Monthly Archives - January 2016

College Basketball Picks Christmas Week

Best and Worst ATS College Hoops Teams to Bet On

Super Bowl 50 is a week away and that means we are looking down the barrel to the Madness of March.

With that being written, it’s time to take a look at the best and worst teams to bet on this March Madness season. The rule is simple: the teams have to be guaranteed a spot in the NCAA Tournament. If they aren’t guaranteed to make it to the NCAA Tournament, how can they be a good or bad team to back ATS?

Best Against The Spread College Basketball Teams to Bet On

All records as of Jan. 29, 2016

  1. St. Mary’s, 17-2, 12-4 ATS – Gonzaga was supposed to run away with the West Coast Conference. The Zags were ranked in the Top 10 to start the season. But as of right now, Gonzaga sits on a 16 and 5 record in second place in the WCC while St. Mary’s is in first place with a 17 and 2 straight up record and an awesome 12 and 4 ATS record. The Gaels are ranked first in field goal percentage at 53.7%. They are ranked second in points allowed per game at 59.3. This team is for real. They should have a great March because odds makers and bettors still won’t give them the respect that they deserve.
  2. USC, 16-5, 13-7-1 ATS – The surprise team from the Pac 12 this season figures to continue to face spreads that aren’t nearly as tough as the spreads that Arizona, UCLA and Oregon face in the Pac. USC is a good enough team to make a huge run in both the Pac 12 Tournament, where they’ll likely be underdogs in most of their games, and in the NCAA Tournament, where the Selection Committee, no doubt, is going to make them a higher seed than they should be. Expect more than fair betting lines on Trojan games come March.
  3. Providence, 17-4, 12-8 ATS – The Friars might be the best team in the Big East. But the conference is so deep that Providence could face advantageous against the spread lines come March. Xavier, Butler, Georgetown, Providence and Villanova should all make the NCAA Tournament. Providence could get lost in that shuffle even though they have, arguably, the best point guard in the nation in Kris Dunn, and one of the best big men in the nation playing for them in Ben Bentil.

Worst Against The Spread College Basketball Teams to Bet On

All records as of Jan. 29, 2016

  1. Gonzaga, 16-5, 6-12-1 ATS – Gonzaga’s thunder is gone. St. Mary’s stole the Zags’ thunder a long time ago. But, odds makers continue to give the Zags the benefit of the doubt. How else to explain the horrible ATS record? Gonzaga is usually a play against the spread in March as it is. This March, they might be a blind play against in March.
  2. Virginia, 16-4, 7-11 ATS – Virginia’s biggiest issue with covering spreads this season is that odds makers don’t know what to make of their new style of play. The Cavaliers have gone from being a defensive first team to a more offensively based squad. They aren’t scoring 80 points a game, but they will if they can. That has led the odds makers to, even now, have issues with setting a correct betting line on Virginia. The confusion with the line should remain intact come March.
  3. Maryland, 18-3, 10-11 ATS – Maryland is one of the best teams in the nation. They have one of the top back courts, they have a great big man, and they’ve been winning games straight up. The Terps have a shot at the National Championship. But, as far as ATS wagering goes, it’s impossible to make money off of Maryland. The reason is simple. With success comes scrutiny. The more eyes, the more bets on the team, the worse the spreads. Oklahoma and North Carolina could have both shown up in this spot. In fact, it’s a good idea to stay away from every single possible number one NCAA Tournament Seed in the sports book come March, unless the Selecton Committee winds up giving a 1 to St. Mary’s.
How To Bet The Kentucky Wildcats Vs Kansas Jayhawks Odds

Bet The Kentucky Wildcats Vs Kansas Jayhawks Odds

One of the great rivalries in college basketball takes place this Saturday, Jan. 30, when Kentucky battles Kansas at Allen Fieldhouse, in Lawrence, Kansas. The game tips-off at 7:00 pm EST. When we all saw this matchup on the schedule, we figured this game would feature a pair of top-five teams with legit national title hopes, not two traditional powerhouses still searching for their identities. 

How To Bet The #20 Kentucky Wildcats Vs #3 Kansas Jayhawks College Hoops Odds

The college hoops betting odds favor the Kansas Jayhawks by 6-points to beat the Kentuky Wildcats. The 16-4 Jayhawks have lost three of their last five but can still contend for a No. 1 seed if they turn things around. Kentucky could use a signature win to replace its now-devalued victory at Duke.

What: No. 20 Kentucky Wildcats (16-4) at No. 4 Kansas Jayhawks (16-4)
When: Saturday, January 30, 2015
Kickoff: 7:00 PM ET 
Where: Lawrence, Kansas
Stadium: Allen Fieldhouse
Spread: Kansas -6
Watch: ESPN
Stream: Watch ESPN
Listen: Kentucky vs Kansas

Bet The #20 Kentucky Wildcats Because…

After the 70 to 75 upset loss to Auburn Jan. 16, Kentucky has won 3 straight in impressive fashion. Sometimes, it takes a loss in order for the light bulb to go off. That might be the case with the Wildcats who were stunned by Auburn as -11.5 point road favorites on Jan. 16. Since that time, John Calipari’s crew has run off 3 straight wins both straight up and against the spread: 80 to 66 over Arkansas, 76 to 57 over Vanderbilt and 88 to 54 over Missouri.

Bet The #3 Kansas Jayhawks Because…

It’s almost impossible to beat Kansas in Kansas. The Jayhawks are 12 and 0 at home this season. Kansas beat Oklahoma in overtime, 109 to 106, on Jan. 4. They beat Texas 76 to 67 on Jan. 23. The Jayhawks even decimated Baylor 102 to 74 on Jan. 2. Kansas just plays tougher on both ends of the court when they battle an opponent at home. Expect the Jayhawks to really be up for this game against Kentucky on Saturday since Kansas and Kentucky are 2 of the historically dominant college basketball programs.

Records Since Last Season

The Kansas Jayhawks are 26-25 ATS, but that is better than the Wildcats who are 28-29 ATS. The Wildcats covered the spread in their one matchup. 

11/18/2014: Kentucky won 72 to 40, Kentucky covered -7, Game came under 140.5

Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction

Even though Kansas wins at home, the Jayhawks don’t often cover the spread. Kansas is only 6 and 6 ATS at home this season. What’s worse for Jayhawk backers is that Kansas is a terrible 0 and 5 against the spread in their last 5 games.

The Jayhawks are 1 and 6 ATS in their last 7. They’ve gone 1 and 2 straight up in their last 3, including losing 67 to 86 to Oklahoma State as a -9 point road favorite on Jan. 19. All of it should give Kentucky fans confidence that their team, whose defense is starting to play like the lock down unit that you’d expect from a Calipari coached squad, has a great shot at upsetting the Jayhawks on Saturday.

I like Kentucky on the money line. There’s no doubt that it’s tough to beat Kansas on the road, but Kentucky is starting to play like the dominant team that led to their number one pre-season ranking. I’m going with Big Blue.

My final prediction is Kentucky 80, Kansas 70.

Bet The Iowa State Cyclones Vs Texas A&M Aggies Line

Bet The Iowa State Cyclones Vs Texas A&M Aggies Line

Fresh off of its first loss of the season, #5 ranked Texas A&M will look to bounce back against the very good Iowa State Cyclones on Saturday, Jan. 30. The game takes place at Reed Arena, in College Station, Texas. Tip-off is at 2:00 pm ET

How To Bet the #16 Iowa State Cyclones Vs #5 Texas A&M Aggies College Hoops Line

The college hoops betting line favors the Aggies by 3.5-points to beat the Cyclones. Even though it is early, the point spread opened at the same line which indicates that the amount wagered is balanced on both sides. 

What: No. 14 Iowa State Cyclones (16-4) at No. 5 Texas A&M Aggies (17-3)
When: Saturday, January 30, 2016
Kickoff: 2:00 PM ET 
Where: College Station, Texas
Stadium: Reed Arena
Spread: Texas A&M Aggies -3.5
Watch: ESPN
Stream: Watch ESPN
Listen: Iowa State vs Texas A&M

Bet The #16 Iowa State Cyclones Because…

Iowa State has one of the top offenses in all of college basketball. Led by 19.2 points per game from Georges Niang, the Cyclones average 84.4 points per matchup. The offense shoots over 50% from the field. Iowa State is good from 37% from the three-point line. Iowa State’s fast paced offense has led to 4 straight wins both straight up and against the spread. The Cyclones are the only team in college basketball that, so far, has beaten the Oklahoma Sooners. Iowa State did it on Jan. 18 by an 82 to 77 score.

Bet The #5 Texas A&M Aggies Because…

A&M’s defense might be one of the best in the nation. The stats imply that the Aggies have just an okay defense. A&M allows 64 points per game. Opponents average around 40% from the field against the Aggies. But, then, handicappers look at the Aggies defense against the three-point ball and its dominance comes into focus. Texas A&M allows 32% success from the three-point line. That’s an exceptional stat. It’s especially exceptional considering how much teams rely on the three in today’s college basketball environment. 

Current Season Records

The Iowa State Cyclones have performed well against the spread going 10-6, +340. SportsLine has a 14-2, +1180 record on point spread picks in Cyclones games. The Texas A&M Aggies have generated a profit against the spread going 7-6, +40 ATS. SportsLine picks are 7-6 +40 in Aggies games. Iowa State Cyclones games have come under more than over with an O-U record of 7-10. Texas A&M Aggies games have come under more than over with an O-U record of 6-9.

Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction

Texas A&M is 4-2-1 against the spread at home this season. The Aggies were undefeated up until a 71 to 74 loss to Arkansas on the road on Jan. 27. Iowa State plays the type of game that Arkansas plays.

But, college hoops handicappers have to figure that A&M’s defense will be much better at home on Saturday than it was on the road against Arkansas. The Aggies have held its last 2 home opponents to less than 60 points. It won’t do that to Iowa State, but there is a good chance the Cyclones don’t reach 70. I like the Texas A&M Aggies to bounce back in this matchup on Saturday.

My final prediction is Texas A&M 72, Iowa State 68.