaining team in the NFC with just one loss. It is a tough match up for the Cowboys coming off a tougher loss to a subpar team.

Arizona Stats Leaders

  • Passing: Palmer – 94-154, 1136 yds, 8 tds
  • Rushing: Ellington – 128 car, 464 yds, 2 tds
  • Receiving: Fitzgerald – 30 rec, 443 yds, 2 tds

Dallas Stats Leaders

  • Passing: Romo – 165-242, 1998 yds, 15 tds
  • Rushing: Murray – 206 car, 1054 yds, 7 tds
  • Receiving: Bryant – 48 rec, 620 yds, 5 tds

Arizona Cardinals at Dallas Cowboys
Date: Sunday, November 2nd
Start Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
Location: Arlington, Texas
Stadium: AT&T Stadium
TV Info: FOX
Live Stream: NFL Sunday Ticket
Radio: NFL Audio Pass
Point Spread:
 Dallas -3
Moneyline: Cardinals -110 vs. Cowboys 110
Total: 48

Cardinals Vs. Cowboys NFL Week 9 Expert Picks Analysis:

Only a handful of NFL experts are picking the Dallas Cowboys in 2014, but everyone of those NFL experts are on the Arizona Cardinals bandwagon. Their 6 to 1 record is for real. The only team that Arizona has lost to this season is the Denver Broncos and Denver is easily the best team in the NFL right now.

Need more convincing? Arizona beat San Diego 18 to 17 and thumped the Giants 25 to 14 before handling San Francisco 23 to 14. Arizona also just beat the Philadelphia Eagles last week, meaning that the Cardinals have beaten 4 of the toughest teams in the NFL this season.

Arizona has a really good defense but success for Arizona starts on the offensive side of the ball. The Cardinals average only 329 yards and only 23 points per game. Those averages should start rising because quarterback Carson Palmer is fit and throwing footballs to Larry Fitzgerald again. Palmer’s QB ratings in the Cardinals last 3 games have been 93.9, 103.3 and 90.3. Larry Fitzgerald had a break out game against the Eagles. The great wide receiver caught 7 passes for 160 yards and a touchdown in that game.

The Cardinals back up their offense with a very good, if not shut down, defense. Even though Arizona is ranked dead last in the NFL in yards allowed via the pass, 302.9 yards, it is ranked third against the run. Teams only rush for 77.9 yards against the Cardinals. Opponents don’t score a lot of points against Arizona, either. The Cardinals hold opponents to 19.9 points per game.

Something is definitely going to give in the game this Sunday. The Cardinals are one of the best teams against the rush while Dallas is the absolute best team in the NFL when it comes to rushing the ball. The Cowboys rush for 160.9 yards per game on average. DeMarco Murray has rushed for 100 yards or more in every single game this season. He has rushed for 1054 yards and we’re only in Week 9.

Will the Cardinals stop Murray? That’s probably asking too much out of the Arizona defense, but Arizona’s defense keeps teams out of the end zone. If Arizona pushes Dallas into kicking field goals while Palmer finds Fitzgerald and his other receivers for touchdowns, Dallas could be in trouble in this game.

There are two things to keep in mind before making a wager. First, Cowboys’ QB Tony Romo is questionable at best. Second, the Arizona Cardinals are 0 and 5 against the spread in the last 5 meetings between these two in Dallas.

Romo’s health is more of a concern than the Arizona trend. Even if Romo plays, he may not be 100% effective. Arizona will look to slow Murray down while they score against an overly aggressive Dallas defense. The Cardinals are the pick.   

My NFL Week 9 Expert Pick: Arizona Cardinals +3