Get off to a great start to your holiday season by cashing in on a few Thanksgiving Week underdog bets by using my straight-up moneyline upset alerts.
Straight-Up Moneyline Upset Alerts Thanksgiving Week
Thursday, Nov. 28
Buffalo Bills +245 at Dallas Cowboys
Dallas’ record rests at 6-5. The Cowboys hope to jump 2 games ahead of .500. Because this game is on Thanksgiving, most feel Big D will do that. Often, Dallas battles a team that they tower over on Thanksgiving Day.
That’s not the case here, though. The Buffalo Bills are 4-2 SU in their last 6. They’ve won 2 in a row. Dallas is the best team the Bills have faced in the past month. The Cowboys must battle the Bills after a loss to the Patriots in New England. Buffalo takes advantage of a tired Dallas squad with an upset win.
Sunday, Dec. 1
Tennessee Titans +135 at Indianapolis Colts
Since switching quarterbacks, Tennessee has gone 4-1 SU. Tannehill runs Tennessee’s system better than Marcus Mariota did. The Titans blasted Jacksonville 42-20 in their last game. Tennessee’s offense shouldn’t take a backward step on Sunday. Expect the Titans to come out firing.
The Colts will play hard. They won’t hand Tennessee the win. The odds make it worth backing the Titans on the moneyline.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -103 at Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville gets the nod from the oddsmakers. But, it’s unfounded. The Jags are 0-3 in their last 3. Opponents throttled the Jaguars in those 3 games. Houston beat them 26-3. Indianapolis dominated 33-13. Tennessee hung 42 on the Jaguars’ defense. Jacksonville faces a tall order against Tampa Bay on Sunday.
The Bucs head to Jacksonville off their best performance of the season. Jameis Winston threw for 313 yards and 3 TD passes. He could post similar stats versus the Jags.
L.A. Rams at Arizona Cardinals +173
Before the end of the regular season, the Rams must battle the Cardinals twice. Arizona’s defense ranks 32nd in passing yards allowed. But, the Cardinals have shown that they can move the ball against top defenses. Expect Arizona to play well enough for the upset win in Week 13.
New England Patriots at Houston Texans +155
New England had trouble stopping the top rushing quarterback in the NFL. Lamar Jackson ran for 61 yards and 2 touchdowns in the Patriots loss to the Ravens. Houston quarterback Deshaun Watson has wheels like Jackson. He will take what the Patriots’ defense gives him. Not only can Deshaun rush the football, but he can also throw it. Watson will hook up with DeAndre Hopkins all day. Beating New England won’t be easy. The Texans have enough to get the job done on Sunday.
Here are Thanksgiving Week’s projected high and low scoring games for your over-under bets.
High-Low Scoring Games Thanksgiving Week
Thursday, Nov. 28
Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions: 41
Chicago averages 17.1 points per. The Lions average 23.6 per. Chicago’s defense should shut down Detroit. This battle takes place on Thanksgiving, though. Often, the Bears and Lions play in high-scoring games on Thanksgiving. Expect the Lions to pull out all the stops on Turkey Day. Chicago should also score because the Lions allow 26.5 per.
Sunday, Dec. 1
Philadelphia Eagles at Miami Dolphins: 46
Philadelphia’s offense has run into a brick wall. The Eagles mustered 10 points against New England. The offense only scored 3 at home against the Seattle Seahawks. Miami averages 14.8 points per game. They have scored at least 20 in 2 straight, though. That still shouldn’t lead to an over game. Go under.
Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers: 40
Cleveland looks for their third in a row. Although the Browns scored 42 in Week 12, they average 21.2 per. The Steelers average 19.6. Both teams play solid defense. Cleveland gave up 7 points to Pittsburgh in the first matchup. The Browns held Buffalo to 16 on Nov. 10.
Pittsburgh averages 19.3 points per game. Cleveland scored 21 against Pittsburgh in the first head-to-head. The script could flip on Sunday. Or, the Steelers could only score 7 again. Either way, this goes under.
L.A. Chargers at Denver Broncos: 38 ½
A lot of games take place in Week 13 with low totals. Chargers versus Broncos offer the lowest. LAC allows 19.8 points per game. The Bolts score 20.4 points per. Denver averages 15.9 points. The Broncos give up 19.7.
LAC takes on their rival after a bye. That won’t matter for the total. In the first game, these 2 combined for 33. The Chargers should punish Denver quarterback Brandon Allen. The Ponies’ defense held the Bolts to 13 in the earlier matchup. Under is the play.
Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs: 54 ½
Both the Raiders and Chiefs should move the ball with ease on Dec. 1. Neither team has the edge on defense. Oakland allows 25.8 on average. Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs should score at least 35. The Raiders should score at least 28 versus a Chiefs defense that allows 143.1 rushing yards per. The total is high but these 2 could combine for 60 or more.
This just might be the best week of football with Thanksgiving Day NFL action and College Football Rivalry Week all shaking down in a matter of days.
Straight-Up Moneyline Upset Alerts Rivalry Week
Friday, Nov. 29
Texas Tech +275 at Texas
Texas has had a disappointing season. The Longhorns projected to battle Oklahoma for the Big 12 Regular Season Championship. With only a single game left, Texas is 6-5 SU. The Red Raiders won’t get a bowl bid. Saturday is their bowl game. Expect Tech to play great versus their top rival.
Virginia Tech at Virginia +125
Virginia Tech has played so well they enter Virginia as the road favorite. The Hokies are on fire. A quarterback switch to Hendon Hooker has led to 3 straight wins SU. But, Virginia is on their own 3-game winning streak. Back the home dog on the moneyline.
Washington State +220 at Washington
Washington State is back on track. The Cougars had lost 5-of-6 before beating Stanford 49-22. They followed the victory up with a 54-53 win over Oregon State on Nov. 23. Although Washington has lost 3-of-4, they remain the favorites. Both teams will put forth their best effort in the Apple Cup. The Cougars are on a mini-win streak. State can beat the Huskies to keep the streak going.
Saturday, Nov. 30
Louisville +140 at Kentucky
Kentucky faces a top ACC squad in Louisville. The Cardinals are 7-4. They’re 3-1 SU in their last 4. The offense should challenge the Wildcats’ defense. Louisville’s speed on offense makes the Cardinals an overlay on the moneyline.
Indiana at Purdue +225
Indiana has the better record. The Boilermakers battle the Hoosiers at home, though. Although Purdue is 3-4 SU in their last 7, they are 6-1 ATS. Purdue could turn another competitive effort into a victory on Nov. 30.
Wisconsin at Minnesota +115
Why are the Wisconsin Badgers favored in a road game over the Minnesota Golden Gophers? Minnesota bounced back from a loss to Iowa with a 38-22 win over Northwestern last Saturday. The Gophers beat Wisconsin 37-15 in 2018.
Oklahoma at Oklahoma State +380
The battle between Oklahoma and Oklahoma State is so fierce that it’s nicknamed Bedlam. Opponents have challenged Oklahoma in their last 3. The Sooners top rival is Texas. Oklahoma State’s top rival is Oklahoma. Oklahoma State fights hard for the upset victory.