Daily Archives - June 9, 2017

2017 Belmont Stakes Trifecta Pick

2017 Belmont Stakes Trifecta Pick

The Belmont Stakes trifecta got much harder to bet. Before Belmont Stakes post positions were drawn and the Morning Line odds were set, Belmont Park announced that Classic Empire, the 3/2 future book favorite, would skip the race. Favoritism has now fallen to Irish War Cry. Classic Empire was an obvious key horse choice in the trifecta. Is Irish War Cry an obvious key horse choice? I don’t think so. Keep reading for my Belmont Stakes trifecta bet.

What is a Belmont Stakes Trifecta Bet?

A trifecta bet is a wager where you choose the first three finishers in a horse race in exact order. Here’s an example:

  • Win: 7-Irish War Cry
  • Place: 2-Tapwrit
  • Show:  10-Multiplier

If you placed a trifecta wager that had on it the above combination where 7 finishes first, 2 finishes second, and 10 finishes third, you’d win your trifecta bet. One thing to keep in mind is that a trifecta must be called a trifecta. Don’t bet Irish War Cry to win, Tapwrit to place, and Multiplier to show. That’s 3 separate bets.  

A trifecta is where you pick the exact order of finish for win, place, and show, on a single combination. Keep reading to see how I’m putting together my Belmont Stakes trifecta bet.

2017 Belmont Stakes Trifecta Pick

What: 2017 Belmont Stakes
When: June 10, 2017
Post Time: 6:48 PM ET
Where: Elmont, New York
Track: Belmont Park
Watch: NBC
Stream: NBC Sports Live

Key Horse:  11-Epicharis 4/1

The Japanese invader is the classiest animal in the race. He has the breeding to get the distance. He has the speed to stay close. He has the will to win as evidenced by his 4 wins, and 1-second place finish from 5-lifetime races. There isn’t a lot to dislike about Epicharis.

Horses to Use in Place Slot

2-Tapwrit 6/1 – It’s impossible to look past Todd Pletcher’s success with horses skipping the Preakness Stakes and running in the Belmont. I also expect that Tapwrit has grown up some since his 10-length loss in the Kentucky Derby. He’s got an excellent post, 2, which means jockey Jose Ortiz can save ground.  

3-Gormley 8/1 – I’ve got the feeling that the John Shirreff’s trainee is going to be on his toes come Saturday. Gormley has a lot of talent. He needed to mature physically, but his mind has always been right. Don’t leave him out of the trifecta. You’ll be sorry.

7-Irish War Cry 7/2 – If big boy Irish War Cry shows up, it’s over. He can flat out bury his competition when he wants to run. If throw in the towel Irish War Cry shows up, the one who gives up because he just doesn’t feel like running, forget it. He’ll finish near the back of the pack.

Horse to Use in Show Slot

1-Twisted Tom 20/1 – Chad Brown trains. Brown trained Cloud Computing to win the Preakness Stakes at over 14 to 1 odds. Enough said.

2-Tapwrit 6/1  

3-Gormley 8/1

4-J Boys Echo 15/1 – He goes into the Belmont Stakes under the radar. Why?  Two bad races in a row. I’ve seen horses like J Boys Echo run huge at Big Sandy after struggling in two straight. I can’t leave him out of the tri because of that.

5-Hollywood Handsome 30/1 – On paper, it doesn’t look like he’s good enough to finish in the Top 3. But, you never know which horses love the 1 ½ mile distance of the Belmont Stakes, and which horses hate it.

6-Lookin At Lee 5/1 – I sure wish I had enough funds to put this guy into the place slot for my trifecta bet. He always fires a decent shot. One of these days, the shot he fires is going to be better than anybody else’s shot.  

7-Irish War Cry 7/2

8-Senior Investment 12/1 – I didn’t think he was good enough to get into my Preakness Stakes trifecta. Yep. He blew me apart. Every ticket went up in flames. Senior Investment is definitely part of all my exotic bets!

9-Meantime 15/1 – No Classic Empire means that Meantime inherits the lead. He should have company with both Epicharis and Irish War Cry. If that doesn’t happen, if Meantime gets loose on the lead, watch out. Commendable and D’Tara are just two examples of huge front running longshots that won the Belmont Stakes.  

10-Multiplier 15/1 – If the pace is swift, I know he’ll have a shot to get into the tri. He’s talented enough to do it.

12-Patch 12/1 – He’d be in my place slot if I didn’t think Tapwrit was coming up to the race slightly better.

2017 Belmont Stakes Trifecta Pick

I’m using all 12 runners in the show slot in my trifecta bet. I’m keying Epicharis, the horse from Japan. In the place slot, I’m using Tapwrit, Gormley, and Irish War Cry. Check out how my trifecta bet’s going to look:
11 w/2,3,7 w/1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12

The w stand for with. If I were at the racetrack and made this wager, I’d tell the clerk, “I want a $1 trifecta 11 with 2,3,7 with 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12”. Instead of naming all the horses in the show slot, I could just say with all.

Total Bet Cost = $30

2017 Belmont Stakes Superfecta Pick

2017 Belmont Stakes Superfecta Pick

The 2017 Belmont Superfecta should pay huge. Last year’s superfecta paid an immense $27,935 for a $2 bet. You can’t afford not to bet a Belmont Superfecta this year.

What is a Superfecta Bet?

A superfecta bet is a wager where you choose the first four finishers in a horse race in exact order.

Here’s an example:

  • Win: 11-Epicharis
  • Place: 7-Irish War Cry
  • Show:  9-Meantime
  • Fourth: 6-Lookin At Lee

If you placed a superfecta wager that had on it the above combination where 11 finishes first, 7 finishes second, 9 finishes third, and 6 finishes fourth, you’d win your superfecta bet.

Keep reading to see how I’m putting together my Belmont Stakes superfecta bet!

2017 Belmont Stakes Superfecta Pick

What: 2017 Belmont Stakes
When: June 10, 2017
Post Time: 6:48 PM ET
Where: Elmont, New York
Track: Belmont Park
Watch: NBC
Stream: NBC Sports Live

Belmont Stakes Superfecta Key Horse:  11-Epicharis 4/1

My gut tells me that the Japanese know exactly what they’re doing. This year’s crop of American three-year-olds hasn’t presented us with a world beater. Always Dreaming won’t run. Cloud Computing won’t run. Classic Empire won’t run. What it means is that Epicharis, who’s a grandson of the great Sunday Silence, could just be better than these.

Belmont Stakes Superfecta Horses to Use in Place Slot

7-Irish War Cry 7/2 – I’m just not sure which Irish War Cry shows up. That’s the double-edged sword with this guy. If the bad Irish War Cry shows up, you’re flushing money down the drain by putting him in any of the superfecta slots. But, if you leave him off your ticket and the good Irish War Cry shows up, you just blew your ticket out of the water. I must use him in my place slot just in case the hard-trying version of the equine enters the starting gate.

9-Meantime 15/1 – National Museum of Racing Hall of Fame rider Mike Smith takes the call on this Brian Lynch-trained son of Shackleford. If he gets an easy lead, he could wire the field. I’m not sure he gets an easy lead. But, I’m not leaving the possible lone speed of the race out of the place slot. 

Belmont Stakes Superfecta Horses to Use in Show Slot

2-Tapwrit 6/1- I don’t have enough money to put him in the place slot. I’ve got good coverage with Tapwrit in my trifecta and exacta bets.

3-Gormley 8/1 – I had him in the place slot instead of Meantime. Then, I remembered how Destin almost wired the field last year, and the huge payouts from Commendable and D’Tara wiring the field. I think he could kill my superfecta bet by finishing second. I still can’t put him in the place slot.

7-Irish War Cry 7/2

9-Meantime 15/1

12-Patch 12/1 – He’s yet another that could finish second, or possibly even win this race. He’s talented, had excuses for the bad Derby finish and is trained by the master, Todd Pletcher. What’s not to like?

Horses to Use in Fourth Slot – All

1-Twisted Tom 20/1
2-Tapwrit 6/1
3-Gormley 8/1
4-J Boys Echo 15/1 
5-Hollywood Handsome 30/1 
6-Lookin At Lee 5/1
7-Irish War Cry 7/2
8-Senior Investment 12/1
9-Meantime 15/1  
10-Multiplier 15/1   
12-Patch 12/1 

2017 Belmont Stakes Superfecta Pick

Epicharis must win. Either Meantime or Irish War Cry must finish second. Tapwrit, Irish War Cry, Meantime, or Patch could finish third. If that happens, I’m guaranteed to hit my superfecta bet because I’m pushing the ALL button for fourth place. My superfecta bet is going to look like this:
11 w/7,9 w/2,3,7,9, 12 w/All

If I were at the racetrack, I’d tell the clerk, “I’d like a $1 superfecta bet 11 with 7,9 with 2,3,7,9,12 with All.”

Total Bet Cost = $72

2017 Belmont Stakes Exacta Pick

2017 Belmont Stakes Exacta Pick

The 2017 Belmont Stakes is the last chance to bet on a Triple Crown race this year. Always Dreaming won the Kentucky Derby. Cloud Computing won the Preakness. Both are skipping the Belmont. Who, then, deserves to be the key horse in all exacta wagers? Check it out!

What is an Exacta Bet?

If this is your first time betting an exacta bet here is what you are getting into.

An exacta bet in horse racing is picking the first and second place finishers in exact order. To hit an exacta bet, you must pick the exact order, there’s no wiggle room there. Who finished first? Who finished second? That’s it.

2017 Belmont Stakes Exacta Pick

What: 2017 Belmont Stakes
When: June 10, 2017
Post Time: 6:48 PM ET
Where: Elmont, New York
Track: Belmont Park
Watch: NBC
Stream: NBC Sports Live

2017 Belmonth Stakes Key Horse:  11-Epicharis 4/1

There are a ton of signs pointing to Epicharis getting it done by winning the 2017 Belmont Stakes. He’s been in New York for about a week. Any issues that the horse from Japan might have acclimating to Belmont Park are long gone. Not only that, but his record is stunning:  5 races, 4 wins and a second. The second was by a nose to Godolphin bred Thunder Snow. With Classic Empire scratching, Epicharis becomes the classiest horse in the field.

2017 Belmont Stakes Horses to Use in the Exacta

2-Tapwrit 6/1 – Trainer Todd Pletcher has done this before. Pletcher skips the Preakness and runs in the Belmont with a horse that was terrible in the Kentucky Derby. Last year, Pletcher almost won the Belmont with Destin. Tapwrit follows Destin’s pattern, run badly in the Derby and skip the Preakness.

3-Gormley 8/1 – He’s got enough speed to stay within shouting distance of Epicharis and Irish War Cry. John Shirreff’s doesn’t ship from California to New York unless he thinks he can win. He could have kept Gormley on the bench until the Del Mar Meet. He’s not doing that. I think Gormley’s a must use.

7-Irish War Cry 7/2 – It’s impossible to leave the talented Irish War Cry out of the exacta. If he shows up with his mind on racing, he could beat his opponents by 10 lengths. He’s that talented.

12-Patch 12/1 – Like Tapwrit, Todd Pletcher trains Patch. My problem with leaving Patch out is that you have no idea which Pletcher horse, Patch or Tapwrit, is going to run a big race. Both are following the pattern that Palace Malice followed in 2013 to win the Test of Champions.

2017 Belmont Stakes Exacta Pick

I’m placing two exacta wagers. The first keys Epicharis over the other 4 horses. The second keys the other 4 horses over Epicharis.

$6 Exacta
11 w/2,3,7,12

$4 Exacta
2,3,7,12 w/11

Total Exacta Cost = $40

2017 Belmont Stakes Morning Line Odds

HORSE POST* ODDS
Irish War Cry 7 3-1
Epicharis 11 7-2
Lookin at Lee 6 9-2
Tapwrit 2 7-1
Gormley 3 8-1
Senior Investment 8 10-1
Meantime 9 15-1
J Boys Echo 4 15-1
Twisted Tom 1 18-1
Multiplier 10 20-1
Patch 12 30-1
Hollywood Handsome 5 40-1