Daily Archives - October 2, 2017

Expert Picks College Football Week 6

Expert Picks College Football Week 6

College Football Week 6 Expert Picks Features Pair of Pac-12 Title Contenders and One Big 12 Championship Hopeful

A pair of Pac-12 title contenders and one SEC championship hopeful will all look to remain unbeaten and keep their playoff hopes alive when they take to the gridiron for their respective Week 6 conference matchups. Now, let’s find out who these teams are and whether they’ll win and cover the college football betting odds in their respective Week 6 matchups.

Expert Picks College Football Week 6

California (3-2) at No. 6 Washington (5-0)
When: Saturday, October 7, 2017 at 12:00 PM ET
Where: Husky Stadium, Seattle, Washington
TV: ESPN
Spread: Washington -27

Analysis: Cal got blasted off the field in their 45-24 loss against now, unranked Oregon on Saturday. While quarterback Ross Bowers was pretty good in completing 23 of 41 passes for 255 yards with three touchdowns and no interceptions, the Golden Bears gave up a whopping 328 rushing yards and five rushing TDs in the loss while getting held to a mind-boggling eight rushing yards on 29 carries.

Conversely, No. 6 Washington is making my preseason pick of them both, winning the Pac-12 and reaching the four-team playoff look really good right now. The Huskies smacked Oregon State senseless by scoring 35 second-half points en route to a commanding 42-7 win on Saturday as quarterback Josh Browning threw for 293 yards and three touchdowns while running back Myles Gaskin added 113 rushing yards and one score.

While this nearly four-touchdown spread looks really high, I like Washington to get the SU win and narrow ATS cover behind their pair of Heisman Trophy candidates. Cal is just 1-5 ATS in their last six road games and 0-4 ATS in their last four road games against a team with a winning home record. Washington has gone 4-0 ATS in their last four conference games and 4-1 ATS in their L/5 games against a team with a winning record. Championship-hopeful Washington wins and narrowly covers!

Expert Pick Week 6: Washington -27

No. 6 Georgia (5-0) at Vanderbilt (3-2)
When: Saturday, October 7, 2017 at 12:00 PM ET
Where: Vanderbilt Stadium, Nashville, Tennessee
Spread: Georgia -16.5

Analysis: No. 6 Georgia put on their second straight stellar defensive performance this past weekend by shutting out Tennessee 41-0 just one week after beating Mississippi State 31-3. quarterback Jake Fromm threw for just 84 yards with one touchdown and one interception, but the Bulldogs piled up 294 rushing yards and four scores on the ground led by Nick Chubb’s 109 yards on 16 carries. More importantly, the Bulldogs harassed Tennessee quarterback Quinten into two interceptions while allowing him to throw for just 64 yards. Georgia also limited the SEC rivals to just 62 rushing yards in the statement-making win while forcing four turnovers on the day.

Vanderbilt got smacked around in their 38-24 loss to No. 21 Florida on Saturday despite the fact that quarterback Kyle Shurmur threw for 264 yards and three touchdowns. The Commodores gave up five rushing scores in the loss and scored just seven points in the second half after going into halftime tied at 17.

Georgia is 4-0 ATS in its last four conference games, 5-0 ATS in its last five road games and a blistering 9-1 ATS in its last 10 road games against a team with a winning record. Vanderbilt is just 1-10 ATS in its last 11 home games against a team with a winning road record, but more importantly, the Bulldogs have a seriously dominant defense this year that is going to give Vanderbilt problems in this one. The spread looks a little bit high here, but with the way Georgia has played the last two weeks, I like the Dogs to cover it!

Expert Pick Week 6: Georgia -16.5

No. 11 Washington State (5-0) at Oregon (4-1)
When: Saturday, October 7, 2017 at 12:00 PM ET
Where: Autzen Stadium, Eugene, Oregon
Spread: Washington State -2.5

Analysis: If you didn’t back Washington State to beat USC and cover the spread this past weekend after I predicted both outcomes, then shame on you. The Cougars handed the previously fifth-ranked Trojans a 30-27 loss as quarterback Luke Falk passed for 340 yards with two touchdowns and one pick while running back Jamal Morrow rushed for 91 yards and one score on just six carries to stun the Trojans and cash in as a 5-point home underdog.

Oregon rebounded from its 37-35 Week 4 loss at Arizona State to smack Cal around in its 45-24 Week 5 win this past Saturday and cover the spread as a 17-point home fave. Quarterback Justin Herbert had a modest game b completing 7 of 8 passes for 86 yards and one touchdown, but the Ducks didn’t need much passing as running back Kani Benoit rushed for 138 yards and two scores on 18 carries and fellow back Tony Brooks-James added 76 rushing yards and one touchdown on 16 carries. Overall, the Ducks rushed for 328 yards while limiting Cal to a mind-boggling eight rushing yards on 29 carries.

For this intriguing Week 6 Pac-12 pairing, I’m going to advise you to back Washington State to get their third straight win over Oregon and second straight in Eugene after smacking the Ducks around in their 51-33 blowout win last season.

Washington State has gone 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS win and 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games against a team with a winning home record while Oregon has gone 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight-up win and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win. The Cougars have the better starting quarterback in this matchup and will get the narrow road win and ATS cover because of it – although I will say this matchup has the look of a high-scoring thriller just waiting to happen.

Expert Pick Week 6: Washington State -2.5

Upset Picks College Football Week 8

Upset Picks College Football Week 6

If you’re looking for teams that are offering college football Week 6 upset betting value, then you’ve undeniably come to the right place. Thanks to my expert analysis in three week 6 collegiate gridiron matchups, that I believe are all offering their own unique upset betting value, you’re going to have an excellent chance to cash in three times this coming weekend.

Now, let’s get to it!

Upset Picks College Football Week 6

Wake Forest (4-1) at No. 2 Clemson (5-0)
When: Saturday, October 7, 2017 at 12:00 PM ET
Where: Clemson Memorial Stadium, Clemson, South Carolina
TV: ESPN2
Odds: Clemson -21.5

Analysis: The Wake Forest Demon Deacons put up a good effort but fell to Florida State 26-19 on Saturday as quarterback John Wolford passed for 271 yards but failed to throw a touchdown while tossing one interception. Wolford did add 63 rushing yards and one score, but no Wake running back had more than 13 rushing yards in the loss.

The second-ranked Clemson Tigers got past Virginia Tech 31-17 on Saturday thanks mostly to a great effort from their powerful defense which picked off Hokies quarterback Josh Jackson twice in the win and forced three turnovers overall. Quarterback Kelly Bryant racked up 280 total yards of offense and the Tigers limited every Virginia Tech runner to 39 yards or less.

While Clemson is the easy pick to get the SU win on the road against Wake Forest, I’m going to urge you to back the Demon Deacons as three-touchdown road underdogs in this one. Wake Forest is a robust 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 conference games and 4-1-1 ATS in their last six games overall.

While the Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games, the Demon Deacons are also 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games against a team with a winning home record. I like Clemson to get the win, but the narrow ATS cover goes to Wake Forest as three-touchdown road dogs!

Upset Pick Week 6: Wake Forest +21.5

Iowa State (2-2) at No. 3 Oklahoma (4-0)
When: Saturday, October 7, 2017 at 12:00 PM ET
Where: Gaylord Family – Oklahoma Memorial Stadium, Norman, Oklahoma
Odds: Oklahoma -28

Analysis: One week after stunning Arkansas, Iowa State got ‘put on lockdown’ in their humbling 17-7 loss against Texas as quarterback Jacob Park got harassed into throwing three interceptions and the Cyclones were held to a pitiful 10 rushing yards on 15 carries. Iowa State went 3-for-12 on third downs and held the ball for less than 20 minutes in the resounding loss.

Sixth-ranked Oklahoma had their hands full in their 49-41 win over rebuilding Baylor as Heisman Trophy-contending quarterback Baker Mayfield threw for 283 yards and three touchdowns. Running back Abdul Adams rushed for 164 yards and one score on 11 carries while fellow back Trey Sermon added 148 rushing yards and two more touchdowns on 12 carries as the Sooners piled up a whopping 342 rushing yards in the win while holding the Bears to just 60 yards on the ground.

While Iowa State looked really offensively-challenged against Texas last week, I’m going to take the four touchdowns and the Cyclones to cover the chalk in this one seeing as how Oklahoma’s defense didn’t look very good in allowing Baylor quarterback Zach Smith to throw for 463 yards with four touchdowns and no interceptions this past weekend.

I know Oklahoma is 7-0 ATS in their last seven home games and 7-1 ATS in their last eight games overall, but Iowa State is 5-1 ATS in their last six games against a team with a winning record, 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following an SU loss and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games overall.

Upset Pick Week 6: Iowa State +28

No. 4 Penn State Nittany Lions (5-0) at Northwestern Wildcats (2-2)
When: Saturday, October 7, 2017 at 12:0 0 PM ET
Where: Ryan Field, Evanston, Illinois
TV: ABC
Odds: Penn State -14

Analysis: Penn State blew Indiana out of the water in its 45-14 Week 5 win just as I predicted following their miracle win’ against Iowa in their previous game. Quarterback Trace McSorley threw for 315 yards with two touchdowns and one interception and Saquon Barkley added 107 combined rushing and receiving yards despite failing to score in the rout.

Northwestern put up a great fight in their 33-24 Week 5 loss to Wisconsin as quarterback Clayton Thorson passed for 219 yards and three touchdown passes. Unfortunately, Thorson also tossed a pair of costly picks and the Wildcats were held to just 25 rushing yards in the loss against the Badgers.

Penn State will have plenty of motivation coming into this matchup as they look to snap a two-game losing streak in this contest. While I expect the Nittany Lions to get the SU win, I also like Northwestern to get the ATS cover by keeping it close against Penn State. I know the championship-hopeful Nittany Lions a near-perfect 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games, but Northwestern is 5-0 ATS in their last five games in the month of October, 5-1 ATS in their last six games following an SU loss and a consistent 7-2 ATS in their last nine games against their Big Ten conference counterparts. Northwestern keeps it closer than expected to get the ATS cover.

Upset Pick Week 6: Northwestern +14

UCLA vs USC Odds & Betting Predictions

Parlay Pick College Football Week 6

With the fifth week of the 2017 college football regular season, now a thing of the past, Week 6 is clearly in the bullseye of college football bettors that are looking to make some winning wagers with unofficially mid-season mark almost here.

If you love putting wagers together as part of a value-packed parlay, then use my Week 6 college football parlay picks to cash in big.

Parlay Pick College Football Week 6

2-Team Parlay Pick College Football Week 6

  • Louisville Cardinals
  • Miami Hurricanes

No. 17 Louisville (4-1) at NC State (4-1)
When: Thursday, October 5, 2017 at 8:00 PM ET
Where: Carter-Finley Stadium, Raleigh, North Carolina
TV: ESPN
Odds: Louisville -2.5

Analysis: No. 17 Louisville steamrolled Murray State 55-10 on Saturday as Heisman Trophy-winning quarterback Lamar Jackson passed for 349 yards and three touchdowns while rushing for 100 yards and another score one week after throttling overmatched Kent State 42-3.

NC State got past Syracuse 33-25 on Saturday as quarterback Ryan Finley passed for 186 yards and one score while running back Nyheim Hines rushed for 115 yards and another touchdown. Backup running back Jaylen Samuels added 74 yards and another score and NC State limited the Orange to just 59 rushing yards.

With both of these ACC rivals allowing right around 24.0 points per game defensively, Louisville is the pick to win and cover as slight road favorites mostly because they have the gifted Jackson and the far more explosive offense.

Louisville has won three straight in this series including last season’s emphatic 54-13 win as a 19-point home favorite. The Cardinals also have the better head coach in this contest and have gone a blistering 21-7 in their L/28 road games against a team with a winning record. NC State cashed in for me two weeks ago as a double-digit road dog against Florida State, but they’re going to find stopping Lamar Jackson next to impossible as they fall at home and fail to cover the spread.

Pick: Louisville -2.5

No. 11 Miami (3-0) at Florida State (1-2)
When: Saturday, October 7, 2017 at 3:30 PM ET
Where: Doak Campbell Stadium, Tallahassee, Florida
Odds: Miami -3

Analysis: No. 11 Miami pounded Duke unmercifully in their 31-6 win this past Saturday as quarterback Malik Rosier threw for 270 yards with two touchdowns and one pick while rushing 15 times for an additional 45 yards and one score. However, it was the Hurricanes’ defense that really got the job done by limiting the Blue devils to just two first-half field goals to help them easily cash in as 5.5-point road favorites.

Florida State got its first win of the season by beating Wake Forest 26-19 this past weekend as young quarterback James Blackman threw for a modest 121 yards and one touchdown and running back Jacques Patrick rushed for 120 yards and another score.

While the Seminoles have won seven straight against Miami in this series, now is the perfect time for the canes to extract some revenge, even on the road in this ACC showdown.

Florida State is simply not the same team without star quarterback Deondre Francois as evidenced by the fact that they’re averaging just 18.0 points per game while Miami has been rock solid on both sides of the ball by putting up 41.3 points per contest and limiting the opposition to just 16.3 points per game.

Florida State quarterback James Blackman isn’t very good throwing the ball right now and that means Miami will beat the one-dimensional Seminoles on the road to cover the spread. With Miami going 5-0 ATS in their last five conference games, a blistering 7-1 ATS in their last eight games overall and 4-1 ATS in their last five road dates against Florida State, this Week 6 pick is as easy as pie!

Pick: Miami -3

3-Team Parlay Pick College Football Week 6

  • Louisville Cardinals
  • Miami Hurricanes
  • USC Trojans

Oregon State at No. 14 USC
When: Saturday, October 7, 2017 at 4:00 PM ET
Where: Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum, Los Angeles, California
NCAAF Odds: USC -34.5

Analysis: Oregon State has lost three straight and got embarrassed in their 42-7 Week 5 loss against No. 6 Washington as quarterback Darrell Garretson was limited to just 74 passing yards and the Beavers allowed the Huskies to roll up 506 yards of total offense. The lone bright spot for Oregon State was running back Thomas Tyner who picked up 54 yards and the beaver’s only touchdown on just nine carries.

Previously fifth-ranked USC got beat 30-27 by No. 11 Washington State this past Saturday as quarterback Sam Darnold completed just 15 of 29 passes for a modest 164 yards with no touchdowns and one interception. While running back Ronald Jones shined by rushing for 128 yards and one score on 14 carries, the Trojans allowed Washington State signal-caller Luke Falk to throw for 340 yards and two touchdowns in the loss while losing the turnover and time of possession battles.

I’m not really fond of this insane point spread, but I like a ticked-off USC squad to get the win and ATS cover mostly because Oregon State is playing absolutely awful football right now. The home team in this longtime Pac-12 rivalry is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings and the Beavers are just 1-4 ATS in their last five road dates against the Trojans. Sam Darnold hasn’t looked like the Heisman Trophy favorite he was when the season began, but he will in this one as USC wins and covers.

Pick: USC -34.5