Rocket Mortgage Classic Odds and Favorite, Smart, Long Shot Picks

Rocket Mortgage Classic Odds and Favorite, Smart, Long Shot Picks

The PGA Tour is continuing its northerly swing with the Rocket Mortgage Classic heading to Michigan this week. Click here for updated golf odds.

Rocket Mortgage Classic Odds and Favorite, Smart, Long Shot Picks

Favorite Betting Pick: Webb Simpson +1010

It makes sense that Webb Simpson would offer the lowest odds to win this week’s Rocket Mortgage Classic. Simpson has three Top 5 finishes in the four tournaments he’s played in this year.

He won two of those tournaments, the Waste Management Phoenix Open in February, and the RBC Heritage a couple of weeks ago. Both victories impressed.

The RBC Heritage win was more impressive, though. Webb had a terrible showing at the Charles Schwab Challenge, the first PGA Tournament after the shutdown due to the coronavirus pandemic.

Webb missed the cut at the Colonial Country Club after shooting a first-round 73 and a second-round 69. He bounced back just a week later at the RBC.

How good was Simpson at the RBC Heritage? He shot a -22 after a 65-65-68-64. Webb’s -22 put him a stroke ahead of Abraham Ancer and two strokes ahead of Daniel Berger and Tyrell Hatton.

But although it’s right to favor Simpson heading to Detroit Golf Club for the Rocket Mortgage Classic, we can’t blindly back the chalk.

Webb didn’t play in last year’s Rocket Mortgage Classic. He doesn’t have a ton of experience playing at Detroit GC.

Not only that, but Simpson withdrew from the Travelers Championship after a family member tested positive for Covid-19.

Will Webb’s mind be on golf this week? We’re looking elsewhere.

Smart Betting Pick: Hideki Matsuyama +1800

So far, Matsuyama’s return to the golf course has not yielded positive results. Then again, Hideki only played at the RBC Heritage. He didn’t play at the Charles Schwab.

Matsuyama didn’t tee off at the Travelers Championship. It makes sense that Hideki shot a 74 and 70 at the RBC. Missing the cut isn’t a big deal.

We must assume that Matsuyama decided to take last week off to prepare for the Rocket Mortgage Classic.

Based on his 2019 performance over Detroit GC, that also makes sense. Matsuyama shot a -15. That was 15 strokes off runaway winner Nate Lashley’s -25. But it was only 4 strokes off second place finisher Doc Redman.

Hideki was just 3 strokes off third place finishers Wes Roach and Rory Sabbatini. If Matsuyama is on his game, he can win this tournament.

Long Shot Betting Pick: Rory Sabbatini +4500

The other golfing Rory had a great 2019 Rocket Mortgage Classic. Shooting a -18 is big. Sabbatini has also hit the ball well in his first two tournaments played since the pandemic.

Rory shot a -10 to finish fourteenth at the Charles Schwab Challenge. He shot a -14 at the RBC Heritage to finish twenty-first. Both finishes should give him confidence heading to Detroit.

So, we’re getting +4500 on a golfer in decent form who tore up the course last year. Sounds like the recipe for an underdog win bet.

2020 Travelers Championship Odds & Fav, Smart, Long Shot Picks

2020 Travelers Championship Odds & Fav, Smart, Long Shot Picks

The PGA Tour is set for the third consecutive week of stellar golf action. This week the world’s top golfers will play at the Travelers Championship at TPC River Highlands in Cromwell, Connecticut. All the top five players in the world and the top 10 players in the FedEx Cup standings are all signed up to play.

2020 Travelers Championship Odds & Fav, Smart, Long Shot Picks

Favorite To Win: Rory McIlroy / Justin Thomas +1200

Since the PGA Tour restarted, both Rory McIlroy and Justin Thomas have shot okay. That’s actually a good thing. Both golfers might have used the Charles Schwab Challenge and the RBC Heritage as stepping stones for this week’s Travelers Championship.

Rory shot a -6 at the Charles Schwab. He had a sweet 63 on the second day. If not for a 74 final round, McIlroy may have challenged for the win.

Thomas shot a -11 at the Charles Schwab. His second round 68 and 71 final round pushed him out of the Top 5. But JT still managed to finish in the Top 10.

At the RBC, McIlroy shot a -11 while Thomas shot a -17. Justin’s final score was just 5 strokes off winner Webb Simpson.

Both favorites have a chance to win the Travelers. But neither offers good enough odds for a wager.

Thomas played at the 2019 Travelers Championship. He shot a -4, which was 13 strokes off winner Chez Reavie’s -17. Rory didn’t tee it off at last year’s Travelers.

It’s best to look elsewhere for the smart play.

Smart Betting Pick: Brooks Koepka +2000

Brooks Koepka played at the 2019 Travelers Championship. He finished worse than Thomas, shooting par.

Koepka’s game may be coming around, though. At the Charles Schwab Challenge, Brooks shot under par-70 in every round. It showed that he made good decisions on all four days.

Brooks finished at -6. That was tied for thirty-second. Not great, but Koepka’s goal was to get his swing back, not actually win the tournament.

Since last October, Koepka had missed the cut at the Shriner’s Hospital for Children’s Open, withdrew from the CJ Cup, and missed the cut at the Honda Classic. Shooting under par in every round of a tournament helped Brooks regain his confidence.

At the RBC Heritage, Koepka shot a -18 and finished seventh. He could parlay that into a win at the Travelers this weekend.

The Long Shot Betting Pick: Paul Casey +3000

Casey hasn’t teed it off since the WGC-Mexico back on February 20. But golfers like Casey don’t need much work to get into golfing shape.

Also, there’s a good chance that while his competitors battled at the Charles Schwab and RBC, Casey circled the Travelers as his comeback tournament.

Last year, Paul shot a -11. So, it makes sense that he’d use the Travelers Championship to get back onto the PGA Tour.

At the odds, Paul Casey is worth a look to take home the 2020 Travelers Championship trophy.

Stanley Cup Odds & Picks

Updated 2020 Stanley Cup Odds, Favorites, Longshots & Sharp Picks

The 2020 NHL season is coming back but straight to the playoffs. Keep reading for the latest Stanley Cup odds and who the top picks are.

Updated 2020 Stanley Cup Odds

  • Tampa Bay Lightning +570
  • Boston Bruins +650
  • Vegas Golden Knights +700
  • Colorado Avalanche +850
  • St. Louis Blues +1000
  • Philadelphia Flyers +1200
  • Pittsburgh Penguins +1200
  • Washington Capitals +1300
  • Dallas Stars +1600
  • Toronto Maple Leafs +2000
  • Nashville Predators +3000
  • Chicago Blackhawks +3000
  • Edmonton Oilers +3000
  • Arizona Coyotes +3300
  • New York Rangers +3500
  • Minnesota Wild +4000
  • Carolina Hurricanes +4500
  • Calgary Flames +5000
  • Vancouver Canucks +5000
  • Winnipeg Jets +5000
  • Florida Panthers +5500
  • New York Islanders +6000
  • Columbus Blue Jackets +6600
  • Montreal Canadiens +7500

Stanley Cup Betting Favorite: Tampa Bay Lightning +570

NHL recently came out with a 24-team regular season restart plan. Under the format, 4-teams from each conference automatically make it to the playoffs.

Those 8-teams play in a round-robin in each contest to determine playoff seeds. Tampa Bay is one of the four round-robin teams in the East.

That’s why the Lightning is favored at +570. But from a hockey stand-point, should Tampa Bay offer such low odds?

In 2018-2019, Tampa Bay won 62 during regular-season games. They bowed out of the playoffs in the first round. This year’s argument is that Tampa is well-rested.

But every participating team will be well-rested. Not only that, but every team also got a chance to get their injured players healthy.

The odds on the Lightning make them an underlay. Back Tampa Bay if you want. Know that no team has an edge over any other in this year’s Stanley Cup Playoffs, which makes accepting low odds a bad idea.

The Sharp Stanley Cup Pick: St. Louis Blues +1000

There are a couple of reasons to like the St. Louis Blues to repeat. The first has to do with odds.

St. Louis is the lone Top 5 odds contender that offers at least +1000. Boston’s odds to win the Cup are +700. Colorado’s odds are +850. Like the Bruins, the Vegas Golden Knights offer +700.

There’s another reason to like the Blues. Right-wing Vladimir Tarasenko will be healthy.

Tarasenko was a huge part of St. Louis’ march to the Stanley Cup last season. We can’t discount the effect a healthy Tarasenko will have the Blues’ during this year’s playoffs.

The Blues won the Cup last year, get Vladimir back, and had played well enough to win one of the deepest divisions in hockey, the Western Conference Central, before the shutdown. What’s not to like?

The Longshot Stanley Cup Pick: Toronto Maple Leafs +20000

Before the season started, Toronto was one of the favorites at +850 to win the Cup. What changed?

The pandemic. If this were a normal season, the Leafs would be the third seed from the Atlantic Division in the Eastern Conference Playoffs. That accounts for Toronto’s overlay odds.

The new playoff format means the Maple Leafs must play into the Round of 16. When hockey returns, Toronto’s first opponent will be the Columbus Blue Jackets.

No worries. Artemi Panarin bounced from Columbus to the New York Rangers. He’s not the only player the 2019-2020 Columbus Blue Jackets lost.

The Leafs should handle the Jackets. If they were one of the Top 4 from the East, their odds would be no worse than +1000, like St. Louis’.

That makes Toronto a huge overlay at double the Blues’ odds to win the 2020 Stanley Cup. The fact they average 3.39 goals per, behind only Tampa Bay and Washington, makes them even more attractive.

Posted in NHL