Category Archives: NFL

Against the Spread Monday Night Football Odds Have Dallas Favored By 10 Over Washington

Against the Spread Monday Night Football Odds Have Dallas Favored By 10 Over Washington

Washington finally chalked up another win last week after going winless since week 2 and now they head to Dallas to face the hottest & argueably the best team in the league, Cowboys. Click here for more NFL betting odds.

Washington (2-5) is ranked 21st in rushing offense (696 yards through seven games), winless in the division and at the bottom of the NFC East.

Dallas (6-1) leads the league in rushing (1,118 yards), sits atop the NFC East and can mount a claim, amid its six-game winning streak, as the most dangerous team in the league. QB Tony Romo, 34, is having one of his more productive seasons (104.7 passer rating) despite being 10 months removed from back surgery.

“Anytime you’re able to run the football, that’s the quarterback’s best friend,” Dallas Coach Jason Garrett said during a conference call Thursday.

Who has the upper hand this Monday night when Dallas hosts Washington in a huge rivalry game?

Washington Stats Leaders

  • Passing: Cousins – 126-204, 1710 yds, 10 tds
  • Rushing: Morris – 115 car, 440 yds, 3 tds
  • Receiving: Jackson – 26 rec, 528 yds, 3 tds

Dallas Stats Leaders

  • Passing: Romo – 148-214, 1789 yds, 14 tds
  • Rushing: Murray – 187 car, 913 yds, 7 tds
  • Receiving: Bryant – 45 rec, 590 yds, 4 tds

Matchup: Washington at Dallas Cowboys
Date: Monday, Oct. 27th
Time: 8:30 P.M.
Arena: AT&T Stadium
Location: Dallas, Texas
Live Stream Info: NFL Game Center
Radio Info: Sirius XM Radio
Point Spread: Dallas -9.5
Moneyline: Washington +400/Dallas -500
Total: 49.5

Washington Vs. Dallas Against the Spread Monday Night Football Analysis

Things are not going well in Washington. The curse of the ridiculously, stupid, asinine football name might actually be real. Since a 41 to 10 victory, Washington has looked absolutely horrendous. Yes, they pulled out a victory over Tennessee 19 to 17, but they did so as a -6 point favorite.

For football handicappers backing the “Why Don’t You Just Change the Nickname Already!” team, Washington has cost them more money than they’d care to think about. Washington is an awful 2 and 5 ATS this season. They’ve gone 0 and 4 ATS in their last 4 games and they’re down to their third string quarterback in Colt McCoy. McCoy might actually be a step up from Kirk Cousins who had a 10 to 9 TD to interception ratio before being benched in the Tennessee game. Supposedly, RGIII might be ready to play this Sunday. Even if he does, will it matter? Will a quarterback who hasn’t played in roughly 2 months be able to step onto the field and navigate Washington to an ATS cover versus one of the best teams in the NFL?

Yep, that isn’t a misprint. The Dallas Cowboys have become one of the best teams in the NFL. Quarterback Tony Romo is putting up MVP type numbers. Romo has passed for 1789 yards and 14 touchdowns. His QB rating this season is a spectacular 104.7. His TD to interception ratio in the Cowboys’ last 5 games is 12 to 3. If the season ended today, Romo might have to be the pick for MVP because he is, without question, the Cowboys’ team leader.

Not that Dallas is one-dimensional on offense, far from it. The Cowboys are the best rushing team in the NFL. Dallas rushes for 159.7 yards per game on average. DeMarco Murray is going to get some MVP votes as well if the Cowboys keep this up. Murray already has rushed for 913 yards. He’s scored a total of 7 touchdowns and appears as unstoppable as Romo and the passing attack.

Washington has a decent defense but it’s going to have to pick its poison in this matchup. Does Washington crowd the line to stop Murray, thereby allowing Romo to throw passes to his bevy of weapons including Dez Bryant and tight-end Jason Witten? Or, does Washington play nickel packages to slow down Witten and Bryant and allow Murray to run through those gigantic holes that the Dallas offensive line has been creating?

Trends wise, a case can be made for Washington having the upper hand since it is 6 and 1 in the last 7 meetings in Dallas. But Washington is also 2 and 7 against the spread in its last 9 road games and the Cowboys are 6 and 1 ATS in their last 7 games versus an NFC East opponent and the home team is 4 and 1 in the last 5 meetings between these two.

Make no mistake, 10 points is a lot and it doesn’t matter who Washington starts at QB (Colt McCoy, Kirk Cousins or RG3) it won’t be enough to beat the 2014 Dallas Cowboys.

Against the Spread Monday Night Football Pick: Dallas Cowboys -10  

SNF Betting Odds and Predictions: New Orleans at Dallas 

Green Bay at New Orleans Sunday Night Football Odds and Picks

For the week 8 Sunday Night football betting odds Drew Brees, Jimmy Graeme and the New Orleans Saints will play host to Jordy Nelson, Clay Matthews, Julius Peppers, Aaron Rodgers the Green Bay Packers in a battle of explosive offensives.

The Packers, who are a 1 point underdog at the Superdome, have a 1-7 straight up and against the spread record in their last eight games as a road underdog. Can they take advantage of the struggling Saints?

Green Bay Stats Leaders

  • Passing: Rodgers - 141-211, 1674 yds, 18 tds
  • Rushing: Lacy - 92 car, 369 yds, 4 tds
  • Receiving: Nelson - 47 rec, 712 yds, 6 tds

New Orleans Stats Leaders

  • Passing: Brees – 178-263, 1916 yds, 11 tds
  • Rushing: Robinson – 64 car, 330 yds, 2 tds
  • Receiving: Graham – 34 rec, 376 yds, 3 tds

Matchup: Green Bay Packers at New Orleans Saints
Date: Oct. 26, 2014
Start Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
Stadium: Mercedes-Benz Superdome
Location: New Orleans, Louisiana
Live StreamNBC Sports Live Extra
Radio: For Saints, click here. For Packers, click here.
Point Spread: New Orleans -1
Total: 56

Packers Vs Saints Sunday Night Football Odds and Picks Analysis:

New Orleans had the game won versus Detroit in Week 7. The Saints were up 23 to 17 before an interception by Drew Brees led to a Detroit touchdown. Then, the Saints couldn’t muster any sort of rally with about a minute and 40 seconds left. Detroit ended up winning the game and the Saints’ road woes continued.

Now, the Saints take on a surging Green Bay team in the Superdome on Sunday. Green Bay has won 4 games in a row. The Packers have also covered in 4 straight games and quarterback Aaron Rodgers has produced QB ratings of 151.2, 138.7, 99.7, and 154.5. Rodgers has now thrown for 1674 yards and 18 touchdowns to only 1 interception. That’s terrible news for New Orleans because the Saints have a decimated defensive backfield.

Safety Jarius Byrd is out for the season. Cornerback Patrick Robinson is questionable and cornerback Keenan Lewis, although he isn’t on the injury list just yet, got hurt against Detroit in Week 7. There could be a silver lining with the Saints’ D playing at home if not for the fact that the Saints give up an alarming 270.5 yards per game on average through the air.

Green Bay’s offense averages 28.4 points per game and 226.7 passing yards. Even though the Packers don’t rush the ball well, it might not matter since the Saints’ D is so awful against the pass. Green Bay should be able to score at will against the defense.

Yes, the Saints have a good offense, but it faces one of the best defenses in the NFL against the pass on Sunday. The Packers allow only 214.9 passing yards per game through the air. What it means is that in order for the Saints to win this game and cover the 2 points, its offense is going to have to outscore the Packers’ offense. It’s hard to see that happening since Rodgers has been so amazing the past four games.

When it comes to trends, the Packers are the easy pick. Green Bay is 14 and 3 in their last 17 games in October, 6 and 2 against the spread in their last 8 versus the NFC and 4 and 1 against the spread in their last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. New Orleans is 2 and 5 against the spread in their last 7 games following an ATS victory. The Saints are also 2 and 9 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

Green Bay is an easy pick to beat the Saints straight up in this contest. One hot team, the Packers, face a team that, for the most part, has given up. It’s Green Bay to cover in the Sunday Night NFL Week 8 matchup.

Sunday Night Football Pick: Green Bay Packers +2 & the over.

Indianapolis Colts at Pittsburgh Steelers Against the Spread Betting Picks

Indianapolis at Pittsburgh Against the Spread Betting Picks

Even after their epic comeback against the Texans last week, the Pittsburgh Steelers will still be rare home underdogs Sunday when they host the hottest team in the AFC, the Indianapolis Colts.

The Steelers have been home dogs mere seven times since 2005, going 5-1-1 against the spread (ATS) in those games and winning four of them straight up (SU). They are also 10-2-1 ATS in their past 13 games as home dogs dating back to 2000.

Head-coach Mike Tomlin expects both injured rookie linebacker Ryan Shazier (knee) and safety Shamarko Thomas (hamstring) to play Sunday when they host the Indianapolis Colts.

Indianapolis Colts at Pittsburgh Steelers
When:  4:25 pm ET, Oct. 26
Where: Heinz Field, Pittsburgh, PA
Betting Odds: Indianapolis -3

Colts Vs Steelers Against the Spread Betting Picks Analysis:

The Steelers found a way to win Monday despite being outplayed for most of the first half.  Scoring three touchdowns in the final 1:27 of the second quarter against Houston. It started with a 35 yard pass from Big Ben Roethlisberger to Martavis Bryant. Then, came a 3 yards pass from Lance Moore to Antonio Brown after a Texans’ fumble. An interception led to a 2 yard run by Le’Veon Bell and, just like that, the game was over.

There was no way that Houston was going to come back from an onslaught like that. No way. Let’s be honest with ourselves, though. The Steelers got lucky. Houston was controlling the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball. If the Steelers go out in the first half and play lackadaisical football against Indianapolis, they’re going to lose the game by a wide margin.

Pittsburgh’s offense is one of the best in the NFL. It averages 386.7 yards per game. Le’Veon Bell has rushed for 599 yards. He’s definitely solved whatever rushing issues the Steelers had going into the season. He’s a work horse that gives his team 100 yards on most days. Roethlisberger is having a Pro Bowl type season. He’s passed for 1858 yards and he’s thrown 10 touchdowns to only 3 interceptions.

As good as the Steelers offense has been this season; the defense has been just as bad. The Pittsburgh defense gave up 31 points to Cleveland in a shocking 17 to 31 Pittsburgh loss. Even Houston scored 23 points against the Steelers’ D and the Houston offense has a lackluster passing attack.

It wouldn’t be an issue for the Steelers if they didn’t face the best offensive team in the NFL in the Indianapolis Colts on Sunday. The Colts average 30.9 points a game. That ranks Indy second in the scoring department. The Colts average 452.9 yards per game. That ranks it first in the NFL in yards per matchup. Andrew Luck throws for 329.6 yards per game. That ranks the passing attack first in the league in yards per contest.
Luck has put up MVP numbers this season. He’s thrown for an incredible 2331 yards and 19 touchdowns. Luck and the offense is supported by what’s turning into a very good defense. The Colts allow only 311.1 yards per game, ranking it third in the NFL in yards allowed per. The defense also allows only 96.7 rushing yards and 214.4 yards on average per game through the air.

Pittsburgh is 4 and 1 ATS versus a team with a winning record; the Colts are 4 and 1 ATS in their last 5 road games. The trends won’t help us to make a pick.
The truth is that Indianapolis, based on stats, should rock Pittsburgh on Sunday, but the games are played on the field. The crazy game versus Houston could very well have woken Pittsburgh up and it’s always tough to give points to a road favorite.

In the NFL, road favorites don’t always do enough to cover spreads. The line is 3 points. Pittsburgh has to be the play because they’re the home dog in this matchup.   

Agains the Spread Betting Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers +3