Daily Archives - April 20, 2017

2017 Kentucky Derby Odds and Expert Picks

2017 Kentucky Derby Odds and Expert Picks

With the 143rd running of the Kentucky Derby getting underway on Saturday, May 6th live from Churchill Downs in Louisville, Kentucky, now is the perfect time for some expert betting picks on the most prestigious horse racing event in North America.

Let’s get to it.

2017 Kentucky Derby Odds and Expert Picks

What: 2017 Kentucky Derby
When: May 6, 2017
Start Time: 6:34 PM ET
Where: Louisville, Kentucky
Stadium: Churchill Downs
Watch: NBC
Stream: NBC Sports Live

The Early Odds-On Favorite To Win The 2017 Kentuck Derby: Classic Empire +400

Classic Empire finished the 2016 season as the best juvenile in the country after winning the Breeders’ Futurity (G1) and the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1), but you should know that Juvenile winners have struggled to win the Kentucky Derby in recent times with only Street Sense (2007) and Nyquist (2016) being able to win both races. Unfortunately, Classic Empire finished third behind Irish War Cry and Gunnevera in the Holy Bull Stakes (G2) on Feb. 4, mostly because of a foot abscess. Nevertheless, Classic Empire has been installed as the favorite to win the Kentucky Derby after looking fully recovered by winning last week’s Arkansas Derby.

The Early Smart Pick To Win The 2017 Kentucky Derby: Always Dreaming +500

Always Dreaming has recorded three consecutive first place finishes, most recently winning the Xpressbet Florida Derby on April 1 where he won by five lengths over State of Honor and Gunnevera. Many horse racing bettor believe that Always Dreaming should be the favorite at the Kentucky Derby and it’ easy to see why seeing as how he’s won three of his career five races while never finishing lower than third place.

The Value Pick To Win The 2017 Kentucky Derby: Irish War Cry +800

Irish War Cry is definitely a legitimate contender seeing as how he’s won two of his last three races while bouncing back nicely from a seventh place finish at the Xpressbet the Fountain of Youth race at Gulfstream Park on March 4 to win the Wood Memorial at Aqueduct on April 8. Irish War Cry also won the Holy Bull Stakes on Feb. 4 and has the talent to run with anyone.

The Longshot Pick To Win The 2017 Kentucky Derby: Malagacy +2000

So what, Malagacy never raced as a 2-year-old a year ago, the now three-year-old thoroughbred won the Rebel Stakes on March 18 in his very first race before finishing fifth in the Arkansas Derby last weekend.

More importantly, trainer Todd Pletcher says Malagacy is the kind of horse that runs best when he faces elite competition and generally stalks the leader before accelerating late.

“Part of the reason why we considered running him for maiden claim first time out was he had … kind of shown his lazy side in the morning, really,” Pletcher said. “But it was a blessing that he actually got a temperature.”

Here is a look at the complete list of early odds to win the 2017 Kentucky Derby.

Horse

Odds

Classic Empire

+400

Always Dreaming

+500

Irish War Cry

+800

Gunnevera

+1000

McCraken

+1000

Irap

+1400

Tapwrit

+1400

Gormley

+1600

Battalion Runner

+1600

Thunder Snow

+1800

Malagacy

+2000

Girvin

+2000

Practical Joke

+2000

Conquest Mo Money

+2500

J Boys Echo

+2800

Hence

+2800

Lookin At Lee

+5000

State of Honor

+5000

Cloud Computing

+5000

Patch

+5000

Battle of Midway

+5000

Sonneteer

+5000

Royal Mo

+5000

Untrapped

+5000

Fast and Accurate

+6600

2017 NFL Draft Odds & Picks

2017 NFL Draft Odds & Picks

With 2017 NFL draft odds now available, pro football fans and betting enthusiasts everywhere can now continue their offseason love affair with the most popular sport in North America while adding to the annual betting bankroll long before the start of the 2017 regular season.

The Cleveland Browns have first pick and the Dawg Pound hopeful are praying that the brain trust can avoid another Johnny Football fiasco when the draft takes place on Thursday, April 27th

Thanks to the expert picks that you’re about to get on some of the more intriguing 2017 NFL Draft odds that are currently on the board, you could very well add to your summer travel funds in a big way. Now, let’s get down to business. 

NFL Draft Props Are Available – And Here are the Picks!

What: 2017 NFL Draft
When: Thursday, April 27, 2017
Start Time: 8:00 PM ET
Where: Philadelphia, PA
Stadium: Philadelphia Museum of Art
Watch: ESPN
Stream: Watch ESPN

Number of Alabama players selected in Round 1

Over 4.5 (-140)
Under 4.5 (+120)

Analysis: Defensive end Jonathan Allen, tight end O.J. Howard, linebacker Reuben Foster and cornerback Marlon Humphrey are all expected to go in the first round  and in the order I just picked. I guess it’s possible that another Crimson Tide player could sneak into the first round, but I don’t see it right now.

Pick: Under 4.5 Players

Number of LSU players selected in Round 1

Over 2.5 (+110)
Under 2.5 (-130)

Analysis: Safety Jamal Adams is projected to go as high as third overall while running back Leonard Fournette is also expected to go in the top 10 picks. Cornerback Tre’Davious White is also expected to go later in the first round, giving the Tigers three first round picks in the 2017 NFL Draft. Play the Over.

Pick: Over 2.5 Players

Number of SEC players selected in Round 1

Over 11.5 (EVEN)
Under 11.5 (-120)

Analysis: Starting with Texas A&M defensive end Myles Garrett and ending with Missouri hybrid linebacker/defensive end Charles Harris, I’m expecting a whopping 13 SEC players – and 12 minimum – to go in the first round of the 2017 NFL Draft.

Pick: Over 11.5 Players

Round 1 conference matchup

SEC players -5.5 (-110)
Pac-12 players +5.5 (-110)

Analysis: Stanford’s Solomon Hill and Christian McCaffery, along with Washington wideout John Ross, head up a group of what I believe will be five, Pac-12 players at most, to get drafted in the first round. Bet the SEC -5.5 layers to cover the spread here with room to spare!

Pick: SEC -5.5 Players 

Round 1 conference matchup

SEC players -4.5 (-110)
Big Ten players +4.5 (-110)

Analysis: Ohio State safety Malik Hooker, Michigan defensive end Taco Charlton, Buckeyes cornerback Marshon Lattimore, Wisconsin tackle Ryan Ramczyk, Michigan State defensive lineman Malik McDowell, Ohio State cornerback Gareon Conley and Wisconsin linebacker T.J. Watt, the younger brother of Houston Texans superstar J.J. Watt, all going in the first round, Still, that leaves the Big Ten at least five players shy of what I expect to be a minimum of 12 SEC players taken in the first round.

Pick: SEC -4.5 Players

Round 1 conference matchup

Pac-12 players +0.5 (+130)
Big Ten players -0.5 (-150)

Analysis: The Pac-12 is projected to have four players selected in the first round (Solomon Thomas, John Ross, Garrett Bolles and Takkarist McKinley) and no more than five, while seven Big Ten players will likely go in the draft’s opening round.

Pick: Big Ten -0.5 Players

More offensive or defensive players selected in Round 1

Offensive players +5.5 (-120)
Defensive players -5.5 (EVEN)
Doesn’t include: Kickers, punters, long snappers

Analysis: This is going to be a fairly close wager, but in the end, I’ve got 19 defensive players going in the first round and 13 offensive players. Defensive players look like they’ll dominate the top third and bottom third of this year’s NFL Draft, but not enough to cover the 5.5-player spread.

Pick: Offensive Players +5.5

Round of first place-kicker taken

Rounds 1-3 +240
Rounds 4-7 -280
If no PK is selected, bet is a refund

Analysis: The Tampa Bay Buccaneers drafted kicker Roberto Aguayo in the second round a year ago, but that marked the first time a kicker has been chosen in the first three rounds in 11 years. Only two kickers have been chosen in the first three rounds since 2001, but there is a strong sentiment that Arizona State’s Zane Gonzalez could go in the second or third round, especially seeing as how making extra points ha now become an issue for so many kickers. Maybe it’s me, but I think Gonzalez looks special enough to warrant a third round pick by some kicking-staved franchise.

Pick: Rounds 1-3

Number of QBs selected in Round 1

Over 3.5 (+140)
Under 3.5 (-160)

Analysis: Only four quarterbacks have a chance to go in the first round in North Carolina’s Mitch Trubisky, Clemson’s Deshaun Watson, Notre Dame’s DeShone Kizer and Texas Tech’s Patrick Mahomes II. However, with Mahomes II and Kizer being considered more of projects that will take longer to reach their full potential, I think only Trubisky and Watson will go in the first round. Having said that, If I owned the first pick in this year’s draft, I’d seriously consider taking Watson, who, in my mind, ha a ton of superstar potential.

Pick: Under 3.5

Number of RBs selected in Round 1

Over 2.5 (-160)
Under 2.5 (+140)

Analysis: I’ll get right to the point by saying that I will be completely stunned if LSU’s Leonard Fournette, Stanford’s Christian McCaffery and Florida State’s Dalvin Cook aren’t all drafted in the first round.

Pick: Over 2.5