Monthly Archives - September 2016

Arizona State Vs Arizona Spread & ATS Pick

Arizona Vs UCLA Odds & Pick

Arizona, 2-2, travels to UCLA, 2-2, in what is already shaping up as an elimination game in the Pac-12. The Week 5 college football odds favor UCLA to beat Arizona by 13.5-points. Both teams are desperate to get something positive going after the .500 starts.

The game kicks off on Saturday, Oct 1st, 2016 at 10:30 PM ET on ESPN from the Rose Bowl in Pasadena, CA.

Arizona Wildcats Vs UCLA Bruins Odds & Pick

This is a game between two awful against the spread teams. Arizona is a terrible 1-3 ATS while UCLA is a worse 0-4 ATS. UCLA opened as a -10.5 favorite. The Bruins are now a -13.5 favorite. The total in the game is at 59 points.

What: Arizona Wildcats (2-2) at UCLA Bruins (2-2)
When: Saturday, Oct 1st, 2016
Start Time: 10:30 PM ET
Where: Pasadena, CA
Stadium: Rose Bowl
Spread: UCLA -13.5
Moneyline: Arizona +405 vs UCLA -500
Game Total: 58.5
Watch: ESPN
Stream: Watch ESPN
Listen: Arizona vs UCLA

Bet on Arizona Because…

Arizona can score points. The Wildcats don’t play great defense but they can sure score points. Arizona averages 30.5 points per game. They have a fairly balanced offense as well. The Wildcats pass for 209.5 yards per. They rush for 248 yards per. Arizona’s offense is good enough that it scored 28 points against Washington, a team that has one of the best defenses in the nation.

Bet on UCLA Because…

UCLA owns Arizona. The Bruins are 4-0 straight up in the last 4 meetings between these 2 teams. The home team, UCLA in this case, is a winning 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings. UCLA needs to win big against Arizona. The Bruins have failed against better teams in Stanford and Texas A&M this season.

Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction

The game sets up for a UCLA win. Arizona’s defense gives up 25.5 points per game on average. It gives up 454.5 yards per game.

To make matters worse for the Wildcats, they’ve got a long injury report going into this game. QB Anu Solomon is questionable. Then again, Solomon not playing in this game might actually work out for the Wildcats.
Back-up QB Brandon Dawkins, who has filled in for Solomon on more than one occasion already in 2016, isn’t a great passer. He’s thrown for only 675 yards and 3 touchdowns to 1 interception. But Dawkins is an exceptional runner. He’s averaging 8.9 yards per carry. He’s scored 7 rushing touchdowns while rushing for 391 yards.

UCLA has a good offense and a decent defense. I don’t think the Wildcats do enough to win this game straight up. But they could do enough to keep it closer than 13.5 points. 

My final score prediction is UCLA 37, Arizona 27.
Arizona State Vs USC Spread & ATS Pick

Arizona State Vs USC Spread & ATS Pick

The undefeated Arizona State Sun Devils travel to Los Angeles to face the 1-3 USC Trojans in an important Pac-12 battle, Kick-off is scheduled for 8:30 PM ET, Saturday, Oct. 1st on Fox Sports.

The Week 5 college football spread favors USC by 8-points to beat ASU. Now let’s find out if you should bet on the Trojans or are the Sun Devils the smart bet.

Arizona State Sun Devils Vs USC Trojans Spread & ATS Pick

Arizona State has been a big surprise this season. The Sun Devils aren’t only undefeated straight up but they’re also 3-1 against the spread. USC has been a surprise in a disappointing way this season. The Trojans are 1-3 against the spread.

What: Arizona State Sun Devils (4-0) at USC Trojans (1-3)
When: Friday, September 30, 2016
Start Time: 8:30 PM ET
Where: Los Angeles, CA
Stadium: Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Spread: USC -8
Moneyline: Arizona State +320 vs USC -380
Game Total: 64
Watch: FOX Sports
Stream: Fox Sports Go
Listen: Arizona State vs USC

Bet on Arizona State Because…

Arizona State’s rushing attack will wear down USC’s defense. The Sun Devils are a power rushing football team. They score a lot of points but their bread and butter is running the football. ASU sticks to the rushing attack even if it doesn’t yield results in the first 2 quarters. It’s worked so far as the Sun Devils commitment to the run has led to an undefeated record.

Bet on USC Because…

USC is better than their 1-3 straight up record. The losses have been to Alabama, Stanford and Utah. Those are 3 Top 25 teams. Stanford is ranked in the Top 10 while Alabama is the number one ranked team in the nation. The Trojans play a team that’s more on their level in the Arizona State Sun Devils on Saturday. They should perform much better against ASU than they have so far this season.

ATS Pick

There is no way that Arizona State should be a 9-point dog in this game. The Sun Devils have too strong of a rushing attack to be such big underdogs. ASU rushed the ball 50 times against Cal. They only yielded 164 yards. That’s a 3.3 per carry average.

But that’s just the thing. Who cares if it only yielded a 3.3 per carry average?  ASU wore down Cal’s defense to eventually win the game 51 to 41 as a -3.5 home favorite.

What you have to worry about if you’re a USC fan is the defense’s ability to last for 4 quarters. USC looked great against Utah for most of the game. Then, as soon as the 4th quarter rolled around, the Trojans gave it up.

I just don’t see USC’s defense holding up against the ASU power rushing attack. I think ASU wears out the defense and the Sun Devils sneak away with the straight up win. 

My final score prediction is Arizona State 31, USC 28
Odds & Picks To Win The SEC

Kentucky Vs Alabama Line & Free Pick

The 2-2 Kentucky Wildcats travel to Tuscaloosa to take on the top-ranked and 4-0 Alabama Crimson Tide in an SEC tilt this weekend. Kick-off is scheduled for 7:00 PM ET on Saturday Oct. 1st on ESPN from the Bryant-Denny Stadium.

Kentucky Wildcats Vs Alabama Crimson Tide Line & Free Pick

The Week 5 college football odds favor Bama by 34.5-points to beat UK. There is no question that the Vegas NCAAF odds makers believe the Tide are going to roll, but will they cover the betting spread?

What: Kentucky Wildcats (2-2) at No. 1 Alabama Crimson Tide (4-0)
When: Saturday, October 1, 2016
Start Time: 7:00 PM ET  
Where: Tuscaloosa, AL
Stadium: Bryant-Denny Stadium
Spread: Alabama -34.5
Moneyline:
Game Total: 57.5
Watch: ESPN
Stream: Watch ESPN
Listen: Kentucky vs Alabama

Bet on Kentucky Because…

Kentucky has looked great in its last 2 games. In its first 2 games, the Wildcats looked horrible. They lost 35 to 44 to Southern Miss as a -3.5 favorite. Florida absolutely demolished Kentucky 45 to 7. But, then, the Wildcats turned it around. They were fantastic when dropping 62 points on New Mexico State in a 62 to 42 win. Their 17 to 10 win against South Carolina was almost inspiring.

Bet on Alabama Because…

The Crimson Tide have one of the best defenses in the history of college football. Alabama’s defense allows 281.5 total yards per game. Opponents average 212.8 passing yards per game. They average a bit over 68 rushing yards per game. The defense is tight.

Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction

Alabama should beat Kentucky by 50 points in this matchup. But I have the feeling that the Crimson Tide aren’t going to do that. There are a couple of reasons why.

First, Coach Nick Saban doesn’t often beat up on the little guy. Alabama had no choice but to trounce Kent State 48 to 0 in their last game. That was because they played against Kent State. Saban called off the dogs early. He still had to allow the reserves to play as hard as they could in that game.

The second reason that I don’t like Alabama winning by so many points is because Kentucky knows very well that their only chance of keeping it close is to play a slow it down game like they did versus South Carolina.

Kentucky rushed it 50 times against the Gamecocks. They know they aren’t going to have as much success rushing the football versus Alabama. But that doesn’t mean that they don’t try. I think that Alabama wins. I just don’t think they cover such a ridiculous point spread.

My final score prediction is Alabama 42, Kentucky 13.