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Upset Picks NFL Week 4

Upset Picks NFL Week 3

Winning your NFL bets is a great feeling. Winning bets when you pick the underdog is even better because you beat the odds. Use my bold NFL Week 3 upset picks to cash in big this week.

Upset Picks NFL Week 3

Can Deshaun Watson put on a show in his first game against Tom Brady and the New England Patriots?

Can the Los Angeles Chargers avoid finding a new way to lose another heartbreaker when they host Kansas City?

Last but not least, which team is the right pick when the Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde Cardinals host the equally perplexing Dallas Cowboys?

If you’ve got questions heading into Week 3 of the 2017 NFL regular season, then I’ve got answers.

Houston Texans (1-1) at New England Patriots (1-1)
When: Sunday, September 24 at 1:00 PM ET
Where: Gillette Stadium
NFL Odds: Houston +13
Total: 43.5

Analysis: The Houston Texans didn’t look like ‘world-beaters’ by any stretch of the imagination, but they did manage to pick up a solid 13-9 road win as a 5.5-point road underdog over Cincinnati as rookie signal-caller Deshaun Watson made his debut as an NFL starter.

Tom Brady and New England absolutely pummeled Drew Brees and the defenseless New Orleans Saints in their 36-20 Week 2 win while covering the spread as a 5.5-point road favorite.

For this Week 3 pairing of AFC Super Bowl hopefuls, I’m going to urge you to simply back the Texans to cover the nearly two-touchdown spread, simply because they have an elite defense that won’t allow Tom Brady and company to simply march up and down the field the way the pitiful Saints defense did this past Sunday.

Houston may be averaging just 10.0 points per game, but their defense has been rock-solid in allowing just 19.0 points per contest so far. New England may be 7-1 ATS in their last eight games against the Texans, but that was then and now, Houston has a legitimate defense – and a competent – if still young, quarterback under center in Watson. I’m expecting this Week 3 affair to turn into a dogfight and you should too!

NFL Week 3 Upset Pick: Houston +13

Kansas City Chiefs (2-0) at L.A. Chargers (0-2)
When: Sunday, September 24, at 4:25 PM ET
Where: StubHub Center
NFL Odds: LA Chargers +2.5
Total: 45.5

Analysis: One team (Kansas City) finds ways to win games while the other (L.A.) keeps finding new ways to lose in heartbreaking fashion, generally by a touchdown or less. The Chiefs moved to 2-0 by beating Philadelphia 27-20 in Week 2 as running back Kareem Hunt broke free for a 53-yard touchdown run with 1:20 remaining in the third quarter to give the Chiefs a 13-10 lead they would never give up after a tight first half. Veteran quarterback Alex Smith completed 21 of 28 passes for 251 yards with one touchdown and Hunt finished with 81 rushing yards and two scores while Pro Bowl tight end Travis Kelcie caught eight passes for 103 yards and one score.

The Chargers lost to Miami as Fins kicker Cody Parkey nailed his fourth field goal of the game from 54 yards out with just 65 seconds remaining. Veteran quarterback Philip Rivers completed 31 of 39 passes for 282 yards with a touchdown, but the Bolts were limited to just seven second-half points while never scoring in the fourth quarter.

Kansas City has won six straight over Los Angeles and will make it seven in a row by controlling Rivers and company while getting just enough offense from Alex Smith and company to make another win stand up. The Chiefs are also 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against the Chargers and 5-1 ATS in their last six road dates against the Bolts! It’s that simple people!

NFL Week 3 Upset Pick: Kansas City -2.5

Dallas Cowboys at Arizona Cardinals
When: Sunday, September 24 at 8:30 PM ET
Where: University of Phoenix Stadium
NFL Odds: Arizona +3.5
Total: 47.5

Analysis: The Cowboys got completely manhandled in their humbling 42-17 road loss against Denver in Week 2 while never coming close to covering the spread as a 2.5-point road dog while Arizona looked mostly awful in sneaking past the pitiful Indianapolis Colts 16-13 in overtime.

Dallas let Broncos quarterback Trevor Siemian toss four TD passes in the loss while Ezekiel Elliott got completely shut down to the tune of eight rushing yards on nine carries. Arizona nearly fell to Indianapolis in Jacoby Brissett’s first career start but got the win on Phil Dawson’s 30-yard field goal with 8:02 remaining in overtime.

For this Week 3 NFC battle, I’m going to urge you to back the Arizona Cardinals to get it done, mostly because they’re at home and just can;t play any worse offensively than they did this past weekend. With both of these playoff hopefuls allowing more points per game than they are averaging right now, I say take the lesser of two evils.

Dallas is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine games and 1-4 ATS in its last five road games. Arizona has won seven of their last eight meetings against Dallas and is 4-1 ATS in their last five against the Boys. I love the Cardinals as a surprising home dog in this one!

NFL Week 3 Upset Pick: Arizona +2.5

What Are The Oklahoma Vs Ohio State Odds?

What Are The Oklahoma Vs Ohio State Odds?

Mayfield and No. 5 Oklahoma Sooners Look to Upset Barrett and No. 2 Ohio State Buckeyes

Baker Mayfield and the fifth-ranked Oklahoma Sooners will look to pull off the upset over J.T. Barrett and the second-ranked Ohio State Buckeyes when they square off at Ohio Stadium in one of the most intriguing games on the entire 2017 schedule.

Both teams picked up resounding victories in their respective Week 1 matchups and will look to keep their four-team playoff and national championship hopes alive. The Week 2 college football betting odds favorite Ohio State by 7.5-points to beat Oklahoma. The game total is 64.5.

Oklahoma Sooners Vs Ohio State Buckeyes Week 2 Odds

What: No. 5 Oklahoma Sooners (1-0) at No. 2 Ohio State Buckeyes (1-0)
When: Saturday, September 9, 2017
Start Time: 7:30 PM ET  
Where: Columbus, OH
Stadium: Ohio Stadium
Spread: Ohio State -7.5
Moneyline: Oklahoma +255 vs Ohio State -310
Game Total: 64.5
Watch: ESPN
Stream: Watch ESPN
Listen: Oklahoma vs Ohio State

Why Bet the Oklahoma Sooners Odds at +7.5

The Oklahoma Sooners pounded UTEP, 56-7 in their season opener to cover the spread as a 42-point home favorite. Heisman Trophy-contending quarterback Baker Mayfield completed a near-perfect 19 of 20 passes for 329 yards with three touchdowns and no interceptions. Mayfield completed 16 straight passes at one point before missing.

"I need to complete it," Mayfield said. "We’ve got a long way to go. We had guys open today. Not just that one incompletion — that first ball to (Mark Andrews) that he had to jump up to get, that should be an easy touchdown. So, room for improvement."

Andrews had a team-high seven catches for 134 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Oklahoma limited Texas El-Paso to 167 yards of total offense and just 4 of 12 success on third down. Ogbonnia Okoronkwo had a team-high four tackles in the win.

Why Bet the Ohio State Buckeyes Odds at -7.5

The Ohio State Buckeyes beat Indiana 49-21 in their regular season opener, but struggled and hit the half trailing 14-13 before exploding on the Hoosiers in the second half. Heisman trophy candidate J.T. Barrett completed 20 of 35 pass attempts for 304 yards with three touchdowns and no interceptions while running back J.K. Dobbins rushed for a stellar 181 yards on 29 carries. Dobbins, who hails from Texas wanted to give his fans in the ravaged state something to cheer for and he did just that while setting a new school record for rushing yards in a debut.

"I’m probably the only good thing going on in my town right now, so I just thought of it as bringing my city up," Dobbins said after spending the past week watching the flooding in the Houston area. "That’s why I came out and played hard like that."

Defensively, Ohio State gave up a whopping 410 passing yards, but picked off Indiana signal-caller Richard Lagow twice in the win.

Oklahoma Sooners Vs Ohio State Buckeyes Week 2 Betting Analysis

I’m going to get right to the point by saying that I’m miffed as to why Ohio State is a 7.5-point home favorite against an Oklahoma team that looks to be their equal in almost every way. The Sooners have a legitimate Heisman Trophy-contending quarterback in Baker Mayfield and an offensive-minded new head coach in Lincoln Riley that isn’t afraid to take chances.

The Sooners are a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last six games against a team with a winning record and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall. While Ohio State has gone 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against teams from the Big 12 and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games, the Buckeyes are also 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games against a team with a winning road record I’m going with Mayfield and the Sooners to cover the spread while pushing Barrett and the Buckeyes for the outright win.

Pick: Oklahoma +7.5 Points

Bet Baseball July 3rd-9th

4th of July Week MLB Picks

The biggest news this week is July 4. America’s Independence Day should be a wild one for those looking to take a day off in the middle of the week. For us MLB handicappers, the opportunities, at least for me, happen later in the week.

On Thursday, Arizona battles the Dodgers. Can AZ take it to LAD at Chavez-Ravine? Then, on Saturday, NL Central rivals Pittsburgh and Chicago throw down. Who wins when Pittsburgh ace Ivan Nova battles Chicago star pitcher Jake Arrieta? ESPN’s Sunday night game has Detroit taking on Cleveland in Cleveland. Can Corey Kluber show up for the Tribe?

Bet Baseball July 3rd-9th

Arizona at L.A. Dodgers
When:  Thursday, July 6, 2017 at 10:10 pm ET
Where: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Listed Pitchers: AZ-Zack Greinke vs LAD-Rich Hill

Analysis: The Dodgers have been en fuego. L.A. is a ridiculous 20-4 straight up in their last 24. The Dodgers are easily the best team in the NL right now.

But, that doesn’t mean they don’t find it tough versus Zack Greinke and the D’Backs on Thursday. Greinke turned in a fantastic performance in his most recent start. He gave up 2 earned runs off 3 hits in 7 innings while striking out 8. The D’Backs beat the Rockies 6-2.

The Dodgers do bat .269 versus Greinke. Plus, Greinke faces LAD on the road. Should that open the door for Rich Hill and the Dodgers?

I believe it might. Hill has pitched 14 combined innings in his last 2 starts. He’s allowed a total of 3 earned runs off 8 hits. He’s struck out 18. Hill has finally got onto somewhat of a roll this season.

I like the Dodgers as possible home dogs.

Pick: L.A. Dodgers moneyline

Pittsburgh at Chicago Cubs
When:  Saturday, July 8 at 7:15 pm ET
Where: Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
Listed Pitchers: PIT-Ivan Nova vs CHC-Jake Arrieta

Analysis: Jake Arrieta has always pitched well versus the Pittsburgh Pirates. The Pirates only bat .221 versus Arrieta. He’s faced Pitt batters 226 times. So, the batting average is legit.

The problem with backing Arrieta is relying on the Cubs’ pitcher to throw great in 2 straight. That hasn’t happened often this year. He blanked Cincinnati this past Sunday.

Pittsburgh pitcher Ivan Nova has maintained an excellent 3.08 ERA. His WHIP is a terrific 1.11. The last time Nova faced the Cubs, he gave up 3 earned runs off 6 hits in 7 innings. He pitched well enough for Pitt to beat the Cubs 4 to 3.

Chicago should be the favorites on Saturday. I believe Pitt is the play. I don’t think Jake throws another great game while Nova has been solid all-season long.

I like the Pirates.

Pick:  Pittsburgh moneyline

Detroit at Cleveland
When:  Sunday, July 9 at 8:00 pm ET
Where: Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
Listed Pitchers: DET-Michael Fulmer vs CLE-Corey Kluber

Analysis: Detroit pitcher Michael Fulmer has become the Tigers’ ace. His 3.19 ERA and 1.13 WHIP are better than Justin Verlander’s ERA and WHIP. Sunday is the first time this season Fulmer battles Cleveland.

I think Fulmer pitches a great game. Forget last season’s numbers versus his opponents. Fulmer has changed some things up this season to account for the excellent ERA and WHIP. He should be right as rain against the Tribe on Sunday.

The key on this game is how well the Tigers bat against Corey Kluber, Cleveland’s strike-out machine of a pitcher. Kluber’s ERA is 3.02. His WHIP is 1.00.

Surprisingly, Kluber, who should be a big favorite over Fulmer in this match up, allows the Tigers to bat .296 against him. That’s close to ridiculous.

I’m taking a shot on Detroit. I know the Tigers have been awful lately. But, I think this game sets up for Fulmer and the Tigers.

Pick: Detroit moneyline