Category Archives: NCAAF

Can Florida State Cover The Double Digit Spread Vs Oklahoma State?

Can Florida State Cover The Double Digit Spread Vs Oklahoma State?

A couple of questions bear answering when the defending national champion Florida State Seminoles kick off their 2014 season with a whopper of a road date against a very good Oklahoma State team.

First…will the Seminoles win outright to maintain their chance at a second consecutive perfect season or will the Cowboys record what could likely be the upset of the season, even in Week 1?

Second – and most important – will the Seminoles be able to cover the spread as huge road favorites – if they don’t get beat outright that is?

In an attempt to help college football betting enthusiasts everywhere I’ll answer both of these questions and more while offering up an expert college football pick on this intriguing Week 1 showdown.

No. 1 Florida State -17.5 at Oklahoma State
The No. 1 Florida State Seminoles are -17.5 point favorites over the Oklahoma State Cowboys in the NCAAF week 1 odds.
Starts: 08/30/2014 8:00PM
AT&T Stadium, 900 E Randol Mill Rd.
Arlington, Texas

Can Florida State Cover The Double Digit Spread Vs Oklahoma State?

Analysis: Florida State averaged a jaw-dropping 53.0 points per game last season while limiting their opponents to a paltry 10.7 points per game defensively as they mostly steamrolled their competition a year ago.

The Oklahoma State Cowboys were also more than competent on offense as they averaged a stellar 39.8 points per game while also excelling on defense by limiting their opponents to just 20.0 points per contest defensively.

I know the Seminoles are huge favorites in this contest and the odds-on-favorites to win the 2015 NCAA Championship, but I think everyone’s getting a bit ahead of themselves concerning Florida State, starting with this contest.

Sure, the Seminoles are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall, 5-1 ATS in their last six non-conference games and an incendiary 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 neutral site games, but Oklahoma State has been impressive in posting a 6-2 ATS mark in their last eight games.

While Florida State is led by Heisman Trophy winning quarterback Jameis Winston, Oklahoma State has a blossoming quarterback of its own in junior J.W. Walsh. The strong-armed Texas native started five games last season and appeared in eight games overall while throwing nine TD passes and adding three rushing scores.

Florida State has gone 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in the month of August while Oklahoma State has gone 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall, making the Oklahoma State Cowboys the pick for me.

I like the Seminoles to get the win in this contest, but I expect it to be a lot closer than the spread indicates it could be, so I’m going to encourage you to back the unheralded Oklahoma State Cowboys.

My Pick Against The Spread Betting Pick is Oklahoma State +17.5 Points.

College Football Week 1 Free Picks No. 16 Clemson at No. 12 Georgia

College Football Week 1 Free Picks Feature No. 16 Clemson at No. 12 Georgia

No. 16 Clemson and No. 12 Georgia will square off in a Week 1 SEC vs. ACC matchup that has both, the potential to be one of the best games on the entire opening slate of matchups – and one of the most profitable pairings. Click here for more college football betting.

NCAAF – Clemson at Georgia
The Clemson Tigers take on 8.5 point favorite Georgia Bulldogs this Saturday in what should be a thrilling College Football week 1 matchup.
Starts: 08/30/2014 5:30PM
Sanford Stadium, 110 Field St
Athens, Georgia

While both teams have hopes of reaching the brand new, four-team playoff that will ultimately decide who the 2015 national champion is, one team will see its postseason playoff hopes vanquished with a loss in this contest.

Let’s take a look at this intriguing affair before I offer up my expert pick on which team will walk away from this contest as the winner, both, straight-up (SU) and against-the-spread (ATS).

College Football Week 1 Free Picks No. 16 Clemson at No. 12 Georgia

Clemson (11-2 SU, 7-6 ATS) closed out its 2013 campaign by winning five of their last six games, including their thrilling 40-35 win over Ohio State in the 2014 Orange Bowl. The Tigers also finished the season on a solid, 3-1 ATS roll that included their bowl game win as a 2.5-point underdog.

Clemson returns a dozen starters this season with seven of those on offense. Unfortunately, the Tigers will have a new starting quarterback this season in senior Cole Stoudt after losing former starter Tahj Boyd to the NFL Draft.

The Tigers also have a new starting running back in D.J. Howard, though they could go with a running back by committee approach at least until one back separates himself from the pack.

Georgia (8-5 SU, 3-8-2 ATS) returns 15 starters with 10 of them playing on the defensive side of the ball, but they will also have a new starting quarterback senor Hutson Mason.

Head coach Mark Richt however said he believes his new starter will do fine because of his experience.

"Hutson has been in our system obviously going into his fifth-year. But there’s been no change in our system,” Richt told reporters recently. “I think we’ll transition well."

The good news for the Bulldogs is the fact that they have one of the nation’s best running back in junior Todd Gurley. While Gurley rushed for fewer yards last season than he did in 2012, the elusive back still managed to average 6.0 yards per carry. Georgia closed out its 2013 campaign by dropping two of their last four games, including a 24-19 loss to Nebraska in the 2014 Gator Bowl. The Bulldogs failed to cover the spread as an 8.5-point favorite to fall to a pitiful 2-7 ATS over its last nine games.

Clemson senior defensive tackle Jarrett recently told reporters, "As far as anybody overpowering us and just running down our throats, that’s not happening."

Georgia lost three starters along the offensive line and will be without former contributors Josh Harvey-Clemons and Tray Matthews after both were dismissed from the program due to behavioral issues

In last year’s matchup of these longtime rivals, Clemson managed to snap a five-game losing streak against the Bulldogs by beating them 38-35 at home to cash in as 1.5-point home dogs.

The last time Georgia lost at home to Clemson was way back in 1986 so I’m not expecting the Tigers to pull off the road upset in this contest – and with three of the last four meeting being decided by three points or less, I believe Clemson will find a way to cover the spread.

Besides, the Bulldogs are just 1-4-1 ATS in their last six home games and 1-4 ATS in their last five games against non-conference opponents.

My College Football Week 1 Free Pick Is Clemson with +8.5 Points.

NCAAF Odds -  Wisconsin vs. LSU

NCAAF Odds -  Wisconsin vs. LSU

The 14th-ranked Wisconsin Badgers and 13th-ranked LSU Tigers will take to the gridiron this Saturday in what could very well be the best college football showdown on the entire Week 1 docket.

Even better, you’re going to have a great chance to cash in with a potentially winning wager thanks to this fun-filled yet, expert betting breakdown on this all Top 25 matchup.

Wisconsin at LSU
The 5 point favorite LSU Tigers host the Wisconsin Badgers in the College Football week 1 betting action.
Starts: 08/30/2014 9:00PM
NRG Stadium, One Reliant Park
Houston, Texas

Wisconsin Badgers vs. LSU Tigers NCAAF Odds Prediction

Analysis: The first thing you may want to know about this matchup is that the Tigers will play a ranked, non-conference opponent at a neutral site to kick off its regular season for the fourth time in the past five years. Head coach Les Miles has never lost a season opener and is undefeated against ranked, non-conference opponents in the regular season. 

Okay, so now that we’ve established that, college football betting buffs should also know that the Wisconsin Badgers has a fine first season under head coach Gary Andersen. Unfortunately, the Badgers didn’t perform very well in tight games, going 0- 3 in one-point contests last season.

Still, the Badgers were a monster rushing the ball last season (as always) and their 4-1 ATS in their last five games against non-conference opponents bodes well heading into this one.

Wisconsin boasts one of the top offensive lines in the nation and has a slew of gifted players they can mix and match, including star sophomore running back Corey Clement and new, versatile quarterback Tanner McEvoy, though I must admit, it ‘s going to be interesting to see how he makes the switch from safety.

LSU will hand the ball to ballyhooed running back Leonard Fournette and the more experienced Melvin Gordon. Unfortunately, the Tigers apparently don’t have a quarterback good enough to win their starting job as Miles has already gone on record to say that both, Anthony Jennings and true freshman Brandon Harris will play in this contest.

In the end, I like Wisconsin to cover the spread in a contest that looks more like a classic field goal game than anything else.

Wisconsin is just 1-4 ATS in their last five neutral site games but LSU is just 2-5 ATS in their last seven non-conference games and a dismal 1-5 ATS in their last half-dozen games overall.

With the Badgers going 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games and a blistering 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games overall, they’re my pick to cover the spread here!

My NCAAF Week 1 Against The Spread Pick is Wisconsin at +5