AAF Week 4 Odds & Betting Analysis

AAF Week 4 Odds & Betting Analysis

We are heading into Week 4 of the Alliance of America Football league. Attendance might be struggling, but that doesn’t mean you can’t make a few bucks on a few smart bets on AAF Week 4 action.

AAF Week 4 Odds & Betting Analysis

Orlando Apollos -4 at Salt Lake Stallions
When: Saturday, March 2 at 4:00 pm ET
Where: Rice-Eccles Stadium, Salt Lake City, UT

Betting Analysis: In Week 3, the Salt Lake Stallions handed the Arizona Hotshots their first loss of the season. Salt Lake beat Zona 23-15. However, John Wolford, Arizona’s starting quarterback, got hurt during the game. Salt Lake most definitely took advantage of the situation.

That doesn’t mean they can’t beat Orlando straight up on Saturday, though. The Apollos barely got buy Memphis 21-17 as a -9 favorite. Orlando remains undefeated after 3 weeks, but if we learned anything from AAF Week 3, it’s that these teams are much closer in terms of talent than many of us thought after Week 1.

Salt Lake turns their win over the Hotshots into a streak with a victory and cover against Orlando.

Pick: Salt Lake Stallions

San Diego Fleet -6½ at Memphis Express
When: Saturday, March 2 at 8:00 pm ET
Where: Liberty Bowl Stadium, Memphis, TN

Betting Analysis: Memphis played the Orlando Apollos tough, but they’ll have a difficult time keeping the San Diego Fleet from rushing all over them. In Week 2, the Fleet dominated the Atlanta Legends on the ground with 181 rushing yards.

Then, in Week 3, the Fleet rushed for 202 rushing yards versus San Antonio’s supposedly decent defense. Memphis allowed Orlando to rush for 174 yards in the Week 3 loss. San Diego runs for a win and cover.

Pick: San Diego Fleet

San Antonio Commanders at Birmingham Iron -7
When: Sunday, March 3 at 4:00 pm ET
Where: Legion Field Stadium, Birmingham, AL

Betting Analysis: Birmingham will have a big edge when they take on the San Antonio Commanders in Week 4. The Iron are undefeated, yes, but the real reason to like them against San Antonio is because they’ve lived up to their name.

Birmingham’s defense is made out of iron. They held Memphis to 0 points in Week 1. In Week 2, they kept Salt Lake to 9, and then in Week 3, they beat Atlanta 28-12. San Antonio won’t score more than 10 on Sunday. Birmingham wins straight up and against the spread.

Pick: Birmingham Iron

Atlanta Legends at Arizona Hotshots -13½
When: Sunday, March 3 at 8:00 pm ET
Where: Sun Devil Stadium, Tempe, AZ

Betting Analysis: We don’t know if Arizona starting quarterback John Wolford will play on March 3. Wolford left the game versus Salt Lak after taking a massive hit and throwing an interception. Even if Wolford doesn’t play, Arizona should handle Atlanta on Sunday.

Back-up Trevor Knight will have had a full week of practice with the first team. Not only that, but Atlanta hasn’t gotten any closer than 12 points in any of their 3 straight losses. The Hotshots beat the Legends and cover the spread.

Pick: Arizona Hotshots

Posted in NFL
College Basketball Must Bet Games Feb 25 - March 3

College Basketball Must Bet Games Feb 25 – March 3

We are a few weeks away from March Madness, but you can boost your sports betting bankroll this week. I have picked a trio of college basketball games that you need to have on your calendar.

College Basketball Must Bet Games Feb 25 – March 3

Michigan State at Indiana
When: Saturday, March 2 at 12:00 pm ET
Where: Assembly Hall, Bloomington, IN
TV: FOX

Analysis: No team in college basketball is as tight as Michigan State. Tom Izzo’s squad has been awesome, winning 5 in a row straight up and going 4-1 in those 5 wins. The Spartans head into the week off their most impressive victory of the season.

They upset the rival Michigan Wolverines 77-70 as a +4.5 road dog on Sunday, Feb. 24. MSU has an 8-3 ATS road record. However, the last time they battled Indiana they lost 75-79 in overtime. That game happened on Feb. 2.

It doesn’t sound like a long time ago. In college hoops, it is. Michigan State’s been on a tear since the loss while the Hoosiers have lost 5 in a row straight up and gone 3-2 ATS. The Spartans roll to an easy win and cover.

Pick: Michigan State Spartans

Kentucky at Tennessee
When: Saturday, March 2 at 2:00 pm ET
Where: Thompson-Boiling Arena, Knoxville, TN
TV: CBS

Analysis: This is a rematch of a game that took place on Feb. 16 when Kentucky beat Tennessee 86-69. The Wildcats got to take on the Volunteers at home in that matchup. On Saturday, Tennessee’s the home team.

At home, the Vols have gone 6-8-1 ATS. More alarmingly if you’re a Vols’ backer is how they’ve lost 2 of their last 3. They’ve also gone 0-4 ATS in their last 4 heading into the week. Tennessee might be on a downturn.

Kentucky is looking good. The Wildcats get the nod on the moneyline and against the spread.

Pick: Kentucky Wildcats

Michigan at Maryland
When: Sunday, March 3 at 3:45 pm ET
Where: XFINITY Center, College Park, MD
TV: CBS

Analysis: Michigan battles Maryland on Sunday knowing that every game in the Big Ten from here on out means something.

The Wolverines beat Maryland 65-52 on Feb. 16. Michigan’s depth and defensive pressure could push the Terrapins into some turnovers, just like it did in the first game, but Maryland should be more prepared this time around.

The Terrapins are 4-1 SU and 4-1 ATS heading into the week. They’ll beat Penn State on Feb. 27, and then beat and cover against the Michigan Wolverines on March 3.

Pick: Maryland Terrapins

Top NBA Games Feb 25 - March 3

Top NBA Games Feb 25 – March 3

The NBA playoffs are on the horizon. I have a trio of NBA games you need to bet on to boost your sports betting bankroll before the post-season.

Top NBA Games Feb 25 – March 3

Portland Trailblazers at Boston Celtics
When: Wednesday, Feb. 27 at 8:00 pm ET
Where: TD Garden, Boston, MA
TV: ESPN

Analysis: The Portland Trailblazers should get a lot of points when they travel to Boston to take on the Celtics on Wednesday, Feb. 27. Portland heads into the week having gone 3-0 both straight up and against the spread. The Trailblazers are losing, but okay, 12-15 ATS in road games this season.

Boston heads into the week off an embarrassing 116-126 loss to lowly Chicago. The Celtics battled Milwaukee tough on Saturday on the road, 97-98, but when they’ve dominated it’s been at the TD Garden. Boston is 19-12 ATS at home.

The last time the Celtics played Portland, they lost 94-100, though. The Trailblazers are hot. They can pull off the upset on the moneyline. Taking the points makes the most sense.

Pick: Portland Trailblazers

Milwaukee Bucks at L.A. Lakers
When: Friday, March 1 at 10:30 pm ET
Where: Staples Center, Los Angeles, CA
TV: ESPN

Analysis: Milwaukee continues to win basketball games. The Bucks are an awesome 23-4 SU in their last 27. The team’s much more than just the Greek Freak. They beat their opponents in multiple ways and rank eighth in points allowed per game, and first in field goal percentage allowed.

They also rank first in offensive rebounds. The Bucks are a fantastic 17-10-2 ATS in their road games this season while the Lakers are 11-16-2 ATS at home. Because LeBron should play, the Bucks might either be a small spread favorite, or a +1 to +1.5 dog. Either way, they dominate the Lakers on Friday.

Pick: Milwaukee Bucks

Golden State Warriors at Philadelphia 76ers
When: Saturday, March 2 at 8:30 pm ET
Where: Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, PA
TV: ABC

Analysis: Saturday’s ABC prime time matchup has Golden State traveling to Philadelphia to take on the 76ers. This matchup won’t be without star power, that’s for sure!

Philadelphia is only 2-2 SU in their last 4 games. The reason is that the 76ers have put Joel Embiid on the bench due to knee soreness. Embiid is scheduled to return in early March, though, which means there’s a chance he plays on Saturday.

Even if he doesn’t play, Golden State’s a tough team to back against the spread. The Warriors have a reputation for dominating their opponents, which is why they’re almost always overplayed.

If Embiid doesn’t play, Golden State goes off a big favorite. If Embiid does play, Golden State goes off a small favorite. Because Philadelphia should win straight up with or without Embiid, they’re also the team to back against the spread.

Pick: Philadelphia 76ers

Posted in NBA