Daily Archives - January 10, 2017

Green Bay Vs Dallas Spread & ATS Pick

Green Bay Vs Dallas Spread & ATS Pick

Aaron Rodgers and the streaking Green Bay Packers will give it all they’ve got in an effort to pull off the upset against Dak Prescott and the Dallas Cowboys when the two Super Bowl hopefuls square off in their NFC divisional round matchup on Sunday.

The Cowboys are four-point home favorites when this contest goes down at ‘Jerry’s World’ at in Arlington, Texas at 4:40 PM ET while airing live on FOX. Now, let’s find out where the value in this highly-anticipated matchup lies.

Green Bay Packers Vs Dallas Cowboys Spread & ATS Pick

What: Green Bay Packers (10-6) at Dallas Cowboys (13-3)
When: Sunday, January 15, 2017
Start Time: 4:40 PM ET  
Where: Arlington, TX
Stadium: AT&T Stadium
Spread: Cowboys -3.5
Moneyline: Green Bay +165 vs Dallas -195
Game Total: 51.5
Watch: FOX Sports
Stream: Fox Sports Go
Listen: Green Bay vs Dallas

Why Bet The Green Bay Packers to Beat the Cowboys

Here’s a great reason to back Aaron Rodgers and the Packers (11-6 SU, 10-6-1 ATS) in this contest and it’s because Green Bay is on fire right now!

The Packers have now won seven straight games and got a fantastic performance out of Rodgers in their 38-13 wild card blowout win over the Giants on Sunday as the former league MVP completed 25 of 40 passes for 362 yards with four touchdowns and no interceptions.

Wide receiver DeVante Adams caught eight passes for 125 yards and one touchdown while veteran wideout Randall Cobb added five catches for 116 yards and three scores.

Over Green Bay’s past seven games, Rodgers has thrown an insane 22 touchdown passes and zero interceptions. The Packers have scored at lest 30 points in each of their last five games and rank fourth in scoring (27.0 ppg), but just 21st in points allowed (24.2 ppg).

Why Bet The Dallas Cowboys to Beat the Packers

The Cowboys (13-3 SU, 10-6 ATS) lost their meaningless regular season finale against Philly as they rested their starters for the most part, but hit the postseason having won eight of their previous nine games while topping the 30-point plateau four times along the way.

Dallas closed out the regular season ranked fifth in total offense (376.7 ypg), second in rushing (149.8 ypg) and fifth in scoring (26.3 ppg) while also ranking a fantastic first against the run defensively (83.5 ypg) and fifth in points allowed (19.1 ppg).

Gifted rookie quarterback Dak Prescott was downright phenomenal in passing for 3,667 yards while completing an insane 67.8 percent of his passes with 23 TD passes and was quite efficient in tossing just four interceptions.

Fellow rookie running back Ezekiel Elliott rushed for a league-high 1,631 yards and 15 touchdowns while averaging a stellar 5.1 yards per carry.

Expert ATS Pick & Final Score Prediction

65 percent of the betting public likes the Green Bay Packers to cover the spread as 4-point road dogs and so do I, even though I’m going to urge you to back the Boys to get the outright win at home to advance in a contest that looks like a classic field goal finish to me.

While Dallas laid an emphatic 30-16 beatdown on the Boys in Week 6, on the road no less, this time around the Packers keep it much closer while pushing the Cowboys really hard for the outright win.

Green Bay has gone 4-0 ATS in their last four playoff games, 6-1 ATS in their L/7 playoff road games and 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall.

While Dallas has gone 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games, the Cowboys are also just1-4 ATS in their L/5 games against a team with a winning record and 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall.

The Cowboys win a thriller, but the Packers cover!

My final score prediction is Dallas 31 Green Bay 28

Pittsburgh Vs Kansas City Spread & ATS Pick

Pittsburgh Vs Kansas City Spread & ATS Pick

It’s going to be a classic matchup of offense versus defense when Ben Roethlisberger and the Pittsburgh Steelers hit the road to take on Alex Smith and the Kansas City Chiefs in their AFC divisional round matchup on Sunday, January 15.

The Steelers will look to use their high-powered offense to cash in as 1.5-point underdogs against the Chiefs and their collection of Pro Bowl defensive stars. This game will go down live from Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City at 1:05 PM ET while airing live on NBC.

Pittsburgh Steelers Vs Kansas City Chiefs Spread & ATS Pick

What: Pittsburgh Steelers (11-5) at Kansas City Chiefs (12-4)
When: Sunday, January 15, 2017
Start Time: 1:05 PM ET  
Where: Kansas City, MO
Stadium: Arrowhead Stadium
Spread: Chiefs -1.5
Moneyline: Pittsburgh
Game Total: 45.5
Watch: NBC
Stream: NBC Sports Live
Listen: Pittsburgh vs Kansas City

Why Bet The Pittsburgh Steelers to Beat the Chiefs

The Steelers (12-5 SU, 10-6-1 ATS) are on fire, having won eight straight games and that alone makes them an attractive pick against the Chiefs in their divisional round matchup.

Pittsburgh rolled all over the overmatched Miami Dolphins in their 30-12 wild card win on Sunday to easily cash in as a 10-pint home favorite as Ben Roethlisberger, Antonio Brown and Le’Veon Bell all played together in a playoff game for the first time.

Bell gashed Miami by rushing 29 times for 167 yards and two touchdowns while Brown torched the Fins for 124 yards and two scores on five catches. Roethlisberger completed a modest 13 of 18 passes for 197 yards with two TD passes and two interceptions. The Steelers are ranked 11th in scoring (24.9 ppg) and 10th in points allowed (20.4 ppg).

Why Bet The Kansas City Chiefs to Beat the Steelers

Kansas City won their final two regular season contests and five of their last six games overall. The best reason to bet on the Kansas City Chiefs (12-4 SU, 9-7 ATS) in this divisional round showdown is their star-studded defense.

Linebackers Tamba Hali, Justin Houston and Dee Ford and safety Eric Berry are all Pro Bowl-caliber stars while superstar cornerback Marcus Peters may be the best player at his position in the league. The Chiefs finished the regular season ranked an impressive seventh in points allowed (19.4 ppg) and have the kind of elite talent that can shut down even the most explosive offenses.

Unfortunately, getting a first-round bye has almost been a curse for the Chiefs. ¬†Since the current playoff format was implemented in 1990, Kansas City has earned a first-round bye three times (1995, 1997, and 2003) but are 0-3 in those contests. Not only that, but the Chiefs were man-handled in their humbling 43-14 Week 4 road loss to the Steelers.

Kansas City finished the regular season ranked a modest 13th in scoring (24.3 ppg), but there’s good news in the act that Andy Reid coached teams have gone 16-2 all-time in games played after a bye week.

Expert ATS Pick & Final Score Prediction

I’ve touted the Chiefs as a legitimate Super Bowl contender all season long, but right now, I’m going to urge you to go with the 54 percent of public bettors that likes Pittsburgh to cover the spread at the very least.

I know the Steelers are 0-4 ATS in their last four road games against Kansas City and that the home team in this AFC rivalry has gone 7-1 ATS in their last eight meetings, but Pittsburgh is 3-0-1 ATS in their last four divisional playoff games, a robust 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight games overall and 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games against their AFC counterparts.

With the Chiefs going 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games, 1-7 ATS in their last eight playoff games and 0-4 ATS in their last four home playoff games, I’m thinking the Steelers not only cover the spread, but do so by winning outright!

My final score prediction is Pittsburgh 21 Kansas City 20

Houston Vs New England Spread & ATS Pick

Houston Vs New England Spread & ATS Pick

The Houston Texans will look to both, extract some revenge and pull off the huge upset when they hit the road to face Tom Brady and the New England Patriots in their AFC divisional round matchup on Saturday.

The Texans will take to the gridiron in this contest looking to overcome the biggest opening spread in a playoff contest since 1998. Now, let’s find out if Houston has what it takes to stun Brady and company when this game gets underway at 8:15 PM ET, live from Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Massachusetts while airing live on CBS.

Houston Texans Vs New England Patriots Spread & ATS Pick

What: Houston Texans (9-7) at New England Patriots (14-2)
When: Saturday, January 14, 2017
Start Time: 8:15 PM ET  
Where: Foxboro, MA
Stadium: Gillette Stadium
Spread: New England -16
Moneyline: Houston +1000 at New England -2000
Game Total: 45
Watch: CBS
Stream: CBS Sports
Listen: Houston vs New England

Why Bet The Houston Texans to Beat the Patriots

The Houston Texans (10-7 SU, 7-9 ATS) rolled all over the banged-up Oakland Raiders in their 27-14 wild card win on Saturday as quarterback Brock Osweiler completed 14-of-25 passes for 168 yards and one touchdown while adding a one-yard touchdown run in the win.

"I thought [Osweiler] had a good game," head coach Bill O’Brien said. "He took care of the ball, he executed the game plan. Basically, he spread the ball around; I’m not sure how many receivers caught passes but it looked good to me. I thought the offensive line had a nice game for the most part.”Unfortunately for the Texans, O’Brien has said that Osweiler will remain the starter for Saturday’s matchup with veteran Tom Savage still in the concussion protocol. Houston has won four of their last five games, but averages just 17.4 points per game to rank 29th in scoring. Defensively, Houston ranked first in total defense, second against the pass but just 11th in points allowed (20.5 ppg).

Why Bet The New England Patriots to Beat the Texans

The New England Patriots (14-2 SU, 13-3 ATS) won their final seven games of the regular season and shut the Texans out in Week 3 to win 27-0 without Tom Brady on the field.

This time around Brady will get the start while Houston will be without its best player in defensive end J.J. Watt. New England finished the regular season ranked fourth overall (386.2 ypg), fourth in passing (269.2 ypg), seventh in rushing (117.0 ypg), third in scoring (27.6 ppg) and a stellar first in points allowed defensively (15.6 ppg).

Expert ATS Pick & Final Score Prediction

I’m going to get right to the point by saying that Houston would have had a much better chance to cover the spread if Tom Savage were getting the start in this divisional round matchup instead of the pitiful Brock Osweiler. However, since Savage will be on the bench, I say play the Pats to win big and cover the largest playoff spread in almost two decades and 54 percent of the betting public agrees.

The Texans are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games against their AFC counterparts, an uninspiring 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games and a winless 0-5 ATS in their last five road games against a team with a winning home record.

Conversely, Tom Brady and the Patriots have gone 5-0 ATS in their last five games following an SU win, 4-0 ATS in their L/4 games against their AFC conference counterparts and a near-perfect 6-1 ATS in their L/7 games against a team with a winning record.

The Texans have a very good defense, but they won’t be able to move the ball much, if at all with Brock Osweiler under center, making the Patriots the pick to record their second blowout win over Houston this season.

My final score prediction is New England 28 Houston 10