Daily Archives - January 13, 2018

Australian Open ATP Odds & Pick

Australian Open ATP Odds & Pick

With the 2018 Australian Open getting underway in earnest on Monday, January 15, tennis bettors across the globe need to know which ATP players are the most likely suspects to claim the first major of the year and cash in on their Aussie Open odds.

2018 Australian Open ATP Odds & Pick

  • Roger Federer +210
  • Rafael Nadal +500
  • Novak Djokovic +600
  • Grigor Dimitrov +1000
  • Nick Kyrgios +1600
  • Alexander Zverev +1600
  • David Goffin +1800
  • Juan Martin Del Potro +2000
  • Marin Cilic +3300
  • Milos Raonic +5000
  • Dominic Thiem +5000
  • Stanislas Wawrinka +5000

The Favorite: Roger Federer +210

There’s a reason why the greatest male tennis player of all-time is the favorite to win the 2018 Australian Open. Since the start of the 2017 season, a healthy Federer is virtually unbeatable Federer. The sweet-swinging Swiss won a whopping seven titles in 2017 and claimed last year’s Australian Open title en route to a two-slam campaign that also included wins at Indian Wells, Miami, Halle, Wimbledon, Shanghai, and Basel.

More importantly, Federer looks like he has a manageable quarter of the draw. His toughest obstacles to the semis would appear to be a potential date with either, Juan Martin Del Potro or David Goffin, two players that both beat him the last time they played. Del Po beat Federer at the US Open while Goffin pulled off the big upset win at the ATP Finals in London. While both players reside in Federer’s quarter, they’re also both on the other side of the section, meaning he can only face one of them. Federer will kick off his 2018 Australian Open against Aljaz Bedene and could face either Richard Gasquet, Milos Raonic or Sam Querrey. Along the way. However, Federer says he’s fully healthy right now – and that certainly isn’t a good thing for the rest of the field.

The Smart Pick: Alexander Zverev +1600

The 6-foot-6-inch German went 55-22 in 2017 and won five titles a year ago including Masters 1000 wins at Rome and Canada. The still, 20-year-old has gone 2-3 in five career matches against Federer and beat the World No.2 6-3, 6-4 at the Rogers Cup last year en route to the title. The World No. 4 has plenty of motivation after struggling late last season by suffering consecutive losses against Jack Sock and Federer in the ATP Finals after losing to World No. 43 Robin Hasse in Paris and both, Jo-Wilfried Tsonga and Juan Martin Del Potro in Vienna and Shanghai, respectively, while failing to advance past the quarterfinal round in each tournament.

Still, for the 2018 AO, I love Zverev’s mentality and ability to control his emotions on the court and I can see him making an even bigger push to win his first grand slam title. Make no mistake about it, Sascha, as he’s called, has a ton of talent and looks like a clear-cut future No. 1 at some point in the near future to me.

The Longshot: Borna Coric +50000

Let me start by saying the 21-year-old Croatian is undoubtedly one of the best young players in the game today. As a reference, you should know that Coric dispatched Zverev in the second round of the U.S. Open last season and has taken two of his four career matches against World No. 1 Rafael Nadal, whom he could meet in the third round at this year’s Aussie Open.

While Coric went a modest 24-26 last year, he did manage to win on the title in Morocco while recording wins against Andy Murray and John Isner. Coric also reached the quarterfinals at Qatar earlier this month and has both, the firepower and attitude to beat anyone in the world on any given day.

2018 Australian Open WTA Odds & Picks

Australian Open WTA Odds & Picks

With defending Australian Open winner Serena Williams sitting out this year’s version of the first grand slam event of the year as she tries to regain her form after having her first child last year, the field is quite literally wide open at the 2018 Aussie Open.

With that thought in mind, tennis betting enthusiasts everywhere could definitely use a bit of expert assistance in identifying just which players could hoist this year’s Aussie Open hardware. Thanks to some expert analysis on the favorite, my ‘smart’ pick and top longshot selection to do just that, you’re going to have a good idea of who to place your tennis betting bucks on at the first major of the year.

2018 Australian Open WTA Odds & Picks

  • Simona Halep +750
  • Karolina Pliskova +800
  • Elina Svitolina +900
  • Garbine Muguruza +900
  • Maria Sharapova +1100
  • Angelique Kerber +1200
  • Caroline Wozniacki +1250
  • Petra Kvitova +1800
  • Madison Keys +2000
  • Johanna Konta +2000
  • Coco Vandeweghe +2500
  • Venus Williams +2500

The Favorite: Simona Halep +750

Sure, the new, World No. 1 didn’t win a major in 2017 and she didn’t win the end of year WTA Finals trophy, but the 26-year-old Romanian superstar did go 45-17 last year while winning one title at Madrid while reaching the Finals at the French Open and quarterfinals at Wimbledon. Halep is also off to a good start in 2018, having won her first tournament of the year, in Shenzhen. As previously noted, Halep doesn’t have Serena to deal with, but she does have a couple of potentially difficult matchups in her quarter of the draw in the forms of two-time slam winner Petra Kvitova in the third round and either World No. 6 Karolina Pliskova or World No. 9 Johanna Konta in the quarterfinals.

The Smart Pick: Caroline Wozniacki +1250

‘Sunshine’ Wozniacki is No. 2 in the world for the first time since 2011 and she’s also coming off the biggest title of her career by winning the WTA Finals in Singapore. Once again, there’s also the fact that the consistent 27-year-old ‘human backboard’ doesn’t have to worry about Serena Williams and she’s got a pretty sweet draw overall. Woz also reached the final at Auckland before losing to Julia Goerges to start this year off, so she’s entering the Aussie open with some confidence. The three highest seeds in her quarter are Kiki Bertens, Magdalena Rybarikova, and Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova, so there’s that as well.

The Longshot: Venus Williams +2500

The World No. 5 and legendary Venus Williams has a very difficult opening round match (why?) as she faces former Top 10 player and current World No. 77 Belinda Bencic, but Williams has gone 4-0 vs. the Swiss, and has yet to drop a set to her). ‘V’ could also face World No. 33 Ekaterina Makarova in the third round, who she lost to Down Under in 2014 and the red-hot World No. 12 Julia Goerges in the fourth round. Hell, after all that, she could face World No. 4 Elina Svitolina in the quarterfinals, but after watching the ageless 37-year-old reach the Aussie Open finals opposite sister Serena last year while also reaching the finals at Wimbledon and semis at the U.S. Open, I’m thinking the value she’s offering as a +2500 pick is pretty damned staggering.

New Orleans Vs Minnesota Spread & ATS Pick

New Orleans Vs Minnesota Spread & ATS Pick

The NFL Divisional Championship round concludes with the high-octane New Orleans Saints visiting the purple people eating Minnesota Vikings. Kick-off is on Sunday, January 14, 2018 at 4:40 PM ET live on FOX.

The Saints lost their regular season opener against the Vikings and now, they’ll take on their conference rivals with something much bigger at stake. Now let’s find out if it is the Saints or Vikings have what it takes to be my expert betting pick in this tilt.

What: NFC Divisional Championship
Who: New Orleans Saints (12-5) at Minnesota Vikings (13-3)
When: Sunday, January 14, 2018 at 4:40 PM ET
Where: U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN
TV: FOX
Stream: Fox Sports Go
NFL Line: Vikings -3.5
Total: 44

New Orleans beat Carolina for the third time this season in their 31-26 wild-card win over the Panthers on Sunday as Brees passed for 376 yards with two touchdowns and one interception while rookie Alvin Kamara added one rushing score in the win. The Saints recorded four sacks on Carolina quarterback Cam Newton and forced the Panthers to settle for four field goals instead of touchdowns.

The Saints got man-handled in their 29-19 Week 1 loss against the Vikings as Brees was limited to one TD pass and the Saints were held to just 60 rushing yards while allowing then Minnesota starter Sam Bradford to toss three TD passes. Of course, that was when the Saints still had veteran running back Adrian Peterson on their roster and when the Vikes were featuring rookie Dalvin Cook as their No. 1 running back.

While a lot has changed since that Week 1 meeting, the Vikings are favored in their divisional round rematch for a reason. Minnesota finished the regular season ranked first in total defense, second against the pass, second against the run and first in points allowed (15.8 ppg). Not only that, but since the Vikings lost Bradford to an injury, they’ve completely taken off under career backup Case Keenum while veteran running back Latavius Murray has been outstanding in replacing Cook as the top rushing threat.

The Vikings closed out the regular season by winning three straight games and an incendiary 11 of their final 12 regular season games overall. Conversely, New Orleans struggled in dropping three of their final six regular-season games before holding on to beat Carolina in their wild card matchup.

As much as I love Drew Brees and admire the campaign that the Saints have had this season, I’m going to urge you to back the Minnesota Vikings to get the win and ATS cover, mostly because they have a phenomenal defense that has held each of their last three opponents and five of their final seven opponents overall, to 10 points or less. Minnesota is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games while the Saints have gone 2-6 ATS in their last eight games while failing to cover the chalk as a 6.5-point home favorite against Carolina this past weekend.

New Orleans is going to find getting into the end zone very difficult against Minnesota and I believe the Vikings offense will be able to put just enough points on the board to make a home win and narrow ATS cover stand up.

Pick: Vikings -3.5