As is always the case, check your local listings and hit the NBA sportsbook the day-of to see what the game lines are. All of the listed NBA free picks I’ve made below are against the spread and straight up, based on estimations of what the line should be.
The Best NBA Betting Picks This Weekend
Indiana Pacers over BOSTON CELTCIS (Friday 8pm EST)
The Pacers have been one of the hardest betting picks to make money on amongst teams that are actually winning games. Part of the problem is that the lines they’re facing are getting out of hand. The other issue is that Indiana is still adjusting in the wake of the Danny Granger deal that brought Evan Turner to town. Turner chipped in 13 points in a 118-98 win over the Lakers that was Indiana’s first cover since they railed Denver in early February.
Indiana rough and tumble 4-5-1 ATS record over the last 10 games has left their backers a bit cold but a matchup against the listless Celtics seems more than appropriate as a time to get things back in order. Boston is just 1-4 SU and 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games and are generally a bad bet at home where they’re 12-16-1 ATS overall this season. Indiana should be an upward trending team down the home stretch as a road play in the sportsbook. When they’re on their own court, I would be wary but they should be fairly strong away from it.
PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS over Denver Nuggets (Saturday 10pm EST)
The Blazers have returned to the forefront as one of the best betting teams in the league after a rip roaring 7-3 ATS run. They’re actually 4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games since the break, but the results in the book are undeniable. I still believe that Portland is less of an automatic play and more of a matchup wager.
Thankfully a game against the Denver Nuggets is the perfect time to back Portland. Denver has not-so-secretly been the worst betting team in the league since the turn of the new year. You can blame injuries and poor decisions by the front office all you want, but a 1-9 ATS record is a 1-9 ATS record. Backing Portland in this NBA betting pick has more to do with how I feel about the awful Nuggets than it does about the upward trending Blazers to be fully honest. We’ll see if Portland can maintain this quiet hot streak they’ve been on.
TORONTO RAPTORS over Golden State Warriors (Sunday 4pm EST)
This could be one of the best games of the weekend. I mean that. Stop laughing! The Warriors have been hit-and-miss lately in NBA betting picks but still have Curry playing at an MVP level. The thought of Curry and Klay Thompson going up against Lowry and DeRozan should have basketball fans ditching their Sunday afternoon plans to check out this game.
Toronto, which is 6-1 SU and 4-2-1 ATS in their last 7 games have been a hidden gem for the NBA betting community as well. At home, they’re a solid 4-1 SU and 2-2-1 ATS in their last 5 but have been facing some cake walk competition. The oddsmakers won’t give these Raptors the benefit of the doubt on Sunday, and that makes the home bound Toronto Raptors one of my favorite NBA betting picks of the weekend.
From the very first tip-off of this college basketball betting season, we knew that this was going to be a tough campaign to properly track. The defending champion Louisville Cardinals are ranked fourth in the nation, and have put together a very convincing 9-1 SU stretch where they’ve also gone a pretty promising 7-3 ATS. They are one of the hottest teams in the country as Russ Smith and this band of unknowns tries to win back-to-back national titles. To do that, they need to keep winning conference matchups.
Memphis won’t make it easy. I haven’t been offering many NCAAB betting tips on the newly formed AAC conference because no team has been very consistent against the line. Louisville’s recent surge has made them a stronger play recently, and a pretty attractive 6-3 ATS record when travelling this year should also lure you towards them. Simply put, this is a team that is peaking at the right time and a win in Cincinnati over the weekend was a huge statement for them, even if it didn’t cover the line.
NCAAB – #4 Louisville Cardinal (23-4) vs. #22 Memphis Tigers (21-6)
The defending champion Louisville Cardinals visit Memphis to take on the 22nd ranked Tigers.
Starts: 03/01/2014 2:00PM
FedExForum, 191 Beale St.
The Memphis Tigers are starving for attention as Joe Jackson and Shaq Goodwin literally carry this team on their own. They combine for 27.2 points per game, while Goodwin adds 6.4 rebounds and Jackson leads the team in assists. The Tigers are actually a very good defensive team that loves to hawk after the ball in transition. They limit their opponents to just 43.0 percent fro the field, while scoring 79.2 points per game for themselves. In any other season, Memphis would be a top ten team but it’s hard to push them while giving out my daily NCAAB betting tips when this year has so many competitive programs.
Memphis has also gone just 3-1 SU and 1-3 ATS in their last 4 games and have lost recent road trips to UConn and SMU while barely beating schools like Temple, UCF and Gonzaga on their own court. Memphis is just 5-7 ATS in their 12 home stands this year and the AAC isn’t a very good group. If the Tigers were truly a threat, they’d be much stronger at home.
Louisville is simply getting their act together at the right time, just like they did last year and Memphis seems to be falling apart at the seams. The workload on Jackson and Goodwin just seems to be wearing them down, even though Austin Nichols is coming on strong. Overall, I just don’t see how Memphis slugs it out with Louisville even with a home court advantage. That’s why leaning on Louisville has been one of the simplest NCAAB betting tips I’ve been handing out lately.
NCAAB Betting Tips and Picks – Louisville to win SU and ATS
The Creighton Bluejays went from being one of my automatic college hoops free picks to a pretty big stay-away play in a hurry. They’ve collected a polished 7-1 SU record over their last 8 games, but are just 3-5 ATS in those matchups. Overall, they’re still one of the best bets on the open market – and an excessively fun team to watch – but they’ll have their hands full against a strong home betting team like Xavier.
Doug McDermott remains the guy to watch for Creighton, and even if you’re not backing the Bluejays like all of us were earlier in the year. McDermott just dropped 29 points on Seton Hall, 25 on Marquette and a mind-numbing 39 points on Villanova. The guy’s legit. And comparisons to Adam Morrison are unfair – McDermott has more technical polish and a wider variety of weapons in his arsenal.
But will it be enough against for you to bet against Xavier? The last time these two teams met, Creighton won 95-89 but failed to cover as -8.5 home favorites in college hoops free picks. They’ll still have a hefty handicap as the road team, but it might not be worth backing either way. Xavier has shown an ability to keep up with Creighton on the scoreboard and are 10-4 ATS at home this season.
#9 Creighton Bluejays (23-4) vs. Xavier Musketeers (19-9)
The Creighton Bluejays try to stay hot as they visit the Xavier Musketeers this Saturday in a Big East matchup.
Starts: 03/01/2014 5:00PM
Cintas Center, 1624 Herald Avenue
Xavier is actually an overlooked team in the Big East. Every other program in the conference is struggling to stay above .500 in the ATS column. But the Musketeers are a daring 16-10 ATS this season. The biggest issue? They’re 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
The Musketeers have a deep roster bolstered by talented players like Justin Martin and Semaj Christon but they’re just not worth riding right now. I understand that Creighton has been a very troubling bet in college hoops free picks lately, but with a soft line against a team that can’t seem to slow down McDermott, I trust Xavier even less.
College Hoops Free Pick – Creighton to win and cover