College Football ATS Betting Analysis Week 13 

Updated College Football Week 1 Lines

The 2016 College Football season is and so are the latest week 1 lines for the marquee games. Happy hunting!

Updated College Football Week 1 Lines

Thursday, Sept. 1

Indiana (-9.5, 61) at Florida International

Charlotte at Louisville (-39.5, 60)

Tulane at Wake Forest (-17, 43)

Rice at Western Kentucky (-16.5, 63)

South Carolina at Vanderbilt (-3.5, 42)

Oregon State at Minnesota (-13, 55.5)

Appalachian State at Tennessee (-20.5, 59)

Friday, Sept. 2

Ball State at Georgia State (-3.5, 52.5)

Army at Temple (-16, 46.5)

Colorado State at Colorado (-8, 56.5) in Denver

Kansas State at Stanford (-15, 47.5)

Toledo at Arkansas State (-3, 64.5)

Saturday, Sept. 3

Georgia Tech (-3, 44) at Boston College in Dublin

Hawaii at Michigan (-40.5, 54.5)

Miami (OH) at Iowa (-27.5, 51.5)

Western Michigan at Northwestern (-5.5, 52)

Bowling Green at Ohio State (-28, 63)

Kent State at Penn State (-21.5, 46)

Missouri at West Virginia (-9.5, 50.5)

New Mexico State at UTEP (-9.5, 60)

SMU (-9.5, 67) at North Texas

South Alabama at Mississippi State (-28.5, 55.5)

Texas State at Ohio University (-21, 58.5)

Southern Miss at Kentucky (-6.5, 63.5)

Louisiana Tech at Arkansas (-26, 53.5)

U Mass at Florida (-35.5, 50)

Clemson (-7.5, 62) at Auburn

UCLA at Texas A&M (-3, 53)

San Jose State at Tulsa (-4, 70)

Rutgers at Washington (-26, 55)

LSU (-10, 44.5) at Wisconsin in Green Bay

North Carolina at Georgia (-3, 56)

Oklahoma (-10.5, 68) at Houston at NRG Stadium

Fresno State at Nebraska (-28.5, 62)

USC at Alabama (-10.5, 54)

Boise State (-20, 63.5) at La Lafayette

BYU at Arizona (-1.5, 60) in Glendale

Northern Illinois (-10, 55.5) at Wyoming

Sunday, Sept. 4

Notre Dame (-3.5, 60) at Texas

Monday, Sept. 5

Ole Miss at Florida State (-4.5, 57) in Orlando

Nebraska Vs Iowa Spread & ATS Pick

Miami of Ohio Vs Iowa Line & Final Score Prediction

The 17th-ranked Iowa Hawkeyes have a no-doubt-about-it victory looming when they host the Miami-Ohio RedHawks in a Week 1 mismatch that is an absolute straight-up (SU) lock. The Las Vegas college football oddsmakers are making no bones about it by listing Iowa as 27.5-point favorites.

However, with the Hawkeyes being huge home favorites in this Week 1 regular season opener, the big question is whether or not Iowa will cover the spread as a whopping 28-point home favorite.

Let’s find out now!

Miami (OH) Redhawks Vs No.17 Iowa Hawkeyes Betting Line & My Final Score Prediction

The public is 67% on the Iowa Hawkeyes to cover the spread. The point spread opened at IOWA -28.5. The line movement indicates more money is being placed on the side of the Miami (Ohio) RedHawks to cover. 

What: Miami (OH) Redhawks (0-0) at No.17 Iowa Hawkeyes (0-0)
When: Saturday, September 3, 2016
Start Time: 3:30 PM ET 
Where: Iowa City, IA
Stadium: Kinnick Stadium
Spread: Iowa -27.5
Moneyline: Miami (OH) +3000 at Iowa -7000
Game Total: 51.5
Watch: ESPN U
Stream: Watch ESPN
Listen: Miami (OH) vs Iowa

Bet The Miami-Ohio RedHawks at +27.5 Because…

The RedHawks are a good bet because they’re getting a whopping four touchdowns and managed to compile a winning ATS record in 2015.

Miami-Ohio (3-9 SU, 7-5 ATS) increased its win total by grand total of one in head coach Chuck Martin’s second season but the RedHawks are still a long way off from being a competitive program.

The good news for the Redhawks is that they have far more experience heading into 2016 than they had last season after an all-out youth movement a year ago. The RedHawks have named traditional pocket passing sophomore Billy Bahl as the starter and returns its top five running backs from last season, both, starting wide receivers, their top two tight ends and four starters on the offensive line.

On the other side of the ball, Miami-Ohio has an elite defensive end in senior J.T. Jones that finished second in the MAC with 10 sacks while junior outside linebacker Paul Moses looks to improve on the 71 tackles he recorded last season after being coveted from running back.

Miami-Ohio will have a new starting middle linebacker sophomore Junior McMullen, but are solid in the secondary with senior safety Buchi Okafor heading up an experienced group that will be bolstered by the addition of Ole Miss graduate transfer Tee Shepard.

Bet The Iowa Hawkeyes at -27.5 Because…

The Hawkeyes are playing at home and are simply put,  far superior to Miami-Ohio in all three phases of the game!

Iowa (12-2 SU, 7-6-1 ATS) played fantastic football in 2015 by recording 12 wins and narrowly missing out on a shot at reaching the four-team CFB Playoff.

The good news for the Hawkeyes is that underrated head coach Kirk Ferentz returns senior quarterback C.J. Beathard long with six other starters on offense and eight on defense.

While Iowa lost to Michigan State 16–13 in the Big Ten Championship Game before getting routed by Stanford 45–16 in the Rose Bowl, this is a team that I believe could surprise in a big way once again in 2016.

Iowa averaged 181.7 rushing yards per game last season, but will need to find a replacement for departed senior Jordan Canzeri. Senior LeShun Daniels and junior Akrum Wadley combined for more than 1,100 rushing yards and 15 touchdowns and will be expected to provide even bigger contributions this coming season. Senior Matt VandeBerg returns at wide receiver after leading Iowa in catches (65) and receiving yards (703).

Defensively, the Hawkeyes will be led by gifted lock-down cornerback Desmond King, the 2015 Jim Thorpe Award winner. Three starters return on the defensive line and two of the Hawkeyes’ three starting linebackers will be back as well. Last but not least, senior cornerback Greg Mabin and junior strong safety Miles Taylor return to join King in a secondary that could be one of the best in the country in 2016.

Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction

While I hate insanely high point spreads featuring mismatched opponents, I’m going to say the Miami-Ohio RedHawks are the pick to cover the spread as huge four-touchdown-plus road underdogs.

While Miami-Ohio has posted an uninspiring 9-19 ATS in their last 28 games in the month of September and a discouraging 1-4 ATS in their last five games against teams from the Big Ten, the RedHawks also closed out the 2015 campaign by going 4-1 ATS in their final five games overall. 

Iowa is just 1-4 ATS in their last five games against teams from the MAC and a discouraging 0-5-1 ATS in their last half-dozen home games.

Iowa wins outright, but Miami-Ohio covers with just a  bit of room to spare!

My Pick: Iowa 35 Miami-Ohio 17
Alabama Vs LSU Line & Free Pick

LSU Vs Wisconsin Odds & Expert Pick

While the LSU Tigers almost parted ways with longtime head coach Les Miles after underachieving in a big way in 2015, the Wisconsin Badgers managed to record another double-digit win season in Paul Chryst’s first year leading his beloved alma mater.

The college football week 1 odds favor LSU by 10-points to beat Wisconsin. The game total is 44.5-points.

So, which one of these playoff-hopeful programs will bring home the bacon in their intriguing Week 1 showdown?

Let’s find out now!

LSU Tigers Vs Wisconsin Badgers Week 1 Odds & My Expert Pick

The public is 59% on the Wisconsin Badgers to cover the spread. The point spread opened at LSU -9.5. The line movement indicates more money is being placed on the side of the LSU Tigers to cover. 

What: No. 5 LSU Tigers (0-0) at Wisconsin Badgers (0-0)
When: Saturday, September 3, 2016
Start Time: 3:30 PM ET 
Where: Green Bay, WI
Stadium: Lambeau Field
Spread: LSU -10
Moneyline: LSU -370 vs Wisconsin +310
Game Total: 44.5
Watch: ABC/ESPN 3
Stream: Watch ESPN
Listen: LSU vs Wisconsin

Bet The LSU Tigers at -10 Because…

The Tigers have as much elite talent as any team in the country, not to mention, one of the best running backs in all of college football.

LSU  (9-3 SU, 6-6 ATS) ranked a respectable 39th in total offense a year ago (437.9 ypg) and 44th in scoring (32.8 ppg) thanks mostly to Heisman Trophy candidate running back Leonard Fournette and their seventh-ranked rushing attack (258.0 ypg).

The Tigers will lean heavily on their bruising big back after he rushed for a stellar 1,953 yards and 22 touchdowns in 2015.

Ultimately though, it will be the play of talented but wildly inconsistent quarterback Brandon Harris that will determine just how far the Tigers go in 2016. Harris underachieved in a big way in 2015 by completing just 53.8 percent of his passes while tossing a modest 13 touchdown passes and six interceptions.

The Tigers also need to replace starting tackles Vadal Alexander and Jerald Hawkins, but with nine returning starters on offense, all excuses are out the window for LSU in 2016.

LSU will be on its third defensive coordinator in the last three years as Dave Aranda takes over a unit that ranked 25th in total defense (347.1 ypg) and 41st in points allowed (24.2 ppg).

The good news is that LSU returns a whopping 10 starters on the defensive side of the ball, including All-SEC safety Jamal Adams. Unfortunately, the Tigers will find replacing superstar defensive back Jaylen Mills and stud linebacker Deion Jones an unenviable task to say the least. Jones recorded a team-high 100 tackles, 13.5 tackles for a loss, five sacks and two interceptions.

Bet The Wisconsin Badgers at +10 Because…

The Badgers will be playing in front of their crazed fans at Green Bay’s Lambeau Field and have almost as much talent as LSU. 

The Badgers (10-3 SU, 6-7 ATS) return an identical seven starters on both sides of the ball in 2016, but needs to find a new starting quarterback to replace graduated signal-caller Joel Stave.

The good news is that Wisconsin will have gifted running back Corey Clement back on the field after the heir apparent to Melvin Gordon missed virtually all of his junior season in 2015 with a sports hernia after racking up over 900 yards behind Gordon as a sophomore two years ago.

Clement will be a big part of Wisconsin’s offensive attack this coming season after the Badgers fell all the way to 95th in rushing last season while posting their lowest rushing total in two decades.

Clement will have help in the form of fellow backs Dare Ogunbowale, Taiwan Deal and Bradrick Shaw in what could be one of the best backfield in the nation this coming season.

As for the quarterback spot, senior Bart Houston has been named the starter, but Chryst also needs to find a new No. 1 receiver to replace former star Alex Erickson, who had 77 catches for 978 yards last season.

Defensively, Wisconsin needs to replace a pair of stars in linebacker Joe Schobert and safety Michael Caputo. Schobert led the Badgers with 9.5 sacks and 19.5 tackles for a loss, while Caputo simply made plays all over the field for Wisconsin last season.

Still the Badgers look solid with their front seven and have plenty of experience at cornerback, although the safety position is a question mark as they break in two new starters.

Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction

LSU Heisman Trophy candidate Leonard Fournette will headline this intriguing Week 1 pairing, but I’m going on record right now to say that I like the Wisconsin Badgers to bag the outright win in their home opener.

I know the Tigers have a ton of talent, but unless I see a different Brandon Harris from the one I saw under center last season, I just don’t have much faith in the Tigers.

Yes, LSU could very well record  a double-digit win campaign in 2016, but again, if Harris isn’t able to pass the ball efficiently then LSU will be the same one-dimensional team they were a year ago.

The best case scenario is that Harris plays more like Clemson star Deshaun Watson, but lets’ be honest. Hoping for that scenario to ply out is kind of like hoping to win your state lottery.

Wisconsin won 10 games in Paul Chryst’s first season and have won eight of their last 10 home games while suffering their only two home losses during that stretch by just six and four points respectively.

I know the Badgers are just 1-4 ATS in their last five games against teams from the SEC, but I’m going with Wisconsin to cover the college football betting odds as a 10-point home dog against an LSU team they match up very well against!

The Pick: Wisconsin 28 LSU 24