After pulling off a huge upset in their wild card win this past weekend, Marcus Mariota and the Tennessee Titans will look to duplicate their feat when they take on Tom Brady and the New England Patriots in their AFC divisional round matchup on Saturday, January 13.
2018 Tennessee Vs New England Line & Free Pick
What: AFC Divisional Championship
Who: Tennessee Titans at New England Patriots
When: Saturday, January 13, 2018 at 7:15 PM ET
Where: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
Stream: CBS Sports
NFL Odds: Patriots -14
After trailing 21-3 at the half in their wild card matchup against the Kansas City Chiefs, Mariota and the Titans came alive in a big way to complete a stunning 22-21 win that propelled them into the divisional round. Tennessee’s revitalized third-year signal-caller passed for 205 yards with two touchdowns and one interception while running back Derrick Henry rushed for a stellar 156 yards and one score on 23 carries. Tennessee held Kansas City to just 69 rushing yards in the win and won the time of possession battle by just over five minutes.
New England hits the playoffs on fire, after winning their final three regular-season games and a blistering 11 of their last 12 games overall. Tom Brady and company finished the regular season ranked first in total offense, second in passing, 10th in rushing and second in scoring (28.6 ppg). While the Patriots were uncharacteristically mediocre in ranking 29th in total defense, 30th against the pass and 20th against the run, New England still managed to consistently keep their opponents out of the end zone by ranking fifth in points allowed (18.5 ppg).
While the Titans shut the Chiefs out in the second half of their wild card win as Henry overpowered Kansas City with some powerful rushing and Mariota made several crucial plays, what NFL betting enthusiasts needs to know about the Titans as they get set to take in New England is that Tennessee actually gave up more points per game (22.2 ppg, 17th) than they averaged during the regular season (20.9 ppg, 19th).
Unfortunately, that just won’t be good enough to get past a New England team that just doesn’t make mistakes very often and is playing at home in this affair. The Patriots are the better team in all three phases of the game and way more consistent than the wildly inconsistent Chiefs.
New England has gone 3-0 ATS in their last three games and an incendiary 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall. While Tennessee has gone 3-0 ATS in their last three games and 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall, New England will be more than prepared to put the Titans in their place in this AFC Divisional matchup. Whether you love them or loathe them, the combination of Tom Brady and Bill Belichick have been extremely difficult to beat sine they’ve been joined at the hip and they really don’t lose playoff games to teams they’re supposed to beat – unless it’s against Eli Manning and the New York Giants that is!
I like New England to get the win, but the two-touchdown spread looks like it’s a bit too big for New England to cover in this one, particularly seeing as how I expect Tennessee to play a lot of clock management by rushing the ball early and often with Derrick Henry. New England wins, but Tennessee covers the chalk!
Pick: Tennessee +14