The biggest sports spectacle in the world may be months away, but here’s a look at the current Super Bowl LV odds, favorites, sharp and long shot picks.
Super Bowl LV Betting Favorite: Kansas City Chiefs +575
There’s not a lot to dislike about the defending champs. Kansas City appears loaded on both sides of the football. Patrick Mahomes is the best quarterback in the NFL. Sounds crazy, but Patrick hasn’t peaked. We mustn’t forget that this season will be Mahomes’ third as a starter. He could actual be better in 2020 than he was in 2019.
The Chiefs’ defense could also improve. KC allowed 349.6 yards per. 17 teams ranked ahead of Kansas City in yards allowed each game. KC gave up 128.2 yards per on the ground. That ranked 26-of-32 teams.
A chance to improve doesn’t mean improvement is imminent, though. No team has repeated as Super Bowl champs since the Patriots in 2004 and 2005. The Chiefs could do it, but at the odds, are they worth a wager? Nope.
The Sharp Super Bowl LV Pick: New Orleans Saints +1125
Every year, the Saints rock it during the regular season. 2019 was no different. Also every year, the Saints find a way to lose in the playoffs. This past postseason had to have disappointed. New Orleans bowed out during Wildcard Weekend.
But, no team offers more justifiable odds to win the Super Bowl than the New Orleans Saints. Quarterback Drew Brees returns. Brees threw for 3,992 yards, completed 74.4% of his passes, and had a 32 TD to 5 INT ratio. He dominated from Week 1 on. Until Drew slows down, there’s no reason to believe the Saints should go with a different signal-caller.
On the defensive side, New Orleans produced the fourth-best unit against the rush. Opponents averaged 91.3 rushing yards per versus the Saints. Great offense, good defense, and a great coach makes the Saints a contender. What makes them the smart play are the +1125 odds.
The Popular Long Shot Super Bowl Pick: Buffalo Bills +3750
Buffalo’s odds to win the Super Bowl make them the top overlay. The Bills allowed 298.3 yards per. That ranked third in the league. The defense rocks. The offense needs some work. But the Bills could be much improved on that side of the football.
Josh Allen didn’t light anybody up last season. He doesn’t have to light anybody up this season. What he must do is improve his pass completion percentage from 52.8%. He must also improve his TD to INT ratio. In 2019, it was 10 touchdowns to 12 picks. Any improvement on the offensive side of the football makes +3750 a gift. Don’t look past Buffalo to shock the world.