There is no better game on the planet for upset winners, against the spread or on the money line, than college football. Think about how in Week 2 Oklahoma dominated Ohio State on the road. Oklahoma was a 7-point college football spread betting underdog. They beat Ohio State 31 to 16.
What upsets do I like this week? Can Purdue take down Missouri on the road? Will Tulane take advantage of Oklahoma having a letdown? How is Alabama going to fair versus yet another team that they’re favored by close to 30 points over?
*rankings are accurate at time of writing
Upset Picks College Football Week 3
Purdue at Missouri
When: Saturday, Sep. 16 at 4:00 pm ET
Where: Memorial Stadium, Columbia, MO
Odds: Purdue +7
Analysis: Missouri scored 72 points in a 72 to 43 win over Missouri State in Week 1. How did the Tigers follow up that fantastic scoring outburst in Week 2? They followed it up with a dreadful 13 points versus SEC rival South Carolina. The Gamecocks hung 31 onto the Tigers.
Now, Mizzou faces a Purdue team that can move the football. Purdue lost by only 7 points, 28 to 35, as a 25.5 dog to Louisville in Week 1. In Week 2, Purdue dominated Ohio 44 to 21 as a -3-point favorite.
There’s no reason why Missouri should by favored by a TD and an extra point. Purdue is a decent play on the money line. If you’re worried about it, take the points.
Pick: Purdue +7
Tulane at #2 Oklahoma
When: Saturday, Sep. 16 at 6:00 pm ET
Where: Memorial Stadium, Norman, OK
Odds: Tulane +33.5
Analysis: Man, Oklahoma’s win over Ohio State was huge. The Sooners dominated Ohio State in Columbus. But, that’s why I like Tulane against the spread in Week 3.
The Sooners played so well that it’s going to be impossible for them to emotionally get up for the Tulane Green Wave on Sep. 16.
The Green Wave lost by only 2 points, 21 to 23, to Navy in Week 2 as an 8-point road dog. Tulane provided an inspired performance versus the Midshipmen.
An inspired performance in Week 3 means that Tulane only loses by 20 to 27 points. That’s the way I see it. I’m definitely taking the 33.5.
Pick: Tulane +33.5
Colorado State at #1 Alabama
When: Saturday, Sept. 16 at 7:00 pm ET
Where: Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, AL
Stream: Watch ESPN
Odds: Colorado State +28.5
Analysis: Alabama was favored by -42 against Fresno State in their Week 2 game. Bama beat Fresno State 41 to 10.
The Tide is only favored by 28.5 points versus Colorado State in Week 3. Will Bama cover the massive spread against the Rams on Sep. 16? I don’t think so.
Colorado State dominated Oregon State in Week 1. In Week 2, they hung with a decent Colorado team. In the Rams’ third game of the season, they beat Abilene Christian 38 to 10. Colorado State is a decent team.
But, they’re still inferior to Alabama. The Crimson Tide doesn’t often cover spreads against inferior opponents. Colorado State and the points is my play.
Pick: Colorado State +28.5