Rocket Mortgage Classic Odds and Favorite, Smart, Long Shot Picks

Rocket Mortgage Classic Odds and Favorite, Smart, Long Shot Picks

The PGA Tour is continuing its northerly swing with the Rocket Mortgage Classic heading to Michigan this week. Click here for updated golf odds.

Rocket Mortgage Classic Odds and Favorite, Smart, Long Shot Picks

Favorite Betting Pick: Webb Simpson +1010

It makes sense that Webb Simpson would offer the lowest odds to win this week’s Rocket Mortgage Classic. Simpson has three Top 5 finishes in the four tournaments he’s played in this year.

He won two of those tournaments, the Waste Management Phoenix Open in February, and the RBC Heritage a couple of weeks ago. Both victories impressed.

The RBC Heritage win was more impressive, though. Webb had a terrible showing at the Charles Schwab Challenge, the first PGA Tournament after the shutdown due to the coronavirus pandemic.

Webb missed the cut at the Colonial Country Club after shooting a first-round 73 and a second-round 69. He bounced back just a week later at the RBC.

How good was Simpson at the RBC Heritage? He shot a -22 after a 65-65-68-64. Webb’s -22 put him a stroke ahead of Abraham Ancer and two strokes ahead of Daniel Berger and Tyrell Hatton.

But although it’s right to favor Simpson heading to Detroit Golf Club for the Rocket Mortgage Classic, we can’t blindly back the chalk.

Webb didn’t play in last year’s Rocket Mortgage Classic. He doesn’t have a ton of experience playing at Detroit GC.

Not only that, but Simpson withdrew from the Travelers Championship after a family member tested positive for Covid-19.

Will Webb’s mind be on golf this week? We’re looking elsewhere.

Smart Betting Pick: Hideki Matsuyama +1800

So far, Matsuyama’s return to the golf course has not yielded positive results. Then again, Hideki only played at the RBC Heritage. He didn’t play at the Charles Schwab.

Matsuyama didn’t tee off at the Travelers Championship. It makes sense that Hideki shot a 74 and 70 at the RBC. Missing the cut isn’t a big deal.

We must assume that Matsuyama decided to take last week off to prepare for the Rocket Mortgage Classic.

Based on his 2019 performance over Detroit GC, that also makes sense. Matsuyama shot a -15. That was 15 strokes off runaway winner Nate Lashley’s -25. But it was only 4 strokes off second place finisher Doc Redman.

Hideki was just 3 strokes off third place finishers Wes Roach and Rory Sabbatini. If Matsuyama is on his game, he can win this tournament.

Long Shot Betting Pick: Rory Sabbatini +4500

The other golfing Rory had a great 2019 Rocket Mortgage Classic. Shooting a -18 is big. Sabbatini has also hit the ball well in his first two tournaments played since the pandemic.

Rory shot a -10 to finish fourteenth at the Charles Schwab Challenge. He shot a -14 at the RBC Heritage to finish twenty-first. Both finishes should give him confidence heading to Detroit.

So, we’re getting +4500 on a golfer in decent form who tore up the course last year. Sounds like the recipe for an underdog win bet.

2020 Travelers Championship Odds & Fav, Smart, Long Shot Picks

2020 Travelers Championship Odds & Fav, Smart, Long Shot Picks

The PGA Tour is set for the third consecutive week of stellar golf action. This week the world’s top golfers will play at the Travelers Championship at TPC River Highlands in Cromwell, Connecticut. All the top five players in the world and the top 10 players in the FedEx Cup standings are all signed up to play.

2020 Travelers Championship Odds & Fav, Smart, Long Shot Picks

Favorite To Win: Rory McIlroy / Justin Thomas +1200

Since the PGA Tour restarted, both Rory McIlroy and Justin Thomas have shot okay. That’s actually a good thing. Both golfers might have used the Charles Schwab Challenge and the RBC Heritage as stepping stones for this week’s Travelers Championship.

Rory shot a -6 at the Charles Schwab. He had a sweet 63 on the second day. If not for a 74 final round, McIlroy may have challenged for the win.

Thomas shot a -11 at the Charles Schwab. His second round 68 and 71 final round pushed him out of the Top 5. But JT still managed to finish in the Top 10.

At the RBC, McIlroy shot a -11 while Thomas shot a -17. Justin’s final score was just 5 strokes off winner Webb Simpson.

Both favorites have a chance to win the Travelers. But neither offers good enough odds for a wager.

Thomas played at the 2019 Travelers Championship. He shot a -4, which was 13 strokes off winner Chez Reavie’s -17. Rory didn’t tee it off at last year’s Travelers.

It’s best to look elsewhere for the smart play.

Smart Betting Pick: Brooks Koepka +2000

Brooks Koepka played at the 2019 Travelers Championship. He finished worse than Thomas, shooting par.

Koepka’s game may be coming around, though. At the Charles Schwab Challenge, Brooks shot under par-70 in every round. It showed that he made good decisions on all four days.

Brooks finished at -6. That was tied for thirty-second. Not great, but Koepka’s goal was to get his swing back, not actually win the tournament.

Since last October, Koepka had missed the cut at the Shriner’s Hospital for Children’s Open, withdrew from the CJ Cup, and missed the cut at the Honda Classic. Shooting under par in every round of a tournament helped Brooks regain his confidence.

At the RBC Heritage, Koepka shot a -18 and finished seventh. He could parlay that into a win at the Travelers this weekend.

The Long Shot Betting Pick: Paul Casey +3000

Casey hasn’t teed it off since the WGC-Mexico back on February 20. But golfers like Casey don’t need much work to get into golfing shape.

Also, there’s a good chance that while his competitors battled at the Charles Schwab and RBC, Casey circled the Travelers as his comeback tournament.

Last year, Paul shot a -11. So, it makes sense that he’d use the Travelers Championship to get back onto the PGA Tour.

At the odds, Paul Casey is worth a look to take home the 2020 Travelers Championship trophy.

2020 Belmont Stakes Lines

2020 Belmont Stakes Lines

The 2020 Belmont Stakes is set to run this Sunday with a field of ten. The race usually concludes the Triple Crown season, but this season it is leading off. Keep reading for the Belmont Stakes betting lines.

Belmont Stakes Lines & Analysis

  • Tap It To Win +650
  • Sole Volante +750
  • Max Player +2300
  • Modernist +3000
  • Farmington Road +2200
  • Fore Left +3000
  • Jungle Runner +6000
  • Tiz The Law -130
  • Dr Post +650
  • Pneumatic +1700

Tiz The Law

Tiz the Law is the 6-5 favorite for a reason as he gets set for the first Triple Crown race of his career. The three-year-old colt will be well-rested since he has not run since March 28 when he won the Curlin Florida Derby Grade 1 Stakes at Gulfstream Park. Prior to that, Tiz the Law finished in the winner’s circle by taking the Holy Bull Grade 3 Stakes in February at Gulfstream. Tiz the Law will break from the No. 8 spot at Belmont.

Sole Volante

This thoroughbred will be back in action just 10 days after winning the Allowance Optional Claiming at Gulfstream on June 10. Yes, Sole Volante failed to get the win in finishing second at the Lamdholm South Tampa Bay Derby Grade 2 Stakes on March 7, but he did win the Sam F. Davis Grade 3 Stakes in Tampa Bay on February 8. Will the quick turnaround be too much for Sole Volante to overcome? Oddsmakers apparently don’t think so.

Dr Pos

After finishing fourth in his final race as a two-year-old last July, Dr Post has gone 2-for-2 this year by winning the Maiden Weight Special at Belmont Park in March and backing that up by winning the Unbridled Stakes at Gulfstream on April 25.

Tap It To Win

Tap It To Win didn’t look like anything special in finishing an identical 10t in his final two races as a two-year-old in 2019, but he’s sure turned it around as a three-year-old by winning the Allowance Optional Claiming at Gulfstream on May 9 and following that up with an even more impressive win at Belmont Park on June 4 in which he finished just .54 of a second off the track record for 1 1/16 miles.

Pneumatic

The son of Uncle Mo comes into this Triple Crown event off a third place finish in the Matt Winn Grade 3 Stakes at Churchill Downs on May 23. Prior to that, Pneumatic won in February and April at Oaklawn Park.

Max Player

Max Player will definitely be well-rested since he hasn’t taken to the track since winning the Withers Grade 3 Stakes at Aqueduct on February 1 after capping off his campaign as a two-year-old by winning a Maiden Weight Special at Parx racing in December.

Modernist

There’s a lot of buzz surrounding Tap It to Win after his impressive allowance win at Belmont Park, but Modernist isn’t getting much love as the Belmont Stakes approaches. He won a Grade 2 race two starts back, and in the Grade 2 Louisiana Derby in his last start, he broke out of the No. 14 post, was 4-wide around the first turn and 3-wide turning for home, and still managed a solid third place finish. He’s going to be on or near the lead, and with a good trip he can hang on for second at a good price.

Farmington Road

Farmington Road is a true longshot as he comes into the 2020 Belmont Stakes off a disappointing fourth place finish at the Arkansas Derby on May 2. Prior to that, he finished second at the Oaklawn Stakes in April, a disappointing fourth at Risen Star in February and first in the Maiden Weight Special at Tampa Bay in January.

Fore Left

After finishing third and 10th in his final two races as a two-year-old in 2019, Fore Left picked up a confidence-boosting win at the UAE Two Thousand Guineas on February 6 in his only race of 2020.

Jungle Runner

Jungle Runner is likely going to be an afterthought in the Belmont Stakes after finishing eighth at the Arkansas Derby in May, fifth at the Mine That Bird Derby in February and eighth at the Smarty Jones Stakes in January!