Alex Smith and Kansas City Chiefs Looking for Road Upset Over Brady and Defending Champion New England Patriots
Alex Smith and the Kansas City Chiefs will look to pull off the road upset over Tom Brady and the New England Patriots when they hit the road to face the Pats in the first regular season game on the entire 2017 NFL regular season schedule. The Chiefs will visit the Patriots at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Massachusetts on Thursday, September 7, 2017 at 8:30 PM ET, with this contest airing live on NBC.
— SNF on NBC (@SNFonNBC) September 4, 2017
Now, let’s find out if Smith and the Chiefs can pull off the outright upset or cover the NFL betting line as a pretty decisive road underdog.
Kansas City Cheifs Vs New England Patriots NFL Week 1 Odds & PIck
What: Kansas City Chiefs (0-0) vs New England Patriots (0-0)
When: Thursday, September 7, 2017
Start Time: 8:30 PM ET
Where: Foxboro, MA
Stadium: Gillette Stadium
Spread: Patriots -8
Game Total: 48
Stream: NBC Sports Live
Listen: Kansas City vs New England
Why bet the Kansas City Chiefs Odds at +8
Maybe it’s me, but I’m wondering why the Chiefs aren’t getting the proper respect I feel they deserve after winning a dozen games last season and the AFC West divisional title while nearly reaching the AFC Championship game.
I know the Chiefs didn’t exactly look like world-beaters in the preseason by going 2-2 in their four scrimmage games, but the fact of the matter is that Kansas City has been a model of consistency in going 43-21 in four seasons under head coach Andy Reid while winning at least 11 games in three of his four seasons, including last year’s 12-win campaign.
The Chiefs were absolutely rock-solid defensively in 2016 as they finished seventh in points allowed (19.4 ppg). Now as they get set for the upcoming 2017 season, Kansas City needs to improve an offense that was mostly mediocre in ranking 13th in scoring last season. Unfortunately, I don’t think the Chiefs addressed their needs on offense as well as they should have this offseason.
Sure, veteran quarterback Alex Smith won’t lose you any games with silly turnovers, but he’s also not going to go out and win games with anything that could be considered prolific passing. The Chiefs do have some nice weapons for Smith to work with, but maybe not nearly enough.
Wide receiver Tyreek Hill and Pro Bowl tight end Travis Kelce are playmakers, but the Chiefs have real question marks at wide receiver and running back with scheduled starter Spencer Ware likely out for the season and veteran wideout Jeremy Maclin jettisoned in the offseason, via e-mail according to him. Right now, Reid is planning on using a committee of running backs to replace Ware’s contributions.
“I think we’re going to be okay there,” Reid told reporters last week. “Now listen, are you going to replace Spence? No he’s a good football player, but the young kid (Kareem Hunt), he’ll step in and he’ll do a nice job for us, and Charcandrick’s (West) got reps under his belt, C.J. (Spiller) has reps under his belt so we’re okay. I don’t want to take anything away from Spencer and how important he was to our team, but that’s a position where we have a little strength, so we should be okay.”
The best thing about Kansas City is the fact that they have a pair of Pro Bowl defenders in cornerback Marcus Peters and safety Eric Berry and a handful of other outstanding defensive players that are just off the Pro Bowl mark in linebackers Dee Ford and Derrick Johnson and defensive tackle Dontari Poe.
Why Bet the New England Patriots Odds at -8
The New England Patriots didn’t look real good in going 1-3 in the preseason, but I don’t think anyone really cares right now, as the Pats are truly a team that has nothing to prove in the scrimmage campaign and usually use the time to scout young players. The Patriots have won two of the last three Super Bowls and appear to have gotten better in the offseason thanks to a series of smart roster transactions that include the additions of new No. 1 wide receiver Brandin Cooks and new starting running back Mike Gillislee, not to mention the return of Pro Bowl tight end Rob Gronkowski who will be back on the field after missing almost all of 2016.
The Patriots finished last season ranked a stellar third in scoring (27.6 ppg) despite not having future Hall of Fame quarterback Tom Brady on the field for the first four games of the regular season. Not only was new England terrific on offense a year ago, but more importantly, they were even better defensively in finishing a stellar first in points allowed (15.6 ppg). To make matters worse fort heir opponents, it looks like the Patriots got a bit better defensively by adding elite cornerback Stephon Gilmore to a unit that already includes three Pro Bowlers in Devin McCourty, Malcolm Butler and Dont’a Hightower.
Kansas City Vs New England Week 1 Expert Pick
Once again, maybe it’s me, but I really feel like Kansas City isn’t getting the respect they deserve for a team that has been a perennial title contender and one that won an impressive 12 games in the competitive AFC West last season. I don’t understand why the spread has gone from New England opening as a 6.5-point favorite to an 8-point favorite, but I like the Chiefs to cover the spread in a contest that looks like a field goal affair just waiting to happen.
Despite their 1-4 ATS mark in their last 5 games in the month of September, the Chiefs are a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last half-dozen road games and a positive 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Yes, by now, almost everyone knows that Tom Brady and the Patriots are a red-hot 18-6-2 ATS in their last 26 home games and bankroll-boosting 5-0 ATS in their last five games in the month of September, but I genuinely believe Kansas City’s stout defense will keep them in this affair until the very end. Simply put, back Alex Smith and the Chiefs to cover the spread as road underdogs everyone!
Pick: Kansas City +8 Points