Daily Archives - September 1, 2017

Jacksonville Vs New England Odds & Pick

Odds To Win AFC East

Can anyone in the AFC East stop the Patriots in 2017?

When it comes to winning the AFC East division title, it’s the New England Patriots – and then it’s everyone else!

Not only did the Patriots win Super Bowl 51 in historic comeback fashion to claim their fifth championship in the Tom Brady/Bill Belichick era, but they did so after watching their future Hall of Fame quarterback miss the first four games of the regular season due to his alleged role in the now, long-gone, Deflategate saga.

Making matters worse for their division rivals is the fact that the Pats recorded a league-high 14 victories in 2016 and basically never broke a sweat in beating the hell out of their division rivals – and almost everyone else last season. If you’re looking to find out which team is offering the best value as far as bagging the AFC East division title in 2017, then let’s get started, although, I’ve got to admit, it’s a no-brainer of a pick.

What Are The 2017 Odds To Win The AFC East?

New England Patriots -840

Maybe it’s me, but I find it a bit sickening that the Patriots (14-2 SU, 13-3 ATS) have won eight straight AFC East division titles and 13 of the last 14 overall. Making matters worse for their division rivals heading into 2017 is the fact that the Pats actually improved their roster in the offseason by adding a new No. 1 wide receiver in former New Orleans Saints star Brandin Cooks and a new starting running back in Mike Gilislee, among other additions.

New England went 5-1 against their division rivals last season with their only loss coming in Week 4 against the Buffalo Bills in a 16-0 aberration. Now heading into 2017, the Pats are favored to win Super Bowl 52 – and the AFC East – and there really isn’t much of an argument to say they won’t accomplish both goals.

New England ranked fourth in total offense last season, fourth in passing, seventh in rushing and a stellar third in scoring (27.6 ppg). However, that’s not the worst part of New England’s success last season if you ask me. No, it’s the fact that the Patriots, despite not having any ‘big name’ players on defense, the Patriots managed to lead the league in fewest points allowed last season (15.6 ppg). Believe it or not, even at a staggering -840, the Patriots are offering stunning value.

Miami Dolphins +900

I’m just about sick and tired of the Miami Dolphins and this, from a guy that has been a die-hard fan ever since they last won the Super Bowl way back in 1972. Sure, I was quite impressed with Miami’s 10-6 campaign in Adam Gase’s first season a year ago, but right now, I’m completely and utterly disgusted that the Fins chose to go out and sign cry-baby quitter Jay Cutler to a one-year contract after starting quarterback Ryan Tannehill was lost for the year just before the start of the preseason.

Miami finished an uninspiring 24th in total offense and 17th in scoring (22.7 ppg) and I just don’t see Cutler making those numbers any better in 2017, although I will admit that Miami is lucky to have found out they have a legitimate star in running back Jay Ajayi (1,272 yards).

Miami needs to improve a defense that ranked 18th in points allowed and actually gave up more points than their offense scored last season. The Fins brought in defensive end Williams Hayes, safety T.J. McDonald and veteran linebacker Lawrence Timmons while using their first round draft pick on Missouri defensive end Charles Harris but have already lost their second round pick, linebacker
Raekwon McMillian to a season-ending injury.

Buffalo Bills +1600

The Bills (7-9 SU, 6-10 ATS) may have been the only AFC East team to record a win against the Patriots last season, but they’ll have a completely different look in 2017 after firing head coach Rex Ryan and hiring former Panthers defensive coordinator Sean McDermott to lead them in a new direction. Unfortunately, Buffalo has clearly already given up on the 2017 season and are building for the future as they stunned everyone just over a week ago by trading No. 1 wide receiver Sammy Watkins and their top cornerback in veteran Ronald Darby. The Bills drafted cornerback Tre’Davious White with the 27th overall pick in the first round and quarterback Nathan Peterman in the fifth round, but this is a franchise that is clearly preparing for the day that Tom Brady retires – if that ever happens.

New York Jets +2000

The New York Jets went 5-11 SU and 6-10 ATS last season and have all sorts of problems, mostly at quarterback as they get set for the upcoming 2017 campaign. The Jets ranked a discouraging 28th in points allowed (25.6 ppg) last season and an awful 30th in scoring (17.2 ppg), which is why head coach Todd Bowles is the favorite to be the first head coach fired this coming season.

New York parted ways with interception-tossing veteran quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick and are praying right now that Christian Hackenberg can beat out both, veteran Josh McCown and former Baylor star Bryce Petty. New York drafted hard-hitting safety Jamal Adams with the sixth overall pick and another safety in Marcus Maye with the 39th overall pick, but again, this is a team that isn’t ready to challenge for much of anything right now. The Jets are pretty dysfunction in their front office, starting with Donald Trump-loving owner Woody Johnson and that alone should tell you all you need to know about New York’s state of mind heading into 2017.

The AFC East Winner Pick

Seriously? There is no other pick to win the AFC East besides the New England Patriots. I wouldn’t think twice about dropping the -840 that it will take to cash in on the Pats winning the AFC East again in 2017.

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New England Patriots Vs Kansas City Chiefs NFL Week 1 Line & Final Score Prediction

Odds To Win AFC West

The Oakland Raiders and Kansas City Chiefs are expected to duke it out for the AFC West division title in 2017 after finishing with an identical 12 victories last season, but they may not be alone in their quest for division supremacy this coming season. If you’re looking to find out which Super Bowl hopeful in the loaded AFC West is offering the best value as far as winning the division this upcoming season, then you’ve come to the right place!

What Are The 2017 Odds To Win The AFC West?

Oakland Raiders +180

The Raiders (12-4 SU, 10-6 ATS) are now the prohibitive favorites to win the AFC West in 2017 after being co-favorites with Kansas City virtually the entire offseason, but I’m not sure they improved their defense enough in order to get the division title they’re looking for this coming season.

Young quarterback Derek Carr is a genuine star and I love wide receiver Amari Cooper (1,153 yards), but I’m not really sure that letting former starting running back Latavius Murray walk in favor of retired former Seattle star Marshawn Lynch was the right move, seeing as how Lynch appeared to be slowing down in his last season with the Seahawks and Murray is the same kind of power runner.

Yes, the Raiders have an explosive offense that ranked seventh in scoring (26.0 ppg) last season, but until I see otherwise, I’m going to remain a bit skeptical about their defense after watching them finish 26th overall and 20th in points allowed (24.1 ppg) last season.

I do like the additions of Ohio State cornerback Gareon Conley with the 24th overall pick in this year’s NFL Draft and safety Obi Melifonwu with the 56th overall pick.

Kansas City Chiefs +220

The Chiefs (12-4 SU, 9-7 ATS) may have won a dozen games last season while beating Oakland twice, but that hasn’t stopped oddsmakers everywhere from installing the Raiders as favorites to win the AFC West in 2017. No matter, I still think Alex Smith and company are a great pick to win back-to-back division titles seeing as how they finished a respectable 13th in scoring last season (24.3 ppg) and a stellar seventh in points allowed (19.4 ppg).

I know veteran quarterback Alex Smith doesn’t have the strongest arm around and doesn’t throw the deep ball very well – or very often, but the Chiefs have an outstanding defense led by perennial Pro Bowlers in safety Eric Berry, cornerback Marcus Peters and linebacker Justin Houston. While I didn’t like Andy Reid making the draft day jump up the board to take Texas Tech star Patrick Mahomes with the 10th overall pick when Clemson superstar Deshaun Watson was still on the board, I’ve got to give Reid the benefit of the doubt seeing as all he does is record double-digit winning seasons.

Los Angeles Chargers +380

The Los Angeles Chargers (5-11 SU, 7-9 ATS) finally got gun-slinging quarterback Philip Rivers an elite wide receiver by nabbing former Clemson wideout Mike Williams with the seventh overall pick in the draft. The Bolts also used their second and third-round picks on guards Forrest Lamp and Dan Feeney while also adding veteran tackle Russell Okung in free agency to help shore up their uninspiring offensive line.

I absolutely love L.A.’s hiring of former Bills running backs coach Anthony Lynn as head coach, who in turn, hired Gus Bradley as defensive coordinator and Ken Whisenhunt as offensive coordinator. While Bradley and Whisenhunt both failed as head coaches, I believe all three coaches will make a huge difference for the relocated Chargers in 2017.

Unfortunately, I just don’t think Los Angeles did enough to improve a defense that ranked a pitiful 29th in points allowed last season (26.4 ppg). The good news, if you want to call it that, is that Los Angeles lost four games by a field goal or less in 2016 and they could very well run those close losses into wins in 2017 if all goes according to plan.

Denver Broncos +425

I have no idea why the Broncos (9-7 SU, 9-7 ATS) are +425 favorites that are lesser favorites to win the AFC West than Los Angeles, but I love the value that Denver is offering seeing as how they finished the 2016 season ranked a stellar fourth in points allowed (18.6 ppg) and made a really good offseason hire by naming Vance Joseph as their new head coach.

Denver is trying to figure out who will be their starting quarterback between 2016 starter Trevor Siemian and 2016 first round draft pick Paxton Lynch, but the Broncos still have plenty of talent on both sides of the ball with receivers like Demaryius Thomas and Emanuel Sanders and linebackers Von Miller and Brandon Marshall and defensive backs Chris Harris and Aqib Talib.

AFC West Winner Pick

I’m going with the Kansas City Chiefs to win back-to-back division titles, although the fact of the matter is that the AFC West looks like it’s going to be a knock-down, drag-out fight to the finish in 2017.

Pick: Kansas City Chiefs

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NFL Week 1 Spread Ravens Vs Bengals

Odds To Win AFC North

The Pittsburgh Steelers are favored to win their second straight AFC North title in 2017, but can Ben Roethlisberger and company fulfill their status as division favorites or will one of their longtime rivals pull off the upset to beat out the Steelers for division supremacy this coming season?

If you’ve got questions, then I’ve got answers. Now, let’s get to it people!

What Are The 2017 Odds To Win The AFC North?

Pittsburgh Steelers -165

The Steelers (11-5 SU, 9-6-1 ATS) won the AFC North and eventually reached the AFC Championship game before falling to Tom Brady and the New England Patriots. Now, as they get set for the upcoming 2017 campaign, the Steelers are looking for nothing less than a Super Bowl appearance and it could happen.

Lest anyone forget, Pittsburgh has one of the game’s best offensive trios in running back Le’Veon Bell, wide receiver Antonio Brown and future Hall of Fame quarterback Ben Roethlisberger. Pittsburgh will also have troubled, but talented, wide receiver Martavis Bryant back on the field after he missed all of 2016 with a drug-related suspension.

The Steelers ranked seventh in total offense in 2016 and 11th in scoring (24.9 ppg) while also finishing 10th in points allowed last season (20.4 ppg). I also like Pittsburgh’s 2017 draft additions of play-making Wisconsin linebacker T.J. Watt, USC wide receiver JuJu Smith-Schuster and Pittsburgh running back James Conner. The Steelers are the favorite for a reason.

Cincinnati Bengals +355

After not giving the Cincinnati Bengals (6-9-1 SU, 6-10 O/U) much of a shot to beat out Pittsburgh for the division title in 2017, I’ve revised my thinking and now believe that the Bengals could be the team to beat in the AFC North.

Despite finishing a dismal 24th in scoring last season (20.3 ppg), Cincinnati could have one of the best offenses in the league this coming season after nabbing speedy Washington wide receiver John Ross with the ninth overall pick in the draft and a player that could turn out to be the steal of the draft in polarizing former Oklahoma running back Joe Mixon.

Cincinnati struggled a bit defensively last season but came up big when it came to keeping their opponents out of the end zone by finishing eighth in points allowed (19.7 ppg). The Bengals have won two of the last four AFC North division titles and could make it another in 2017.

Baltimore Ravens +395

After missing out on reaching the postseason for the second straight season and third time in the last four years, the Baltimore Ravens are looking for nothing less than a playoff berth in 2017. The bad news is that it looks like starting quarterback Joe Flacco could start the season on the injured reserve list, but nobody really knows right now how significant his shoulder injury is as the Ravens keep a tight lid on his status. Whatever the case is with Flacco, Baltimore definitely needs to put more points on the board after finishing 21st in scoring (21.4 ppg) in 2016. Strangely enough, Baltimore went heavy on defense in the NFL Draft despite ranking an encouraging ninth in points allowed (20.1 ppg). The Ravens have some serious question marks at wide receiver but they did sign veteran running back Danny Woodhead and that should help the sort passing attack if nothing else.

Cleveland Browns +6000

The Browns (1-15 SU, 3-12-1 ATS) may have won just one game last year, but I love what they did in the NFL Draft by adding three players in the first round that could all start right away in defensive end Myles Garrett, the No. 1 overall draft pick, strong safety Jabrill Peppers and tight end David Njoku.

The Browns also may have pulled off a coup by drafting quarterback DeShone Kizer in the second round, although their trade to acquire awful veteran signal-caller Brock Osweiler was completely and absolutely foolish. Cleveland upgraded their offensive line in free agency and really, had a fine offseason overall. One thing’s for sure. After finishing 31st in scoring (16.5 ppg) and 30th in points allowed (28.3 ppg) the Browns have nowhere to go but up in 2017, even if their improvements won’t result in a division title.

AFC North Winner Pick

As I stated earlier, I was going to pick the Pittsburgh Steelers to win the AFC North in 2017, but after seeing the moves that Cincinnati made this offseason, I really like the Bengals to bounce back from their dismal 2016 season. Cincy has won two of the last four division titles and they’re my pick to make it three out of five in 2017.

Pick: Cincinnati Bengals

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