Daily Archives - September 4, 2017

Odds Kansas City Vs New England Week 1

Odds Kansas City Vs New England Week 1

Alex Smith and Kansas City Chiefs Looking for Road Upset Over Brady and Defending Champion New England Patriots

Alex Smith and the Kansas City Chiefs will look to pull off the road upset over Tom Brady and the New England Patriots when they hit the road to face the Pats in the first regular season game on the entire 2017 NFL regular season schedule. The Chiefs will visit the Patriots at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Massachusetts on Thursday, September 7, 2017 at 8:30 PM ET, with this contest airing live on NBC.

Now, let’s find out if Smith and the Chiefs can pull off the outright upset or cover the NFL betting line as a pretty decisive road underdog.

Kansas City Cheifs Vs New England Patriots NFL Week 1 Odds & PIck

What: Kansas City Chiefs (0-0) vs New England Patriots (0-0)
When: Thursday, September 7, 2017
Start Time: 8:30 PM ET  
Where: Foxboro, MA
Stadium: Gillette Stadium
Spread: Patriots -8
Game Total: 48
Watch: NBC
Stream: NBC Sports Live
Listen: Kansas City vs New England

Why bet the Kansas City Chiefs Odds at +8

Maybe it’s me, but I’m wondering why the Chiefs aren’t getting the proper respect I feel they deserve after winning a dozen games last season and the AFC West divisional title while nearly reaching the AFC Championship game.

I know the Chiefs didn’t exactly look like world-beaters in the preseason by going 2-2 in their four scrimmage games, but the fact of the matter is that Kansas City has been a model of consistency in going 43-21 in four seasons under head coach Andy Reid while winning at least 11 games in three of his four seasons, including last year’s 12-win campaign.

The Chiefs were absolutely rock-solid defensively in 2016 as they finished seventh in points allowed (19.4 ppg). Now as they get set for the upcoming 2017 season, Kansas City needs to improve an offense that was mostly mediocre in ranking 13th in scoring last season. Unfortunately, I don’t think the Chiefs addressed their needs on offense as well as they should have this offseason.

Sure, veteran quarterback Alex Smith won’t lose you any games with silly turnovers, but he’s also not going to go out and win games with anything that could be considered prolific passing. The Chiefs do have some nice weapons for Smith to work with, but maybe not nearly enough.

Wide receiver Tyreek Hill and Pro Bowl tight end Travis Kelce are playmakers, but the Chiefs have real question marks at wide receiver and running back with scheduled starter Spencer Ware likely out for the season and veteran wideout Jeremy Maclin jettisoned in the offseason, via e-mail according to him. Right now, Reid is planning on using a committee of running backs to replace Ware’s contributions.

“I think we’re going to be okay there,” Reid told reporters last week. “Now listen, are you going to replace Spence? No he’s a good football player, but the young kid (Kareem Hunt), he’ll step in and he’ll do a nice job for us, and Charcandrick’s (West) got reps under his belt, C.J. (Spiller) has reps under his belt so we’re okay. I don’t want to take anything away from Spencer and how important he was to our team, but that’s a position where we have a little strength, so we should be okay.”

The best thing about Kansas City is the fact that they have a pair of Pro Bowl defenders in cornerback Marcus Peters and safety Eric Berry and a handful of other outstanding defensive players that are just off the Pro Bowl mark in linebackers Dee Ford and Derrick Johnson and defensive tackle Dontari Poe.

Why Bet the New England Patriots Odds at -8

The New England Patriots didn’t look real good in going 1-3 in the preseason, but I don’t think anyone really cares right now, as the Pats are truly a team that has nothing to prove in the scrimmage campaign and usually use the time to scout young players. The Patriots have won two of the last three Super Bowls and appear to have gotten better in the offseason thanks to a series of smart roster transactions that include the additions of new No. 1 wide receiver Brandin Cooks and new starting running back Mike Gillislee, not to mention the return of Pro Bowl tight end Rob Gronkowski who will be back on the field after missing almost all of 2016.

The Patriots finished last season ranked a stellar third in scoring (27.6 ppg) despite not having future Hall of Fame quarterback Tom Brady on the field for the first four games of the regular season. Not only was new England terrific on offense a year ago, but more importantly, they were even better defensively in finishing a stellar first in points allowed (15.6 ppg). To make matters worse fort heir opponents, it looks like the Patriots got a bit better defensively by adding elite cornerback Stephon Gilmore to a unit that already includes three Pro Bowlers in Devin McCourty, Malcolm Butler and Dont’a Hightower.

Kansas City Vs New England Week 1 Expert Pick

Once again, maybe it’s me, but I really feel like Kansas City isn’t getting the respect they deserve for a team that has been a perennial title contender and one that won an impressive 12 games in the competitive AFC West last season. I don’t understand why the spread has gone from New England opening as a 6.5-point favorite to an 8-point favorite, but I like the Chiefs to cover the spread in a contest that looks like a field goal affair just waiting to happen.

Despite their 1-4 ATS mark in their last 5 games in the month of September, the Chiefs are a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last half-dozen road games and a positive 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

Yes, by now, almost everyone knows that Tom Brady and the Patriots are a red-hot 18-6-2 ATS in their last 26 home games and bankroll-boosting 5-0 ATS in their last five games in the month of September, but I genuinely believe Kansas City’s stout defense will keep them in this affair until the very end. Simply put, back Alex Smith and the Chiefs to cover the spread as road underdogs everyone!

Pick: Kansas City +8 Points

Upset Picks College Football Week 2

Upset Picks College Football Week 2

Two of the biggest upsets in college football history, Howard straight up over UNLV, and Liberty straight up over Baylor, happened in College Football Week 1.

I don’t project upsets like those 2 happening in College Football Week 2. I do believe upsets against the spread could occur with regularity this Saturday. Will Western Michigan handle Michigan State on the road? How is Oklahoma going to perform versus Ohio State on the road? Does Stanford have any shot against the spread versus USC?

Upset Picks College Football Week 2

Western Michigan at Michigan State
When:  Saturday, Sept. 9 at 3:30 pm ET
Where: Spartan Stadium, East Lansing, MI
TV: BTN
Odds: Western Michigan +7

Analysis: Western Michigan played USC tough until the fourth quarter. That’s when the Trojans’ class prevailed over the WMU Broncos. Western Michigan still won against the spread.

The Broncos are a good pick to beat Michigan State ATS on Saturday. The Broncos were 4 TD dogs to USC. They only lost 31 to 49. That’s a 10-point difference from the actual score to the spread.

Sure, Michigan State could demolish Western Michigan in this. But WMU is used to lining up against Big Ten squads. In fact, WMU is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 versus a Big Ten team. The Broncos aren’t used to battling Pac 12 teams.

I think Western Michigan has a great shot of winning this game straight up.

Upset Pick Week 2: Western Michigan +7

No. 7 Oklahoma at No. 2 Ohio State
When:  Saturday, Sept.9 at 7:30 pm ET
Where: Ohio Stadium, Columbus, OH
TV: ABC
Odds: Oklahoma +7

Analysis: Oklahoma coach Lincoln Riley turned his HC debut into a winning one when the Sooners blasted UTEP 56 to 7 as a -43 favorite. What impressed me was how the Sooners played with fire.

Under Bob Stoops, Oklahoma had become somewhat lackadaisical in the emotion department. Riley would have none of it. His entire team, in all phases of the game, played fired up.

Oklahoma’s going to need that type of fire to deal with the Ohio State Buckeyes in Columbus. Ohio State played just okay versus Indiana before turning it on in the second half. The Buckeyes did beat Indiana 49 to 21. It wasn’t impressive until the second half when Ohio State’s offense got into gear.

I’m not sure Oklahoma’s D allows Ohio State’s offense to get into gear. I like Oklahoma to keep this battle close.

Upset Pick Week 2: Oklahoma +7

No. 14 Stanford at No. 4 USC
When:  Saturday, Sept. 9 at 8:30 pm ET
Where: L.A. Memorial Coliseum, Los Angeles, CA
TV: FOX
Odds: Stanford +7

Analysis: It was touch and go for USC in their game against Western Michigan in Week 1. The Trojans ended up beating Western Michigan by 18 points. The spread was 28 points. So, although the margin of victory looks impressive, it really wasn’t.

The problem for USC in this game against rival Stanford is that the Cardinal always plays USC tough. Stanford is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings between these 2 teams. Based on what I saw in Week 1, Stanford shouldn’t just cover against USC, they should beat the Trojans straight up.

That’s the way I’m playing it. I like Stanford on the money line.

Upset Pick Week 2: Stanford money line

Free Picks College Football Week 2

Free Picks College Football Week 2

Betting lines have already been set for College Football Week 2.

Can Penn State cover as a -18.5-home favorite versus ACC Pittsburgh on Sept. 9? Who has the upper-hand in one of Week 2’s marquee matchups between 12 Auburn and 5 Clemson? Can Washington State show that Week 1 was no fluke by covering a spread versus Boise State? Check out my College Football Week 2 Free Picks!

Free Picks College Football Week 2

Pittsburgh at No. 6 Penn State
When:  Saturday, Sept.9 at 3:30 pm ET
Where: Beaver Stadium, University Park, PA
TV: ABC
Odds: Penn State -18.5

Analysis: Penn State was only favored by 29.5 points over Akron in Week 1. The Nittany Lions showed that just handing the Big Ten Championship to Ohio State or Michigan isn’t going to work. The Lions thumped Akron 52 to 0.

Penn State’s defense held the Zips to 159 total yards. Lions RB Saquon Barkley rushed for 172 yards and 2 TDs from only 14 carries.

The Panthers are 1 and 5 against the spread in their last 6 games versus a Big Ten opponent. I think Penn State wins by close to 30.

Free Pick Week 2: Penn State -18.5

No. 12 Auburn at No. 5 Clemson
When:  Saturday, Sept. 9 at 7:00 pm ET
Where: Memorial Stadium, Clemson, SC
TV: ESPN
Odds: Clemson -6.5

Analysis: Auburn played very well against a tough Sun Belt team in Georgia Southern in Week 1. But, let’s not kid ourselves. It’s going to be tough for Auburn to win either straight up or against the spread in Death Valley.

Clemson beat Kent 56 to 3. Kelly Bryant, the QB that must fill DeShaun Watson’s shoes, demolished Kent all by himself. He threw for 236 yards and a TD. He also rushed for 77 yards and a TD.

It’s hard to see Auburn’s defense stopping Clemson’s offense. Yes, I know that Auburn kept the game close last season when losing by 6, 13 to 19. This season the battle should be different.

I like Clemson to win by at least 10.

Free Pick Week 2: Clemson

Boise State at No. 24 Washington State
When:  Saturday, Sept. 9 at 10:30 pm ET
Where: Martin Stadium, Pullman, WA
TV: FOX
Odds: Washington State -8.5

Analysis: Boise State’s issue is that the defense doesn’t project to stop Washington State QB Luke Falk from throwing all over it. Boise allowed Troy to score 13 points in a 24 to 13 Broncos win in Week 1. What’s Washington State going to do to the Broncos D?

Washington State beat Montana State 31 to 0. Falk didn’t even touch the surface of what he can do under center.

Boise beat WSU 31 to 28 last season. I don’t believe they score enough points to be close to the Cougars in this year’s rematch. I like Washington State to beat Boise State by at least 2 touchdowns on Saturday.

Free Pick Week 2: Washington State -8.5