Category Archives: NHL

Stanley Cup Playoff Betting Odds

How To Hedge Your Losing NHL Playoff Futures Bet

While playoff rounds are underway, the oddsmakers will take down most of the NHL playoff futures betting boards so you’re usually stuck with what you went with until the series are decided. Did you take a bad beat or just run in to some brutal luck? Well then you’re going to need to know how to hedge your losing NHL playoff futures bet.

By definition, a hedge bet is anything that reduces the loss of risk. You can apply this to any play you’ve made whether it’s a series wager, conference play or long term NHL playoff futures bet. There are three go-to methods to recoup the risk you threw at those gambles, or at the very least recover a strong portion of it.

Bet On The Games

Duh. Say you took the Tampa Bay Lightning to win the Stanley Cup because you couldn’t help but be drawn to them with 24-to-1 odds and you’re scared to death of how they performed in the first game (they were outshot 44-22 but only lost in overtime during a brilliant effort). Well then now might be the time to start betting against the Tampa Bay Lightning.

Track Weird Trends Like The OVER

Scoring has been creeping higher and higher in this day and age, reducing the value of goalies across the board because the idiots that run the NHL try their darndest to tailor the league for non-fans who will go berserk if they don’t see goals. The first three games of the post season all went in the OVER. Betting on the OVER is a great stand alone play, but it’s also a fantastic way to boost your game-line pick with a parlay. Right now the OVER looks like a hot trend.

Isolate Each Playoff Round

One of the methods for managing risk is understanding your own behavior. Let’s say that you risked a total of $100 in the futures market and bet $200 worth of action on the games. Now let’s suppose that you lost that futures play and came out ahead by $100. Guess what? You broke even. That’s a good day at the office, and a much better one than losing any money on any given night. If you came out slightly (or way) ahead, then give yourself a pat on the back. If you lost your shirt, then don’t sweat it.

There’s always the next round. What you should be doing is reserving some pocket change for the latter rounds instead of blowing your bankroll on the first round and keeping your fingers crossed. Diversify that portfolio a little and make sure that you have enough to attack the conference semi-finals regardless of what happens in the quarters.

If you lost your NHL futures play, you can make another one on a team that looked sharp or double-down if your pre-playoff pick is still in play. It’s all about ensuring that you treat each round as an isolated phase of betting. How much did you risk and how much did you win? If you came out ahead at the conclusion of any round, you’re winning money so it doesn’t matter if you lost that futures play because you still have more money than when you started. That’s the name of the game, and one of the best angles I could suggest to you if you want to know how to hedge your losing NHL playoff futures bet.

The Best Stanley Cup Underdog Odds To Bet On

The Best Stanley Cup Underdog Odds To Bet On

One of the most attractive reasons to attack the NHL futures board is finding the best Stanley Cup underdog odds to bet on, because as we all know, nothing is guaranteed in a seven game series. Hockey is different than the other major sports when it comes to the playoffs. Momentum is a relentless behemoth that can stand by a team or abandon it in a heart beat. Seeding is generally tossed out the window. Boston is obviously the favorite to win at +380, but even the smartest gambler knows that it’s hard to feel comfortable with the obvious choice.

Playoff hockey is unforgiving, unpredictable and immune to your advanced metrics.

That’s part of what makes it awesome.

Notice another thing about the odds: the NBA Championship futures have the Bobcats at +27500. Twenty-seven thousand! The highest number in the NHL futures is +5500 on Dallas. That’s how strange hockey can be and why finding the best Stanley Cup underdog odds to bet on is a worthwhile quest.

The Best Stanley Cup Underdog Odds To Bet On

Odds On The Tampa Bay Lightning To Win the Stanley Cup are +2400

Everything has gone wrong for Tampa Bay down the home stretch. Maybe it’s the inevitable karma for trading away franchise stalwarts like Vincent Lecavlier and Martin St. Louis. Maybe it’s just bad luck. Or maybe the hockey gods just hate the idea of hockey in St. Petersburg. Either way, the odds here are what they are for a lot of reasons.

The most notable is that starting goalie Ben Bishop is injured and is probably out for the balance of the playoffs. That puts Anders Lindback in net and if you don’t know who that is then don’t feel bad. But that makes Lindback the most likely candidate to be the Out Of Nowhere Goalie Who Just Won’t Stop Standing On His Head.

I know that seems like a truly asinine reason to tout a team with some of the best Stanley Cup underdog odds to bet on, but everything has gone so badly for Tampa heading in to the playoffs that they’re bound for some dumb luck by now. It’s worth an initial investment to start off with, which you can pad in later rounds as you build confidence around the Lightning. There’s still a lot here to make Tampa Bay an enticing play, especially with Stamkos storming through at full health.

Odds On The Philadelphia FlyersTo Win the Stanley Cup are +2600

The Flyers probably have the best Stanley Cup underdog odds to bet on in the NHL futures because of who they are. They’re a dynamic, physical and hard working team that can absolutely impose their will on you. I like every player on this team and they have routinely showed up in the playoffs ready to rumble. Playing physical is one of the qualities of a great playoff hockey team, and Philadelphia fits that bill.

Of course, one of the reasons to steer clear of Philly is the fact that they routinely find themselves in the penalty box and usually beat the crap out of themselves to such a degree that they can’t maintain a high level of output throughout the post season. But in terms of going toe-to-toe with the best in the conference – the Boston Bruins – the Flyers are one of the most well equipped. They just have to get there.

Odds On TheMinnesota Wild To Win the Stanley Cup are +5000

It’s hard to see Minnesota getting past Colorado in the first round because the Avalanche have been…uh…avalanching so hard lately. Did you know that the Avs are 34-0-2 SU when they’re leading after two periods? Yikes. That’s discipline.

So why bother with the Wild here? Because they’re a great defensive team and they have a lunatic between the pipes with Ilya Bryzgalov who just might be crazy enough to think he’s the best goalie in the universe. Breeze is also protected by a stout defensive front led by Ryan Suter and the Wild don’t allow a lot of shots (just 27.5 per game, 5th in the NHL). Stopping goals and preventing shots is half the battle in a hockey game. True story.

Their offence isn’t great, but that’s kind of the point of good defensive teams. Zach Parise is not a world beater but he’s a great hockey player and Jason Pomminville is one of the game’s more under-appreciated creators. Both are solid two-way players as well. Plus, the fans in Minnesota absolutely LOVE this team. That can mean the difference in any home game.

Teams that are great defensively always have a shot in the post season. That’s the bottom line. And if Minnesota steals one or two in the Rocky Mountains during the first round, they have a shot at not only beating the Avs but of also being owners of the best Stanley Cup underdog odds to bet on at a staggering 50-to-1 price line.

NHL Playoffs Round 1 Predictions – The Best Exact Series Prices

NHL Playoffs Round 1 Predictions – The Best Exact Series Betting Odds

I’m here with a flurry of NHL Playoffs Round 1 betting predictions straight to your gut. These are my favorite takes on the exact series betting odds in our NHL futures. The puck drops on Wednesday so start ingesting as much NHL news as you can handle. This is going to be a great playoff round!

NHL Playoffs Round 1 Betting Predictions

Why Pittsburgh Will Sweep Columbus In 4 Games

I mean there’s just no way around it, and you’re getting a 7-to-1 return on Pittsburgh decimating Columbus. Where the Blue Jackets have always been pretty strong is in the centers, but very few teams run as deep as Pittsburgh does as in this department.

Columbus will lose control of the puck almost every time they get in the circle and that gives the Penguins the upper leg. Having the three best players in this series – Letang, Crosby and Malkin – doesn’t hurt either. A win over the Blue Jackets isn’t a lofty NHL Playoff Round 1 prediction, but a sweep is a daring take and I’m so in for this one.

Boston Will Muscle Past A Stiff Detroit Team in 6 Games

I’m giving Babcock the benefit of the doubt with two wins here because he’s a great coach, but his roster is dealing with a ton of injuries and if you’re not at full health heading in to a series with Boston, you’re not going to be at full health coming out of a series with Boston.

The Bruins are either paying out 5-to-1 to sweep or less than +350 to win at any other time. I like them in six games.

Tampa Bay Will Topple Montreal In 6 Games

I just don’t see how either team stops the other offensively. Tampa’s Steven Stamkos is bar none the best scorer in the game (sorry Ovechkin) and to show you how tight this series are, the Canadiens are +400 to win in 6 while Tampa is +500. I think that the pressure created by the overzealous fans in Montreal creates havoc as Tampa gets their feet under them early by hosting the first pair of games. Most people have Montreal in their NHL Playoff Round 1 predictions, but I’m going against the grain. Sorry, Canada…er…Canadiens.

Why Philadelphia Will Beat New York In 6 Games

Sometimes you have to follow the lead of the oddsmakers when it comes to series prices, and the Flyers winning in 6 games has a 4-to-1 payout. That’s the lowest odds on the entire board for this series aside from a rangers win in Game 7 (+350). You know why? Because Game 6 is in Philly and those rabid fans would love nothing more than to see New York’s finest sent back to the apple with their tails tucked between their legs. Follow the lead of the oddsmakers. I prefer the Flyers in 6, but if you prefer the Rangers overall then take them in seven.

Crack Out The Brooms In Dallas for Anaheim

Another series that’s boasting 7-to-1 odds for a sweep, the Anaheim Ducks are a nightmare matchup for Dallas who have no defensive makeup to really speak of. It’s remarkable that the Stars are even in the playoffs to be honest.

I expect the hard charging Ducks to ramrod the Stars in to alignment with a golf course pretty quickly. That’s why I’m taking a sweep here in my NHL Playoffs Round 1 predictions.

San Jose and Los Angeles Will Go The Distance

The Sharks winning in San Joe in Game 7 pays out the smallest, but it’s my favorite bet in this particular market. This is one of the toughest series with which to place an NHL Playoff Round 1 prediction because the Sharks are built for success while the Kings are built for the post-season. It’s a clash of the titans, especially considering that Joe Thornton is in the twilight of his career. The Sharks have never gone to the Finals with all of their talent, but they’re usually a no-brainer in the first round which is while I’ll give them the benefit of the doubt here against a grizzly Kings team that is far from perfect.

Colorado Buries Minnesota Wild In 5 Games

The Avalanche have been the most surprising team of the 2014 season, but it won’t be shocking when they landslide the Wild towards an early exit. This series pays out 8-to-1 on an Avalanche sweep, and drops to +450 in a five game series victory. The oddsmakers are right on point here – Minnesota has a win in them. They just don’t have much after that.

St. Louis Takes Chicago In 6 Games

This game finishing in the sixth or seventh game is basically giving you 4-to-1 odds on either side (it’s up and down depending on the game and the team) but I simply prefer St. Louis.

Chicago has been slumping a little as they wait for the post season to begin, and they’re not as strong defensively as they have been in the past. I don’t see this series going the distance like most do, and my NHL Playoff Round 1 predictions have the Blues winning in 6 as they capitalize on the somewhat lethargic Blackhawks in the opening round.