Monthly Archives - August 2017

Are the FSU Seminoles a smart NCAAF bet?

What Is the FSU vs BAMA Spread?

Can the 3rd-ranked Florida State Seminoles Pull Off Huge Upset in Regular Season Opener Against No. 1 Alabama?

Not only did Deshaun Watson and Clemson beat mighty Alabama to win last season’s national championship, more importantly, I believe the Tigers have given all of Alabama’s opponents moving forward, the perfect blueprint on how to beat the perennially powerful Crimson Tide. Of course, it’s going to take a gifted dual-threat signal-caller like Watson to pull off the feat – and the fact of the matter is that quarterbacks like the former Clemson superstar don’t grow just on trees every day.

Now, let’s find out if the Florida State Seminoles can duplicate Clemson’s championship game feat and pull off the huge upset over the Crimson Tide when they battle Alabama this coming Saturday, September 2, in the Chick-Fil-A Kickoff Classic, live from Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Georgia.

What Is the Florida State vs Alabama College Football Week 1 Spread?

The Las Vegas oddsmakers have listed the college football week 1 spread in favor of Alabama by 6.5-points to beat Florida State. The game total is 49.5.

Florida State vs. Alabama
When: Saturday, September 2 at 7:00 PM ET
Where: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
TV: ABC
Spread: Alabama -6.5
Total: 49.5

Why Bet the Florida State Seminoles Spread at +6.5

The good news however for the third-ranked Florida State Seminoles (10-3 SU, 8-4 ATS) heading into their regular season opener against Alabama is that they have just the kind of quarterback it needs in order to pull off the upset in gifted dual-threat signal-caller Deondre Francois.

As a redshirt freshman last season, the poised Francois completed a respectable 58.8 percent of his passes for 3,350 yards while tossing 20 touchdown passes and a modest seven interceptions. While the Noles did lose elite running back Dalvin Cook, No. 1 wide receiver Travis Rudolph and starting left tackle Rod Johnson to the NFL draft, they will now build around their star quarterback.

“The year he had, this guy’s a big-time player,” said head coach Jimbo Fisher, whose first three quarterbacks at Florida State (Christian Ponder, E.J. Manuel and Jameis Winston), all went on to be first-round NFL Draft picks.

The Seminoles need to rebuild their offensive line but have plenty of talent at the skill positions if not much experience. Junior wideout Nyqwan Murray caught two touchdown passes against Michigan in the Orange Bowl and will be the new No. 1 this year while running backs Jacques Patrick averaged and highly-touted freshman Cam Akers combine to replace the departed Cook.

On the defensive side of the ball Florida State returns three starters on the defensive line and say they will have as much depth up front as any team in the nation, including Alabama. The Noles also return two senior starters at linebacker and have an All-American safety in Derwin James heading up a gifted secondary.

Why Bet the Alabama Crimson Tide Spread at -6.5

Alabama lost a whopping 10 players in the NFL draft, but they also have their own talented dual-threat signal-caller in sophomore Jalen Hurts, who will also play a bigger role in his team’s offensive scheme in 2017. However, it all starts with the rushing attack for Alabama and they should be as good as ever in that department behind their combination of Bo Scarborough (834 yards) and Damien Harris (1,136 yards). There is some concern with the passing attack losing wide receiver Ardarius Stewart and tight end O.J. Howard off to the NFL, leaving Calvin Ridley as the team’s only experienced pass-catcher.

Defensively, Alabama returns a modest six starters and need to find replacements for All-American defensive end Jonathan Allen and All-American linebacker Reuben Foster, as well as starting linebackers Tim Williams and Ryan Anderson and cornerback Marlon Humphrey.

The good news is that Alabama gets as much elite talent as any program in the nation and should be able to replace their departed stars with ease like they’ve done every year of the Saban era. Defensive linemen Da’Ron Payne and Da’Shawn Hand along with starting defensive backs Minkah Fitzpatrick, Ronnie Harrison and Anthony Averett will be expected to lead this coming season while Alabama’s younger starters find their way.

FSU vs BAMA Week 1 Expert Analysis and Prediction

I know Alabama is the prohibitive favorite to win this season’s national championship, but I also believe the Tide are vulnerable to getting beaten by a team like Clemson, which is why I’m going to advise you to back the Florida State Seminoles in this opener.

First and foremost, Deondre Francois is a near Deshaun Watson clone with his ability to make plays with both, his right arms and elusive running ability. Second, I think Florida State’s defense could give Jalen Hurts and Alabama’s mostly inexperienced offense, especially at the receiving positions, a very tough way to go in this contest.

While Alabama has gone 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games, Florida State is a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall and an identical 4-0 ATS in their last four non-conference games. The Noles are also an encouraging 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against teams from the SEC and 3-0 ATS in their last three games as an underdog of 6.5 points or less.

Maybe it’s me, but this neutral site showdown looks like the perfect setting for Clemson and their Deshaun Watson-like ‘clone’ to jump all over Alabama. Florida State gets it done with the outright win.

Pick: Florida State 30 Alabama 28

What Is The Michigan Vs Florida Betting Line?

What Is The Michigan Vs Florida Betting Line?

No. 17 Florida vs No. 11 Michigan Hosts No. 16 Florida in Matchup of College Football Playoff Hopefuls

Jim Harbaugh and his 11th-ranked Michigan Wolverines will look to kick off their season with a big victory when they play host to Jim McElwain and his 17th-ranked Florida Gators when the two College Football Playoff hopefuls square off at AT&T Stadium on Saturday afternoon in one of the most intriguing regular season openers there is.

The college football Week 1 betting line favors Floriday by 3.5-points to beat visiting Michigan. The game total is 45. Now, let’s find out which team will get the win and which one will see its playoff hopes take a big hit, even in a Week 1 pairing.

What Is The Michigan Wolverines Vs Florida Gators College Football Week 1 Betting Line?

Michigan Wolverines (0-0) at Florida Gators (0-0)
When: Saturday, September 2, 2017 at 3:30 PM ET
Where: AT&T Stadium
NCAAF Odds: Florida Gators +3.5
Total: 45
TV: ABC
Stream: Watch ESPN

Why Bet the Florida Gators Odds at +3.5

Florida won nine games a year ago and were one of the best defensive teams in the nation. Unfortunately, the Gators will kick off their 2017 regular season opener with all sorts of issues. First and foremost, the Gators lost a whopping seven defensive starters to the NFL Draft. Head coach Jim McElwain has also not named his starting quarterback for the upcoming campaign with less than a week remaining and last but not least, McElwain recently suspended seven players for their opener for misuse of school funds, including 2016 leading receiver and special teams star Antonio Callaway and defensive lineman Keivonnis Davis.

Callaway caught a team-high 54 passes last season for 721 yards and four touchdowns while Davis was expected to be a significant contributor on the Gators defensive line. McElwain also has a big question mark under center as he tries to decide between young stud, Felipe Franks, 2016 starter Luke Del Rio and Notre Dame transfer Malik Zaire.

The good news is that whoever starts under center will be handing off early and often to steady running back Jordan Scarlett after he rushed for 889 yards and six touchdowns last season. Still, only four starters return from a defense that limited the opposition to just 16.8 points per game to rank sixth nationally.

Why Bet the Michigan Wolverines Odds at -3.5

The Michigan Wolverines went 10-3 last season, mostly because they ranked a stupendous second in points allowed nationally (14.1 ppg). Now, heading into 2017, Michigan looks like they could contend for a berth in the four-team playoff even though they have some areas they need to address

On offense, starting quarterback Wilton Speight is back under center, but he needs new weapons after wide receivers Amara Darboh, and Jehu Chesson and tight end Jake Butt are all off to the NFL. At running back, sophomore Chris Evans, who averaged 7.0 yards per carry last season is expected to carry the majority of the load. The bad news is that the Wolverines will have three new starters on the offensive line in 2017.

On defense, Michigan needs to replace two significant contributors in safety Jabrill Peppers and defensive end Taco Charlton along with an insane – eight other starters from last year’s team. While Harbaugh has plenty of talent to work with in players like defensive end Rashan Gary, sophomore Eddie McDoom and freshmen Tarik Black and Donovan Peoples-Jones, clearly the Wolverines are going to be inexperienced on the defensive side of the ball in 2017.

Michigan Vs Florida Week 1 Expert Analysis and Prediction

Michigan may have its share of problems heading into the new season, but not nearly as many as Florida does in this neutral site showdown. I’m expecting Wilton Speight to be the best quarterback on the field in this matchup and Michigan to outplay the offensively-challenged Gators while getting the solid win and ATS cover.

The Wolverines are a near-perfect 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in the month of September while Florida has gone 1-7 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games

Michigan smacked Florida senseless in their 41-7 Citrus Bowl win in January of 2016 and should get another win and ATS cover in this regular season opener.

Pick: Michigan 24 Florida 17

What Are The Odds For Jackson State Vs TCU

What Are The Odds For Jackson State Vs TCU

TCU and Jackson State Both Looking to rebound From Nightmare 2016 Seasons

The TCU Horned Frogs and Jackson State Tigers will both look to rebound from their nightmare 2016 seasons when they square off in their mismatch of a regular season opener on Saturday night.

TCU will host the Jackson State Tigers at Amon Carter Stadium at 8:00 PM ET, with this matchup airing live on Fox Sports. The Las Vegas college football oddsmakers have listed TCU as 51-point favorites to beat Jackson State. The game total is 61.

College Football Week 1 Odds For Jackson State Vs TCU

Jackson State Tigers (0-0) at TCU Horned Frogs (0-0)
When: Saturday, September 2, 2017 at 8:00 PM ET
Where: Amon Carter Stadium
TV: Fox Sports Networks
Stream:
Fox Sports Go
Spread: TCU -51
Total: 61

Why Bet the Jackson State Tigers

SWAC resident Jackson State Tigers went 3-8 in head coach Tony Hughes’ first season a year ago and will enter the 2017 season with a huge question mark at quarterback after former starter Jarin Morikawa decided to retire due to concussions. That just leaves Brent Lyles, who played in seven games, as the only quarterback who was on the roster last season. Jackson State signed two more quarterbacks in Jeff Toney and Tavis Williams out of high school. Running back Jordan Johnson is expected to become the new No. 1 in the backfield in 2017 while wide receiver Jevon Floyd will be the No.1 option in the passing attack.

Defensively, Jackson State gave up 28.8 points per game-high and is led by defensive end Keontre Anderson, linebacker Andre Lloyd, and defensive lineman Malik Hamner. A pair of Mississippi State transfers have also joined the Tigers this year in defensive back Jamoral Graham and defensive lineman Deion Pope.

Why Bet the TCU Horned Frogs

The Horned Frogs will look to rebound in 2017 after going 6-7 last season under widely respected head coach Gary Patterson. TCU ranked 29th last season in offense, averaging 31.0 points per game, but will need a much better effort out of quarterback Kenny Hill after he tossed a modest 17 TD passes and discouraging 13 interceptions last season. Hill did add 10 rushing scores, but couldn’t get it done in the passing attack when he needed to.

The good news is that the Horned Frogs are loaded at the running back position with Kyle Hicks and Shaun Nixon being the top two backs and Darius Anderson and Sewo Olonilua being regular contributors. Last season, Hicks became the first running back since 1996 to lead the team in rushing and receptions.

Incoming four-star recruits Jalen Reagor and Omar Manning could find themselves in the mix for playing time right away with the Horned Frogs have a bunch of inexperience at the wide receiver position.

Defensively, TCU allowed their opponents to average a generous 28.0 ppg but decided to get bigger players on the defensive line in the offseason. The Horned Frogs are solid at linebacker and in the secondary, starting with cornerbacks Ranthony Texada and Julius Lewis who have 36 combined starts between them.

Jackson State Vs TCU Expert Analysis and Prediction

The TCU Horned Frogs are going to roll to an emphatic win despite the fact that they’re just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games. Jackson State simply doesn’t have the talent to compete with a program on TCU’s level and that will be the difference in this regular season mismatch of an opener. If there are odds released on this contest, be careful because the spread is going to be huge. TCU will get the win, but won’t cover the 51-point spread.

Pick: TCU 49 Jackson State 17