Tony Romo, DeMarco Murray and the Dallas Cowboys have been the most entertaining team to watch this season and this Sunday they host Andrew Luck, TY Hilton and the Indianapolis Colts. Dallas has struggled at home home, but the Colts D is softer than French handshake. If Romo can keep his offense on the field longer than Luck can, this game will go the Cowboys’s way.
Even with 10 wins, the Cowboys are far from guaranteed a playoff berth in the competitive NFC where they currently sit in third. Their crucial Week 15 victory over the Philadelphia Eagles gave them a one-game lead in the NFC East, but a lot can change with two games left on tap. The No.1 overall seed is still in play for Dallas, and having beaten the Seattle Seahawks could be a key component in a tiebreaker scenario. The Cowboys could also miss the playoffs, since two straight wins for the Eagles would give Chip Kelly’s team the tiebreaker in the division.
— Indianapolis Colts (@Colts) December 16, 2014
The Colts are playing good football, even though Luck has struggled in the past few weeks, and are currently in the race for a first-round bye. They clinched the AFC South title with a Week 15 victory over the Houston Texans. The Colts trail the New England Patriots and Denver Broncos by one game, and a head-to-head loss to each club means a bye might be out of the question. The No.3 or No.4 seed in the conference appears to be where Indianapolis will finish the regular season.
The NFL Week 16 betting spread has the Cowboys as 3 points home favorites over the Colts. The game total of a towering 55 points, the highest of the week, points to a high scoring game.
This game will be the first matchup between Tony Romo and Luck.
Matchup: Indianapolis Colts at Dallas Cowboys
Date: Dec. 21, 2014
Start Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
Location: Arlington, Texas
Stadium: AT&T Stadium
TV Info: BCS
Radio: Indianapolis Vs Dallas
Point Spread: Cowboys -3
Game Total: 55
Analyzing The NFL Week 16 Against The Spread Betting Options – Indianapolis Colts at Dallas Cowboys
The Cowboys are coming off a 38-27 point come from behind victory over their division rival Philadelphia Eagles pushing their road record to a league leading 7-0, but this week they play in Arlington where they are a mere 3-4.
The Cowboys have the 16th ranked passing offense and the 3rd ranked rushing offense combing to average 27.2 points and 377.7 yards per game. QB Tony Romo has completed 69.3 percent of his passes with 28 touchdowns and eight interceptions.
RB DeMarco Murray, who leads all back in the league with 1687 yards & 11 TDs is doubtful to play on Sunday after having a surgery on Monday to repair a a fractured bone in his fourth finger on his left hand.
If Murray plays less than a week after undergoing surgery, it will be with protective padding on his left hand, not a cast, reports the Dallas Morning News. Murray went through individual drills Wednesday wearing a glove enforced with a hard plastic shell.
Cowboys RB DeMarco Murray returned to the practice field today just 2 days after having surgery on his left hand » http://t.co/Qlwnw0tCI2
— NFL on ESPN (@ESPNNFL) December 17, 2014
"The biggest question we have to ask ourselves is, is he functional to do his job?" Cowboys head coach Jason Garrett said. "Can he hold the football? Can he carry it under duress? Can he block? Can he do the things necessary to play the position?
"He’s as strong-willed and as determined an individual as I’ve ever been around, and if anybody has a chance to come back, he does."
If he can’t go then RBs Joseph Randle (34 carries, 237 yards 2 TDs) and Lance Dunbar (26 attempts, 91 yards, 0 TDs) will share the load against the 16th rushing defense on Sunday.
Cowboys have called pass on 39% of Randle's snaps and 72% of Dunbar's this season. So, their roles are fairly clear.
— Mike Clay (@MikeClayNFL) December 15, 2014
The Cowboys defense is allowing 23.4 points and 359.9 yards per game and they are plus two in turnover ratio. Barry Church has 86 tackles, Rolando McClain has 77 tackles, and J.J. Wilcox has 67 tackles. Now they face the No. 1 ranked passing offense in the league.
The Colts offense is averaging 30.3 points and 421.4 yards per game which both rank third in the NFL and they are led by QB Andrew Luck who has completed 61.4 percent of his passes with 38 touchdowns and 14 interceptions.
Trent Richardson has rushed for 507 yards. T.Y. Hilton leads the team with 82 catches, 1345 yards and 7 TDs and is listed as questionable with a thigh injury.
On defense, Indy has been without stud pass rusher Robert Mathis all season and is allowing 22.6 points and 351 yards per game but they are minus four in turnover ratio. D’Qwell Jackson has 120 tackles, Jerrell Freeman has 89 tackles, and Mike Adams has 74 tackles.
The Colts clinched the AFC South division with a 17-10 home victory over the Houston Texans last week but are not planning on resting players in the last two weeks of the season.
“No, we could have done that in 2012. We’re going to play them all,” head coach Chuck Pagano said. “Try to win them all because you never know what’s going to happen. All we can control is what we can control, and we can control how we go play on Sunday. I don’t what’s going to happen with the rest of the division and the conference. We’re going to do everything we can to give ourselves the best possible chance in the playoffs.”
— Indianapolis Colts (@Colts) December 16, 2014
Along with Romo and Luck going head-to-head for the first time, this will also ge the first time head coaches Jason Garrett and Chuck Pagano face each other.
The Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game, and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite of 0.5-3.0 points.
The Colts are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games following an ATS loss, 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 games in December, and 4-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.