Golden State vs Toronto Odds & Betting Analysis Game 1 2019 NBA Championship

Golden State vs Toronto Odds & Betting Analysis Game 1 NBA Championship

Game 1 of the 2019 NBA Championship Final has the defending championship Golden State Warriors on the road to face the Toronto Raptors.

Golden State vs Toronto Odds & Betting Analysis Game 1 2019 NBA Championship

NBA oddsmakers opened the NBA Championship Game 1 betting line at Golden State Warriors -1. A flurry of early bets and doubts on Kevin Durant’s return has shifted the odds in Toronto’s favor at -1. The over/under total in Game 1 is 215. It’s fallen half a point after opening at 215.5

Why Bet on Golden State Warriors at +1

Golden State has won 6 straight games in the NBA Playoffs. They beat Houston 104-99 and 118-113. They beat Portland 116-94, 114-111, 110-99, and 119-117 in overtime.

In all 6 playoff victories, the Warriors Big 3 of Draymond Green, Steph Curry, and Kyle Thompson have stepped it up. Curry had 37 points, 11 assists, and 13 rebounds in the Game 4 win over the Trail Blazers. Green pitched in with 18 points, 11 assists, and 14 boards, and Thompson had 17 points, 6 boards, and 2 assists.

Green, Curry, and Thompson play together better than any other 3 players in the NBA. If they’re on top of their games on May 30, the Warriors will win Game 1.

Why Bet on Toronto Raptors at -1

Toronto not only gets to battle the Warriors on their home court at Scotiabank Arena but like Golden State, they head into Game 1 on fire. Toronto beat Milwaukee in four straight to claim the Eastern Conference crown.

The reason beating the Bucks in four straight is so impressive is because in the first two games during the series, it appeared as if Milwaukee might sweep the Raptors. Led by Kawhi Leonard, the Raptors beat the Bucks in double-overtime to take Game 3.

That caused a massive shift in the series. The Raptors figured out how to beat Milwaukee. They didn’t look back.

Because Toronto battles Golden State at home and because they’re playing just as well as the Warriors are playing, Toronto can beat and cover in Game 1 on Thursday night.

Golden State vs Toronto Betting Analysis Game 1 2019 NBA Championship

Although Golden State is a heavy favorite to win the series, they’re a slight underdog to lose Game 1. The Warriors have shown that they don’t need Kevin Durant to beat quality NBA teams.

However, they battled a couple of teams in the NBA Western Conference Playoffs that probably couldn’t hang with the Toronto Raptors. Neither Houston nor Portland are as deep as Toronto.

Toronto can bring Fred VanFleet and his hot three-point shooting hand off the bench. Serge Ibaka and Norman Powell also provide quality minutes. Golden State has nobody on their bench that can hang with Powell, Ibaka, and VanFleet.

Sounds crazy, but the real key to Game 1, and maybe the series, comes down to how well the Warriors can match up with Pau Gasol. Portland’s top inside player, Jusuf Nurkic, didn’t put on the sneakers against the Warriors.

Gasol should have his way with Andre Bogut, Damian Jones, or Kevin Looney. If the Warriors drop into the paint to help on Gasol, that will leave VanFleet, Lowry, Kawhi, and Danny Green open for three-point looks.

The Raptors have a strategic edge that should lead to a Game 1 win. Pay attention because if Gasol really is the decisive edge, the Raptors could win the entire series.

My NBA Championship Game 1 Final Score Prediction: Raptors 115, Golden State 111

Posted in NBA
MLB Must Bet Games Sept 7-13

MLB Betting Analysis May 27 – June 2

Both Stanley Cup and NBA Championship Finals may be here but there are a trio of MLB games you need to mark on your calendar this week.

MLB Betting Analysis May 27 – June 2

Chicago Cubs at Houston Astros
When: Wednesday, May 29 at 8:00 pm ET
Where: Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX

Betting Analysis: The Cubbies battle the Stros on Wednesday in what many baseball fans are calling a preview of the 2019 World Series. Both teams have played well enough so far during the regular season to demand attention.

On May 29, Chicago sends Kyle Hendricks to the mound. Hendricks has a 4-4 record. His ERA of 3.34 and WHIP of 1.18 are excellent. Kyle has only faced Robinson Chirinos and Aledmys Diaz.

The key for Kyle will be if he can throw on the road. Hendricks’ home ERA is 1.29. His road ERA is 6.00.

Houston hopes listed starter Wade Miley continues throwing well. Miley has a 3.32 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP. His home ERA is 2.15. Not only that but in his last 11 innings pitched, he’s thrown well enough for a 2.45 ERA. Houston has an edge with Miley on the mound. They’ll beat the Cubs on Wednesday.

Pick: Houston Astros

Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees
When: Saturday, June 1 at 7:15 pm ET
Where: Yankees Stadium, Bronx, NY
Stream: FOX Sports Go

Betting Analysis: The greatest rivalry in baseball, probably in any sport, takes place on Saturday when the New York Yankees host the Boston Red Sox. The Yankees haven’t yet decided who will pitch on June 1 against the hated Red Sox.

Boston lists Rick Porcello as their Saturday starter. Porcello has a 4.45 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP. Those aren’t horrible stats. They aren’t fantastic, either. The Yankees have had trouble getting to Porcello. From 304 at-bats, they hit .227.

Giancarlo Stanton is 3-of-8 against Porcello, though. Although Stanton could help the Yankees take this, it’s hard to go against Boston. The Red Sox should offer underdog odds while outside of Stanton, Porcello’s handled most of the rest of the Yankees’ bats. Boston’s worth a look.

Pick: Boston Red Sox

Chicago Cubs at St. Louis Cardinals
When: Saturday, June 1 at 7:15 pm ET
Where: Busch Stadium, St. Louis, MO

Betting Analysis: The National League’s top rivalry happens this weekend when the Chicago Cubs and St. Louis Cardinals throw down. The Cubs list Jose Quintana as their June 1 starter. Quintana has pitched well this season. His ERA is 3.73. His WHIP is 1.32.

However, the Cardinals bat .338 against Jose. St. Louis starter Jack Flaherty has a 4.19 ERA. The Cubs have only faced Flaherty 57 times. That’s not enough times for us to make a quality statement about how they will fair against him on Saturday.

The last time the Cubs faced St. Louis, they swept them. Quintana doesn’t always throw well against St. Louis. The Cubs are still the attractive play in this matchup.

Pick: Chicago Cubs

Posted in MLB
Warriors vs Raptors 2019 NBA Championship Odds & Pick

Warriors vs Raptors 2019 NBA Championship Odds & Betting Analysis

The defending NBA champion Golden State Warriors will face the Toronto Raptors for the 2019 NBA Title.

Warriors vs Raptors 2019 NBA Championship Odds & Betting Analysis

Oddsmakers have set the Warriors as a -300 (bet $300 to win $100) favorite to win their third straight NBA Championship. The Raptors are a +250 (bet $100 to win $250) underdog.

Why Bet on Golden State Warriors at -300

Most believed that Warriors would struggle to beat the Houston Rockets in the NBA Western Conference Semifinals after star Kevin Durant went down with a calf injury. Not only did the Warriors not struggle, they dominated the Rockets.

Then, they dominated the Portland Trail Blazers in the Western Conference Finals. Golden State is leaning on their Big 3: Draymond Green, Kyle Thompson, and Steph Curry. As long as those three play well, Golden State is almost impossible to beat.

Why bet on Toronto Raptors at +250

After losing the first couple of games to the Milwaukee Bucks, the Toronto Raptors flipped the switch. They won the next 4 games in the series for a 4-2 NBA Eastern Conference Finals win. Most point to Kawhi Leonard’s play as the reason the Raptors beat the Bucks in the East.

Although Kawhi is the main reason, Toronto played as a team in four straight. They used great defense and excellent three-point shooting to take down Giannis and the Bucks. There’s a chance Toronto carries the momentum they built in the last series over into the NBA Championship. If the Raptors do that, they can upset the Warriors.

NBA Championship Betting Analysis

Golden State is favored because of how easily they handled both the Houston Rockets and Portland Trail Blazer. Toronto is a different team, though. The Raptors can win in many different ways. They aren’t just a single player squad.

Kawhi is the reason they made it to the NBA Finals. However, he’s not the only reason. In the Game 6 win over Milwaukee, Fred VanFleet went 4-of-5 from three-point land. Pascal Siakam scored 18 and Kyle Lowry scored 17. Lowry went 3-of-4 from the arc.

Not only is Toronto not a one player team, but they also have home court advantage in the NBA Championship. Home court advantage could mean a lot with Drake out their high-fiving Kawhi every time he dunks or drops a trey.

Golden State should be favored, but the odds differential is ridiculous. Toronto is an excellent play to win the NBA Championship.

My NBA Championship Final Series Prediction: Raptors 4 games to 3

Posted in NBA