Monthly Archives - October 2017

Expert Picks NFL Week 9

Expert Picks NFL Week 9

Week 9 of the NFL season is here and I have a trio of expert betting picks you need to jump on today!

Will the Indianapolis Colts show up in their Week 9 AFC South divisional battle against the Houston Texans or will they get embarrassed by gifted rookie quarterback Deshaun Watson?

Can Russell Wilson and the Seattle Seahawks handle Kirk Cousins and the struggling Washington Redskins or will they need another high-scoring effort in order to get the Week 9 home win?

Last but not least, will Trevor Siemian be under center or sitting on the bench when the Denver Broncos take on Carson Wentz and the streaking Philadelphia Eagles?

With the start of Week 9 of the 2017 NFL regular season quickly approaching, let’s find get a handle on what the expert pick is for those games.

Expert Picks NFL Week 9

Indianapolis (2-6) at Houston (3-4)
When: Sunday, November 5, 2017 at 1:00 PM ET
Where: NRG Stadium, Houston, Texas
NFL Odds: Houston -13
Total: 48.5

Analysis: While I’m not really fond of the high points spread, I’m going to advise you to go along with the 57 percent of public bettors that like Deshaun Watson and the Houston Texans to cover the chalk against the reeling Indianapolis Colts as nearly two-touchdown home favorites. I know the Colts put up a solid effort in their narrow 24-23 Week 8 loss at Cincinnati, but I’m just not going against the gifted Watson after seeing the way he shredded Seattle’s league-leading defense in Houston’s 41-38 loss against the Seahawks this past weekend.

The Colts have lost three straight while dropping two of those contests by at least 14 points, including their 27-0 shutout loss at home against Jacksonville two weeks ago. Even in losing three of their last five games, Houston has put at least 33 points on the board in every contest during the stretch, thanks mostly to the jaw-dropping feats of Watson. The Colts have gone 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games against their AFC South division rivals while Houston has gone 5-1 ATS in their last six games and 4-1 ATS in their last five games against their division rivals. Deshaun Watson is a superstar in the making while Indianapolis is playing out the string in a lost season in what should be Chuck Pagano’s final season coaching the Colts. Houston is my top NFL Week 9 expert pick!

Expert Pick Week 9: Houston -13

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Washington (3-4) at Seattle (5-2)
When: Sunday, November 5, 2017 at 4:05 PM ET
Where: CenturyLink Field, Seattle, Washington
NFL Odds: Seattle -7
Total: 45

Analysis: The Redskins let me down in what looked like a winnable Week 8 contest against a Dallas Cowboys team that had an identical 3-3 record going into their NFC East divisional battle against the Skins this past Sunday. Now, I’m thinking Washington is going down even harder against a Seattle Seahawks team that put 41 points on the board against Houston on Sunday. Washington has lost three of its last four while getting held to 20 points or less in two of those defeats.

Seattle has won four straight while scoring 41 or more in two of those contests. Add it all up and I doesn’t look good for the Skins as touchdown road dogs. Washington is 0-4 ATS in their last four games while Seattle has gone 5-1 ATS in their last six games in the month of November. After watching the Skins get crushed by Dallas this past weekend, I’m thinking more of the same is in store for Washington when they hit the great Northwest to face Seattle making the Seahawks my second NFL Week 9 expert pick in this tilt.

Expert Pick Week 9: Seattle -7

Denver (3-3) at Philadelphia (7-1)
When: Sunday, November 5, 2017 at 1:00 PM ET
Where: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
NFL Odds: Philadelphia -7.5
Total: OFF

Analysis: Philadelphia has clearly found their franchise signal-caller in Carson Wentz while the Denver apparently has not in Trevor Siemian. Unfortunately for the floundering Broncos, it is the huge difference at quarterback that will cause them to lose this Week 9 Inter-conference clash while failing to cover the chalk. Under the direction of the blossoming Wentz, Philadelphia is averaging 11.0 points per game more than Siemian and the offensively-challenged Broncos and Philadelphia is surprisingly also allowing fewer points per game than Denver this season.

The Broncos are 0-4 ATS in their last four road games while Philadelphia has gone an unblemished 5-0 ATS in their last five games and 5-1 ATS in their last six home games. Wentz takes another step toward a likely top-five MVP finish while Siemian takes another step toward the bench – if he isn’t already there by the time this Week 9 matchup gets underway. The Eagles are my final expert pick for NFL Week 9.

Expert Pick Week 9: Philadelphia -7.5

Upset Picks NFL Week 9

Upset Picks NFL Week 9

If you like making bankroll-boosting straight up upset picks, then you’re in for a treat! I’ve got a trio of upset picks that are sure to please. Now, let’s rock and roll.

Who’s going to get the ‘W’ when the Miami Dolphins host the Oakland Raiders in their Week 9 AFC matchup of teams looking to rebound from pitiful performances this past weekend?

Can the Dak Prescott and the Dallas Cowboys hold it down at home against Alex Smith and the dangerous Kansas City Chiefs?

Are the Jacksonville Jaguars the pick to get past the desperate Cincinnati Bengals in their Week 9 matchup of playoff hopefuls?

Upset Picks NFL Week 9

Oakland Raiders (3-5) at Miami Dolphins (4-3)
When: Sunday, November 5, 2017 at 8:30 PM ET
Where: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, Florida
NFL Odds: Oakland -3
Total: 44

Analysis: I know only 23 percent of public bettors like the Dolphins to cover the chalk as home underdogs against Oakland, but I’m among them! Oakland got completely embarrassed in their humbling 34-14 beatdown at Buffalo last weekend so I just don’t have a whole lot of faith in the Raiders coming into this one. I’m also expecting Miami quarterback Matt Moore to have a much better performance than he did in the Fins’ equally pitiful 40-0 shutout loss against Baltimore this past Thursday night. Oakland doesn’t play much defense at all and they’re 0-4 ATS in their last four meeting against the Dolphins.

Week 9 Upset Pick: Miami +3

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Kansas City Chiefs (5-2) at Dallas Cowboys (4-3)
When: Sunday, November 5, 2017 at 4:25 PM ET
Where: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas
NFL Odds: Dallas -1
Total: OFF

Analysis: While Kansas City has yet to play their Monday Night Week 8 matchup against Denver, I’m going on record right now to say that the Chiefs are going to march into Dallas and walk out with the straight-up win! Kansas City is statistically better than Dallas on both sides of the ball, plus they’ve got the far better head coach in this one. Kansas City is a near-perfect 9-1 ATS in their last 10 road games and a stellar 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games overall. Dallas is 0-4 ATS in their last four games against a team with a winning record and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Get the Chiefs now while they’re 1-point underdogs NFL bettors!

Week 9 Upset Pick: Kansas City +1

Cincinnati Bengals (3-4) at Jacksonville Jaguars (4-3)
When: Sunday, November 5, 2017 at 1:00 PM ET
Where: EverBank Field, Jacksonville, Florida
NFL Odds: Jacksonville -5.5
Total: 39.5

Analysis: I know Jacksonville has been a bit of a revelation this season and comes into this contest having won two of their last three games, but Cincinnati is completely desperate and has won three of their last four. Not only that, but Andy Dalton, despite his faults, is far better than Blake Bortles will ever be at quarterback and the Bengals have an elite defense that is limiting the opposition to just 19.3 points per game. I smell an outright upset in this one as Bortles tosses a couple of picks everyone! Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in their last five road games and 3-0-2 ATS in their last five meetings against Jacksonville.

Week 9 Upset Pick: Cincinnati +5.5

Upset Picks NFL Week 12

Parlay Picks NFL Week 9 2017

Can the surprising Buffalo Bills extend their winning ways when they hit the road to face a New York Jets team that has been pretty competitive in every game they’ve played this season?

Will Drew Brees and the New Orleans Saints cover the chalk as touchdown home favorites when they host Jameis Winston and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in their Week 9 NFC South divisional battle?

Last but not least, will Eli Manning and the New York Giants show up when they host Jared Goff and the revitalized Los Angeles Rams in what no looks like a lop-sided NFC matchup this coming weekend?

Parlay Picks NFL Week 9

If you’re looking to put some wagers together as part of a potentially payday-producing parlay, then let’s find out the answers to all three aforementioned questions right now!

2-Team Parlay Pick NFL Week 9

  • Buffalo Bills
  • New Orleans Saints

Buffalo Bills (5-2) at NY Jets (3-5)
When: Thursday, November 2, 2017 at 8:25 PM ET
Where: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, New Jersey
NFL Odds: Buffalo -3.5
Total: 43

Analysis: The Bills have won two straight and four of their last five games and completely dominated Oakland in their 34-14 home win this past weekend. The New York Jets have been competitive all season, but they’ve lost three straight including their narrow 25-20 home loss against Atlanta on Sunday.

While I’ve been impressed with New York’s effort all season long, the fact of the matter is that they’re facing a Bills team that is reaching brand new heights this season under first-year head coach Sean McDermott. Not only are the Bills 6-2 ATS in their last eight meetings against the Jets, but they’re also limiting the opposition to just 16.4 points per game this season to rank a stellar third in points allowed. Buffalo wins and covers the chalk despite being on the road in this Week 9 AFC East divisional matchup.

Pick: Buffalo -3.5

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-5) at New Orleans Saints (5-2)
When: Sunday, November 5, 2017 at 1:00 PM ET
Where: Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans, Louisiana
NFL Odds: New Orleans -7
Total: 50

Analysis: Tampa Bay looked absolutely clueless in their 17-3 beatdown at the hands of Carolina on Sunday while Drew Brees and the Saints shut the Bears down en route to a solid, but not dazzling 20-12 home win this past weekend. The Bucs have lost four straight and look nothing like the division title contender many thought they would be coming into the regular season while New Orleans has looked phenomenal in winning five straight.

The Saints have held four of their last five opponents to 17 points or less and have gone 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win. Tampa Bay is 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 road games and will suffer their fifth straight loss in this one!

Pick: New Orleans -7

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3-Team Parlay Pick NFL Week 9

  • Buffalo Bills
  • New Orleans Saints
  • Los Angeles Rams

Los Angeles Rams (5-2) at New York Giants (1-6)
When: Sunday, November 5, 2017 at 1:00 PM ET
Where: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, New Jersey
NFL Odds: L.A. Rams -2.5
Total: 42

Analysis: There’s a reason why 66 of public bettors already like the Rams in this Week 9 matchup and it’s because they’re scoring the ball like crazy while the Giants are a hot mess! Both teams are well-rested following their Week 8 byes, but the rams are red-hot having won two straight and four of five. The G-Men…um, they’re pretty damned cold, having lost six of their last seven games.

I know it seems crazy, but Los Angeles is averaging 14.3 points per game more than New York while allowing almost three fewer points per contest defensively as well. L.A. has gone a near-perfect 3-0-1 ATS in their last four games and a blistering 7-2-1 ATS in their L/10 games following a bye week. The Giants have gone 1-2 ATS in their last three and 5-12-1 ATS in their L/18 games following a bye. L.A. wins outright to cover the chalk people!

Pick: Rams -2.5