Category Archives: NFL

NFL Week 16 Against The Spread Betting - Indianapolis Vs Dallas

Indianapolis Vs Dallas NFL Week 16 Against The Spread Betting

Tony Romo, DeMarco Murray and the Dallas Cowboys have been the most entertaining team to watch this season and this Sunday they host Andrew Luck, TY Hilton and the Indianapolis Colts. Dallas has struggled at home home, but the Colts D is softer than French handshake. If Romo can keep his offense on the field longer than Luck can, this game will go the Cowboys’s way.

Even with 10 wins, the Cowboys are far from guaranteed a playoff berth in the competitive NFC where they currently sit in third. Their crucial Week 15 victory over the Philadelphia Eagles gave them a one-game lead in the NFC East, but a lot can change with two games left on tap. The No.1 overall seed is still in play for Dallas, and having beaten the Seattle Seahawks could be a key component in a tiebreaker scenario. The Cowboys could also miss the playoffs, since two straight wins for the Eagles would give Chip Kelly’s team the tiebreaker in the division.

The Colts are playing good football, even though Luck has struggled in the past few weeks, and are currently in the race for a first-round bye. They clinched the AFC South title with a Week 15 victory over the Houston Texans. The Colts trail the New England Patriots and Denver Broncos by one game, and a head-to-head loss to each club means a bye might be out of the question. The No.3 or No.4 seed in the conference appears to be where Indianapolis will finish the regular season.

The NFL Week 16 betting spread has the Cowboys as 3 points home favorites over the Colts. The game total of a towering 55 points, the highest of the week, points to a high scoring game.

This game will be the first matchup between Tony Romo and Luck.

Matchup: Indianapolis Colts at Dallas Cowboys
Date: Dec. 21, 2014 
Start Time: 4:25 p.m. ET 
Location: Arlington, Texas 
Stadium: AT&T Stadium
TV Info: BCS
Radio:  Indianapolis Vs  Dallas
Point Spread: Cowboys -3
Game Total: 55

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Analyzing The NFL Week 16 Against The Spread Betting Options – Indianapolis Colts at Dallas Cowboys

The Cowboys are coming off a 38-27 point come from behind victory over their division rival Philadelphia Eagles pushing their road record to a league leading 7-0, but this week they play in Arlington where they are a mere 3-4.

The Cowboys have the 16th ranked passing offense and the 3rd ranked rushing offense combing to average 27.2 points and 377.7 yards per game. QB Tony Romo has completed 69.3 percent of his passes with 28 touchdowns and eight interceptions.

RB DeMarco Murray, who leads all back in the league with 1687 yards & 11 TDs is doubtful to play on Sunday after having a surgery on Monday to repair a a fractured bone in his fourth finger on his left hand.

If Murray plays less than a week after undergoing surgery, it will be with protective padding on his left hand, not a cast, reports the Dallas Morning News. Murray went through individual drills Wednesday wearing a glove enforced with a hard plastic shell.

"The biggest question we have to ask ourselves is, is he functional to do his job?" Cowboys head coach Jason Garrett said. "Can he hold the football? Can he carry it under duress? Can he block? Can he do the things necessary to play the position?

"He’s as strong-willed and as determined an individual as I’ve ever been around, and if anybody has a chance to come back, he does."

If he can’t go then RBs Joseph Randle (34 carries, 237 yards 2 TDs) and Lance Dunbar (26 attempts, 91 yards, 0 TDs) will share the load against the 16th rushing defense on Sunday.

The Cowboys defense is allowing 23.4 points and 359.9 yards per game and they are plus two in turnover ratio. Barry Church has 86 tackles, Rolando McClain has 77 tackles, and J.J. Wilcox has 67 tackles. Now they face the No. 1 ranked passing offense in the league.

The Colts offense is averaging 30.3 points and 421.4 yards per game which both rank third in the NFL and they are led by QB Andrew Luck who has completed 61.4 percent of his passes with 38 touchdowns and 14 interceptions.

Trent Richardson has rushed for 507 yards. T.Y. Hilton leads the team with 82 catches, 1345 yards and 7 TDs and is listed as questionable with a thigh injury.

On defense, Indy has been without stud pass rusher Robert Mathis all season and is allowing 22.6 points and 351 yards per game but they are minus four in turnover ratio. D’Qwell Jackson has 120 tackles, Jerrell Freeman has 89 tackles, and Mike Adams has 74 tackles.

The Colts clinched the AFC South division with a 17-10 home victory over the Houston Texans last week but are not planning on resting players in the last two weeks of the season.

“No, we could have done that in 2012. We’re going to play them all,” head coach Chuck Pagano said. “Try to win them all because you never know what’s going to happen. All we can control is what we can control, and we can control how we go play on Sunday. I don’t what’s going to happen with the rest of the division and the conference. We’re going to do everything we can to give ourselves the best possible chance in the playoffs.”

Along with Romo and Luck going head-to-head for the first time, this will also ge the first time head coaches Jason Garrett and Chuck Pagano face each other.

The Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game, and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite of 0.5-3.0 points.

The Colts are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games following an ATS loss, 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 games in December, and 4-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.

NFL Week 16 Against The Spread Betting Pick: Colts +3.

NFL Week 16 ATS Upset Pick - Detroit Vs Chicago

NFL Week 16 ATS Upset Pick – Detroit Vs Chicago

This Sunday, we will see an NFC North battle that means the playoffs for one team and pride for the other as Matthew Stafford, Megatron and the Detroit Lions face Alshon Jeffery, Matt Forte and the Chicago Bears without Jay Cutler at Soldier Field.

While the current NFC North leading Detroit Lions are on pace for a well deserved playoff berth, the Bears are in shambles after another ugly loss, this time at home on Monday Night Football in front of a national crowd against the New Orleans Saints.

The NFL week 16 betting odds have the visiting Lions as one touchdown favorites ATS over the Bears. The game total is 45.5.

Matchup: Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears
Date: Dec. 21, 2014 
Start Time: 1:00 p.m. ET 
Location: Chicago, Illinois
Stadium: Soldier Field
TV Info: FOX
Radio:  Detroit Vs  Chicago
Point Spread: Lions -7
Game Total: 45.5

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Analyzing My NFL Week 16 ATS Upset Pick – Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears

Detroit just rallied to beat Minnesota last week 16-14, pushing their record to 3-0 straight up and 2-1 ATS over their last three games. The Lions gave up two touchdowns before scoring sixteen straight points for the W.

That adds up to four games that the Lions have won after trailing in the final quarter and while this offense may be built to come back from behind they don’t want to make a habit of it. Detroit only ranks 17th in total offense but second in total defense and first against the run, holding foes to just 64 yards per game on the ground. The Lions also own a plus-eight turnover ratio.

A closer look at the Lions inconsistent offense you will find a team averaging 20.1 points and 340.9 yards per game led by QB Matthew Stafford who has completed 61.5 percent of his passes with 19 touchdowns and 10 interceptions.

Joquie Bell leads the Lions ground attack with 726 yards and six touchdowns and Golden Tate is Detroit’s leading receiver with 91 catches and Calvin Johnson has 61 catches.

On defense, DeAndre Levy has 132 tackles, Tahir Whitehead has 79 tackles, and Ndamukong Suh has 42 tackles and 6.5 sacks. The Lions have been rock solid despite playing through a slew of injuries.

The bumbling Bears just lost their third straight game and there is little light at the end of the tunnel. I could go into the numbers but I don’t have to. This is a team with great talent but no leadership at QB or at head coach.

"We were not in unison tonight collectively on the offensive side of the ball, and that starts with me," Chicago coach Marc Trestman said.

Chicago lost to the Lions at Ford Field back on Thanksgiving Day 34-17 but actually led that game early 14-3. The Bears had the seven-point spread covered going into the fourth quarter but allowed the Lions to score the last 10 points.

The Bears are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 home games, 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss of more than 14 points, 8-23 ATS in their last 31 vs. NFC teams, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall, and 3-13 ATS in their last 16 vs. NFC North.

The Lions are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0 points, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in December, 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games on grass, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win, but 8-3 ATS in their last 11 vs. NFC North.

Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last six games when playing at home against Detroit, but 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Detroit.

NFL Week 16 ATS Upset Pick: Da Bears +7

New England Vs NY Jets Week 16 NFL Betting Odds

New England Vs NY Jets Week 16 NFL Betting Odds

Before you think that the Rex Ryan and the New York Jets will just roll over when Tom Brady, Gronk and the New England Patriots come to town you are mistaken.

This rivalry dates back the the Bill Parcells/Bill Belichick days in New York, but it hasn’t cooled down in recent years. This week former Jet and current Patriot CB Darrelle Revis will be front and center in his return to New York.

"(I’m a) little sick to my stomach," Jets head coach Rex Ryan said of seeing Revis in a New England uniform.

Remember, it was only a blocked field goal that separated these two foes in October and now the visiting Patriots are 10 point favorites at MetLife Stadium when they face the Jets.

Matchup: New England Patriots at NY Jets
Date: Dec. 21, 2014 
Start Time: 1:00 p.m. ET 
Location: East Rutherford, New Jersey  
Stadium: MetLife Stadium
TV Info: CBS
Radio:  New England Vs  New York
Point Spread: Patriots -10
Game Total: 47

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Analyzing The Week 16 NFL Betting Odds – New England Patriots at NY Jets

The Patriots may be riding high after securing their sixth straight AFC East title, but they have a lot to lose in this game — primarily, home-field advantage for the playoffs.

New England has the number one scoring offense in the NFL averaging 31.6 points per game, and the reason has been Tom Brady’s return to MVP form. He has thrown for 3847 yards, 32 TD s & 8 INTs this season. His favorte target, TE Rob Gronkowski is healthy and has 76 receptions for 1093 yards & 11 TDs.

The Patriots have 6th ranked passing offense along the 19th ranked rushing.

The Patriots ground game has been showcased in several games, showing opponents that the Patriots can beat you on more than just Brady’s arm. The Pats RBs averaging 3.9 yards per carry with Jonas Gray leading the way with 407 rushing yards and four touchdowns.

Defensively, the New England Patriots are allowing 20 points, 352.2 yards, and they’ve forced 36 sacks and 23 turnovers. Jamie Collins leads New England with 100 tackles and Rob Ninkovich has eight sacks.

The NY Jets snapped a three-game losing streak by barely beating the Titans 16-11 in Tennessee, in a game perhaps neither team wanted to win.

QB Geno Smith recorded 179 yards, 1 TDs without an interception and his total this season read 1957 yards, 9 TDs & 12 INTs, while leading his team to be the worst passing offense in the entire league.

"A real fan, a Jet fan, wants to win," NY Jets Rex Ryan said. "It doesn’t matter what pick you get or whatever. If Peyton Manning’s out there, I can understand it, but I don’t think Peyton Manning’s out there. You know what? We’re fighting every game, and we’re going to fight next week, too, against New England. Jet fans want to win, are you kidding me? We’ve only got two of them."

Smith is completing 57.8 percent of his passes for nine touchdowns and 12 interceptions. Smith has two touchdowns and two picks in his last three games. WRs Eric Decker and Jeremy Kerley have combined a shade over a shoddy 1,000 receiving yards and five touchdowns while newcommer Percy Harvin has seven receptions in his last three games.

The Jets ground game is averaging 4.7 yards per carry, as Chris Ivory leads the way with 739 rushing yards and six touchdowns.

Defensively, the New York Jets are allowing 25.7 points, 329.8 yards, and they’ve forced 34 sacks and 11 turnovers. David Harris leads the Jets with 105 tackles and Sheldon Richardson has 6.5 sacks.

Bill Belichick leads the series against Rex Ryan 8-4 in 12 meetings, but Ryan is up 3-2 in games played in New York.

The Patriots are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0 points, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in December, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. AFC teams and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

The NY Jets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games, 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games on field turf, 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win, but 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games in December.

Expect the Patriots to cover the 10 points. Belichick won’t be denied his last opportunity to beat Rex as Jets head coach.