The 7 and 1 Nebraska Cornhuskers are the Khloe to the Kims in the College Football Playoff conversation, but the team does have a legitimate Heisman Trophy candidate in running back Ameer Abdullah. A highly talked-about Heisman Candidate, he has over 1200 rushing yards and has logged 17 touchdowns so far this season.
Nebraska faces Purdue on Saturday as a -23.5 point favorite and I fully expect Cornhuskers head coach Bo Pelini to win this game BIG on the legs of Abdullah to put the College Football Playoff selection committee and the Heisman voters on alert.
— Nebraska Huskers (@Huskers) October 25, 2014
Purdue Boilermakers at 16 Nebraska Cornhuskers
When: Saturday, Nov.1, 3:30 pm ET
Where: Memorial Stadium, Lincoln, Nebraska
Betting Line: Nebraska -23.5
Bet Purdue vs. Nebraska Against the Spread Odds Analysis:
The Cornhuskers have faced difficult spreads as a favorite all season long and they’ve managed to cover in most of those games. Nebraska sits on a 6 and 2 against the spread record. One of those non-covers was a strange 31 to 24 victory over McNeese State as a -35 point favorite. That was Nebraska’s second game of the season. Since then, the ‘Huskers have gone 5 and 1 ATS.
It all starts with Nebraska’s offense. The Cornhuskers have one of the top running backs in the nation, a true Hesiman Trophy candidate in Ameer Abdullah. Abdullah has now rushed for over 200 yards in 4 of Nebraska’s 8 games. He’s rushed for 1249 yards and he’s scored a total of 19 touchdowns this season. Abdullah could make it 5 out of 9 when it comes to rushing for over 200 yards because Purdue’s defense is absolutely horrendous.
The Boilermakers allow teams to rush for 176.8 yards per game on average and they’ve been playing against teams like Iowa, Illinois and Minnesota. Purdue’s offense is decent, though. It averages about four touchdowns, 28 points, per matchup, and when it comes to the betting spread, Purdue is very good.
Although the straight up record is 3 and 5, the against the spread record is a fantastic 6 and 2.
One issue that Purdue could have in this game is that they recently lost linebacker Sean Robinson to a torn ACL. The senior was one of Purdue’s leading tacklers. Without Robinson, it’s going to be even tougher for the Boilermakers to take down Abdullah.
The college football betting trends point to a very difficult game, at least when it comes to covering the spread, for both teams. Purdue is 5 and 1 ATS versus a team with a winning record. The Boilermakers are also 5-0-1 against the spread in their last 6 games following a straight up loss and 4-1-1 against the spread in their last 6 conference games. Nebraska is 6 and 2 against the spread in their last 8 home games versus a team with a losing road record and 4 and 0 against the spread in their last 4 games following an against the spread loss. The Cornhuskers are also 4 and 0 against the spread in their last 4 games after accumulating over 450 total yards in their previous game.
The winner of this contest ATS will be the team that can enforce its style. Nebraska should be able to force the rushing game with Abdullah and their awesome offensive line. Nebraska’s defense is good enough to keep Purdue’s offense from scoring enough points in this to keep it close.
Although Purdue has been covering spreads like crazy this season, Nebraska is the play. They will beat Purdue by 24 points or more.