Can Bill Belichick fix the Patriots lousy defense in four days after their second loss of the season?
Or will New England need Brady’s heroics to beat an upstart Bucs team?
The Week 5 Thursday Night NFL spread favors the Patriots by 5-points to beat the Bucks. Kick-off is this Thursday, October 5th at 8:25 PM ET on FOX from the Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida.
New England Patriots Vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL Week 5 Spread & ATS Pick
What: New England Patriots (2-2) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-1)
When: Thursday, October 5, 2017
Start Time: 8:25 PM ET
Where: Tampa, FL
Stadium: Raymond James Stadium
Spread: Patriots -5
Moneyline: New England -235 vs Tampa Bay +195
Game Total: 55.5
Stream: Amazon Prime
Listen: New England vs Tampa Bay
Why Bet The New England Patriots To Beat The Buccaneers
The New England Patriots total defense ranks last in the NFL. The Pats only prayer in this game is if Tom Brady and the offense can outscore the Bucs. He has the tools to do that.
The Patriots offense averages 32.3 points per game which is second best in the NFL. The offense averages 328.9 passing yards per game, best in the league. TE Rob Gronkowski (20 rec, 318 yards, 2 TDs) and WR Brandin Cooks (13 rec, 294 yards, 2 TDs) are in the Top-15 in receiving yards after four weeks.
Brady leads the NFL in every QB stat that matters: passing yards (1399), touchdowns (10), interceptions (zero). Only Aaron Rodgers has matched his ten touchdowns this season, but he has tossed three picks. Brady has the league’s best passer rating at 116.6.
Why Bet The Tampa Bay Buccaneers To Beat The Patriots
Tampa Bay’s offense average 23.7 points per game this season (12th) but at home, that number jumps to 27.0 PPG. But are 27 points enough to beat the Patriots?
QB Jameis Winston (864 yards, 6 TDs & 3 INTs) is leading an offense that can go toe to toe with the Patriots on Thursday. They average 277.7 passing yards per game (3rd). Winston just tossed for 332 yards and three touchdowns versus a tough Giants secondary last Sunday. Two of his six touchdowns have ended in the hands of the perennial mismatch WR Mike Evans (19 rec, 227 yards, 2 TDs).
The Bucs offense will get a huge boost this week with the return of RB Doug Martin who finished serving a four-game suspension handed down late last season. Martin brings some much-needed explosiveness. In the second preseason game, he was averaging 6.0 yards per carry and was bouncing off defenders. In three games without him, the Bucs have averaged 84.7 rushing yards, 26th in the league.
If You Still Can’t Decide Who To Bet On:
- Patriots are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games in Week 5.
- Patriots are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
- Buccaneers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 5.
- Buccaneers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
Patriots Vs. Buccaneers Week 5 Betting Analysis:
The Patriots have the worst total defense in the NFL and are second worst in points allowed per game at 32.0. Last week they allowed the struggling Panthers offense to score 33 at Gillette Stadium. With a short week and the Bucs already putting up points, the Pats are in trouble.
Take Tampa Bay to cover the spread.