Packers Vs Steelers Line & Expert Pick

Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns Line, Predictions & Free Pick

This will be the second week in a row when the Pittsburgh Steelers are facing an easy conference rival that need to beat to keep their playoff dreams alive. Last week the Steelers lost to the Ravens, putting a dent in their playoff hope, and this week they face the Cleveland Browns.

The game kicks off on CBS this Sunday, January 3rd at 1:00 PM ET from the FirstEnergy Stadium in Cleveland Ohio.

How To Bet The Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns NFL Week 17 Line

The NFL week 17 betting line favors the Steelers by 11-points to beat the Browns. If you are betting the moneyline straight up, Pitt will pay 525 for 100 while Cleveland pays 415 on 100. The game total is at 47.5 points.

What: Pittsburgh Steelers (9-6) at Cleveland Browns (3-12)
When: Sunday, January 3, 2016
Kickoff: 1:00 PM ET 
Where: Cleveland, OH
Stadium: FirstEnergy Stadium
Spread: Steelers -11
Moneyline: Pittsburgh -525 vs Cleveland +415
Game Total: 47.5
Watch: CBS
Stream: CBS Sports
Listen: Pittsburgh vs Cleveland

Why Bet The Pittsburgh Steelers at -11 Over The Browns

The Pittsburgh Steelers are 9-6 straight up and 7-5-3 against the spread this season. They average 26.3 points (4th), 283.3 passing yards (5th), 112.9 rushing yards (13th) per game. The Steelers had won three games in a row—and five of six—to position themselves well in the AFC wild-card race, but they suffered a letdown last week and lost at injury-bedeviled Baltimore, 20-17.

QB Ben Roethlisberger (3584 yards, 18 TDs & 14 INTs) posted a 62.7 rating last week. That’s his second-lowest of the season. He completed 24 of 34 passes for 215 yards, with two interceptions. He has been turnover prone with five picks in his last three games. He will bounce back this week as he has dominated the Browns during his career, throwing 32 touchdowns and 15 interceptions, with a 19-2 record.

Roethlisberger came on in relief of Landry Jones against Cleveland on Nov. 15, going 22 of 33 for 379 yards with three scores and one interception in a 30-9 home win. Antonio Brown had 10 catches for 139 yards and two touchdowns, giving him 31 receptions for 460 yards and three scores in his last four matchups.

Week-in, week-out WR Antonio Brown (123 rec, 1647 yards, 9 TDs) proves he’s the top pass catcher in the league. Last week He caught seven passes for 61 yards. He also had a TD called back on the sidelines. His two compatriots, Martavis Bryant (49 rec, 765 yards, 6 TDs) and Markus Wheaton (41 rec, 692 yards, 4 TDs), also cause havoc on opposing defenses with their size and speed. All three could catch 100 yards and multiple TDS against a Browns defense that struggles against the pass.

Rusher DeAngelo Williams (195 att, 899 yards, 11 TDs) has picked up the ball and ran with it in the absence of Le’veon Bell, who has hardly seen the field this season due to suspension and injury. Last week, he ran the ball 17 times for 100 yards and two touchdowns.

Pittsburgh’s defense allows 20.5 points (11th), 278.0 passing yards (30th), and 91.5 rushing yards (6th) per game. Lawrence Timmons has 110 tackles, Cameron Heyward has 7.0 sacks and Ross Cockrell has 10 deflected passes.

Why Bet The Cleveland Browns at +9.5 Over the Steelers

The Cleveland Browns are 3-12 straight up and 5-9-1 against the spread this season. They average 17.1 points (29th), 240.3 passing yards (17th) and 96.2 rushing yards (19th) per game. They scored 13 points each time in consecutive losses at Seattle and Kansas City. The Browns have dropped 17 of 20 dating back to last season.

QB Johnny Manziel (1500 yards, 7 TDs & 5 INTs) season is over due to a concussion. Last week, he completed 13 of 32 passes for 136 yards, with one interception. Austin Davis will start in Manziel’s place. The Browns have also signed Pat Devlin to be a backup.

TE Gary Barnidge (71 rec, 977 yards, 9 TDs) is 23 yards away from his first 1000-receiving yards. WR Travis Benjamin (63 rec, 913 yards, 5 TDs) is also gunning for his first 1000 yard season.

The rushing duo of Isaiah Crowell (170 att, 653 yards, 4 TDs) and Duke Johnson Jr. (100 att, 368 yards, 0 TDs) are auditioning for jobs next season as neither has stood out in 2015. Both have had disappointing campaigns but a good performance in a game they can only play spoiler in could land either or both a starting gig elsewhere.

Cleveland’s defense allows 26.9 points (29th), 244.0 passing yards (19 th ) and 135.0 rushing yards (32 nd ) per game. Karlos Dansby has 101 tackles, Desmond Bryant has six sacks and Tramon Williams has 10 deflected passes.

Betting Stats & Trends Related To This Matchup:

  • 9/7/2014: Pittsburgh won 30 to 27, Cleveland covered +7, Game went over 41.5
  • 10/12/2014: Cleveland won 31 to 10, Cleveland covered -1, Game came under 47
  • 11/15/2015: Pittsburgh won 30 to 9, Pittsburgh covered -7, Game came under 43
  • The visiting team is 2-6 ATS in its last eight games in this matchup.
  • The Steelers are 21-3 SU in their last 24 games against the Browns.
  • The Browns are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games.

Free Pick & Final Score Prediction:

Giving double digits versus a conference rival the you play twice a year is risky, but the Steelers will rebound after last week’s lackluster effort and take their anger out on the hapless Browns. Without Manziel this team has zero playmakers on either side of the ball.

My final score prediction is Pittsburgh 31, Cleveland 10.

Posted in NFL
How To Bet The NY Jets at Buffalo Bills Spread & Expert ATS Pick

How To Bet The NY Jets at Buffalo Bills Spread & Expert ATS Pick

All that stands between the red-hot New York Jets and the 2015-16 NFL playoffs is Rex Ryan and his Buffalo Bills.

Well, how’s that for a hair raising finish to their 2015-16 campaigns?

The New York Jets have turned what everyone thought would be a rebuilding season under new head-coach Todd Bowles into a Week 17 win-and-in scenario against the Bills and their former head-coach, who was fired after failing to lead New York to the postseason in each of the last four of his six seasons.

Ryan is already 1-0 against his former team after a 22-17 victory over the Jets in a Thursday night game in Week 10. 

Keep reading to find out more about the 111th meeting between the Jets battle the Bills on Sunday in Buffalo.

A Closer Look At How To Bet The NY Jets at Buffalo Bills NFL Week 17 Spread

The NFL week 17 betting spread favors the New York Jets by a field-goal to beat their former coach and his new team. If you are betting the moneyline straight up, the Jets pay 100 on 150 while the Bills pay 130 on 100. The over/under is at 43 points. It may sound high for two teams that are usually known for their defense, but the NFL week 17 oddsmakers are on point with their total.

What: NY Jets (10-5) at Buffalo Bills (7-8)
When: Sunday, January 3, 2016
Kickoff: 1:00 PM ET 
Where: Buffalo, NY
Stadium: Ralph Wilson Stadium
Spread: Jets -3
Moneyline: New York -150 vs Buffalo +130
Game Total: 43
Watch: CBS
Stream: CBS Sports
Listen: New York vs Buffalo

Why Bet The NY Jets at -7 Over The Texans Bills

The NY Jets are 10-5 straight up and 8-5-2 against the spread this season. They average 24.7 points (10th), 258.6 passing yards (11th) and 116.4 rushing yards (11th) per game. Last week, they beat New England by a 26-20 in OT after the Pats coach Bill Belichick decided to kick-off instead of receive.

Over the last five games the Jets are undefeated. Why?

Ryan Fitzpatrick’s (3724 yards, 29 TDs & 12 INTs) steady play during the winning streak has been MVP-like. He has thrown for 1,525 yards and 13 touchdowns with one interception. In three of the last four games, Fitzpatrick has driven the Jets to a win in the final 2 minutes of regulation or overtime.

Why has Fitz been so successful?

The play of wideouts Brandon Marshall (101 rec, 1376 yards, 13 TDs), who set the franchise’s season record with 101 catches to date and Eric Decker (75 rec, 977 yards, 11 TDs) has made it easy for Fitz.

“There was still a ton of belief and I just think you know being in the league and having experience that a lot of us do have, you can recognize when you have a good team,” Fitzpatrick said. “So, I think the belief’s always been there just because we see the way that everybody works week in and week out and we see the talent level on this team.

“I think that the belief has been there from Day 1 and it hasn’t wavered.”

RB Chris Ivory (241 att, 989 yards, 7 TDs) has struggled the past few weeks after starting the season red-hot. He has averaged a paltry 37.5 rushing yards per game over the last two. His backup, Bilal Powell (70 att, 313 yards, 1 TD) isn’t an option as the starting rusher.

New York’s defense allows 19.5 points (7th), 239.0 passing yards (16th) and 81.5 rushing yards (1st) per game. David Harris has 94 tackles, Muhammad Wilkerson has 12.0 sacks, and Darrelle Revis has five interceptions.

Why Bet The Buffalo Bills at +3 Over the NY Jets

The Buffalo Bills are 7-8 straight up and 7-7-1 against the spread this season. They average 23.7 points (12th), 210.7 passing yards (27th), 154.6 rushing yards (1st) per game.

The banged-up Bills have gone in the opposite direction of the Jets since the previous time the teams met, losing four of five before beating Dallas 16-6 last Sunday. However, they’re motivated by the chance to be a factor in the AFC playoff race.

The Bills front-office confirmed Wednesday that coach Rex Ryan and general manager Doug Whaley will return next season even though the team fell short of Ryan’s expectations. The decision was made easier after the stellar play of QB Tyrod Taylor who Ryan pegged as the starting QB early in the season.

Taylor (2853 yards, 20 TDs & 6 INTs) has taken Buffalo by storm and has earned the starting gig for the Bills next season. His play has been the bright spot for the Bills who have been looking for their first franchise QB since Doug Flutie.

WR Sammy Watkins (49 rec, 911 yards, 9 TDs) has played at a Pro-Bowl level when his injuries have allowed. He is the teams top playmaker down the field and is only in his second season in Buffalo. WR Robert Woods (47 rec, 552 yards, 3 TDs) and TE Charles Clay (528 yards, 3 TDs) are an average supporting cast for this team at best.

RB LeSean McCoy (203 att, 895 yards, 3 TDs) has had one of his worst seasons of his career, mostly due to nagging injuries that has plagued him since the pre-season. He hasn’t found the end zone in the last four games, and has averaged 51.5 rushing yards per game in his last two outings.

Buffalo’s defense allows 22.8 points (16th), 253.0 passing yards (23rd) per game, 107.2 rushing yards per game (15th). Corey Graham has 121 tackles, Jerry Hughes has five sacks, and Ronald Darby has 21 deflected passes.

Betting Trends & Stats Related To This Matchup:

  • 10/26/2014: Buffalo won 43 to 23, Buffalo covered +3, Game went over 41
  • 11/24/2014: Buffalo won 38 to 3, Buffalo covered -2.5, Game came under 42
  • 11/12/2015: Buffalo won 22 to 17, Buffalo covered +2.5, Game came under 41.5
  • The Jets are 0-4 SU and ATS in their last four games against the Bills.
  • The Bills are 1-6 SU and ATS in their last seven games in January.
  • The Bills are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games as home underdogs.

Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction:

The Jets are coming off a huge emotional victory over a hated divisional rival. Now their eyes are firmly set on a wild-card spot in the playoffs. Standing in their way is Rex, who always gets his players to play their best when there’s a little extra on the line. But a coach can only motivate his players so much. For a season that began with so much promise, Buffalo can finish no better than .500. 

Can the Bills sidetrack quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick, who has a 106.5 passer rating during the win streak, with 13 touchdown throws and one interception? Doubtful.

Can Buffalo get a repeat of their productive rushing attack from last week without LeSean McCoy (knee)? Unlikely.

My NFL Week 17 Expert ATS Pick: New York Jets -3 over Buffalo

Posted in NFL
Miami Vs Cincinnati TNF Odds & Pick

Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals Odds, Pick & Betting Preview

The Baltimore Ravens put a dent on the Steeler Nation’s playoff hopes last week. This week, they hope to do the same to another AFC North opponent in the Cincinnati Bengals. A win by the Ravens will force the Bengals to play in the opening week of the playoffs, something they don’t want to do with the Red Rifle on the shelf.

How To Bet The Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals NFL Week 17 Odds

The NFL week 17 betting spread has the Cincinnati Bengals as 9-point favorites to beat the Baltimore Ravens. If you are betting on the moneyline straight up then the Ravens pay 300 on 100 while the Bengals pay 360 on 100. The game total is 42.5. The game kicks off on FOX this Sunday, January 3rd at 1:00 PM ET from Paul Brown Stadium in Cincinnati, Ohio.

What: Baltimore Ravens (5-10) at Cincinnati Bengals (11-4)
When: Sunday, January 3, 2016
Kickoff: 1:00 PM ET 
Where: Cincinnati, OH
Stadium: Paul Brown Stadium
Spread: Bengals -9
Moneyline: Baltimore +300 vs Cincinnati -360
Game Total: 42.5
Watch: FOX
Stream: Fox Sports Go
Listen: Baltimore vs Cincinnati

Why Bet The Baltimore Ravens at +9 Over the Bengals Odds

The Baltimore Ravens are a disappointing 5-10 straight up and 4-9-2 against the spread this season. Untimely injuries derailed their playoff hopes. They average 20.5 points (23rd), 265.6 passing yards (8th) and 94.6 rushing yards (24th) per game. Last week, they upset the Steelers by 20-17 a score.

Under recently signed fourth-stringer QB Ryan Mallet (274 yards, 1 TDs & 0 INTs) the Ravens made timely. He posted a 95.0 passer rating in the win against the Steelers, completing 68.3 of his passes. Another solid audition on Sunday and Mallett could earn himself another chance to play his way into a starting gig next season.

The Ravens had a stellar game running the football against Pittsburgh last week, posting 121 rushing yards combined. Javorius Allen (123 att, 478 yards, 1 TD) was the top yard producer, recording 79 yards and one touchdown in 18 carries.

Rookie WR Kamar Aiken (70 rec, 868 yards, 5 TDs) is going to be a household name in the NFL. He’s averaging 12.5 yards per catch and has 49 catches, 32 more than the next active Raven.

Baltimore’s defense allows 25.1 points (22nd), 239.0 passing yards (17th) and 101.1 rushing yards (11th) per game. Daryl Smith has 118 tackles, and Elvis Dumervil has six sacks.

Why Bet The Cincinnati Bengals at -9 Over the Ravens Odds

The Cincinnati Bengals are 11-4 straight up and 12-2-1 against the spread this season. They average 26.3 points (4th), 251.7 passing yards (13th) and 110.7 rushing yards (14th) per game. The injury bug has hurt the Bengals over the last couple of weeks and they lost a critical game against the Broncos last week by a 20-17 score in overtime.

After fracturing his right thumb two weeks ago, the Bengals are doing everything they can to speed up QB Andy Dalton’s (3250 yards, 25 TDs & 7 INTs) healing process, per NFL Media Insider Ian Rapoport, but the bone hasn’t fully healed yet. NFL Media’s Mike Silver reported that Dalton’s cast could be removed as early as Tuesday.

Backup QB AJ McCarron (694 yards, 4 TDs & 2 INTs) has looked good but unexperienced in filling in for Dalton and making news worse is that he may not be available for week 17 after spraining his left wrist in OT last week versus the Broncos. Rapoport reported Monday that McCarron’s left wrist sprain is significant. However, since it’s on his non-throwing hand, he’s intent on going. The Bengals will not be sure whether to start McCarron until later this week.

Cincinnati’s third quarterback is Keith Wenning, a second-year player out of Ball State, who has never taken a snap in the league. The Bengals also signed quarterback Mike Kafka to their practice squad.

The good thing for whoever suits up under center for teh Bengals is that they will be throwing to wideouts A.J. Green (82 rec, 1263 yards, 9 TDs) and Marvin Jones (60 rec, 778 yards, 4 TDs). Word on if TE Tyler Eifert (48 rec, 564 yards, 12 TDs) will be back after missing the last two games due to a concussion is sketchy.

To win this game the Bengals will need to lean on their running game which has often struggled this season after being rock steady last season. Between the rushing duo of Jeremy Hill (207 att, 698 yards, 10 TDs) and Giovani Bernard (148 att, 694 yards, 2 TDs) the Bengals have averaged 80.0 rushing yards per game in their last three outings.

Cincinnati’s defense allows 17.5 points (1st), 246.0 passing yards (20th), and 94.5 rushing yards (7th) per game. Vincent Rey has 94 tackles, Carlos Dunlap has 13.5 sacks, and Dre Kirkpatrick has 15 deflected passes.

Betting Trends & Stats Related To This Matchup:

9/7/2014: Cincinnati won 23 to 16, Cincinnati covered +1.5, Game came under 42.5
10/26/2014: Cincinnati won 27 to 24, Cincinnati covered +3, Game went over 44.5
9/27/2015: Cincinnati won 28 to 24, Cincinnati covered +2, Game went over 45.5

Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction:

Cincinnati has had their way with Harbaugh’s team as of late, winning five of the last six games, including four straight. The Bengals came to Baltimore in Week 3 and Andy Dalton was responsible for four touchdowns in the game. A.J. Green continued his run of dominating the Ravens secondary, racking up 227 yards and two touchdowns on 10 receptions.

Can the Ravens pull off an upset two weeks in a row? I doubt it. Cincinnati has a better defense than the Steelers and I expect AJ McCarron to start with his the injury only affecting his non-throwing hand.

My final score prediction is Baltimore 14, Cincinnati 28.

Posted in NFL