Preakness Odds, Picks, Post Positions

Preakness Odds, Picks, Post Positions

The 2019 field for the Preakness Stakes is set and the ML betting odds are out. Out front is betting favorite Improbable (+235) followed by War of Will (+400) who will break from the 1st post position again after finishing 8th from the pole position at the Derby. The third favorite is Anothertwistafate (+725) followed by Alwaysmining (+800) and Bourbon War (+850). Now let’s take a look at the post positions and the top picks to win the 2019 Preakness Stakes.

Preakness Odds, Picks, Post Positions

  1. War of Will +400
  2. Bourbon War +850
  3. Warrior’s Charge +1400
  4. Improbable +235
  5. Owendale +1100
  6. Market King +3300
  7. Alwaysmining +800
  8. Signalman +2500
  9. Bodexpress +2000
  10. Everfast +7500
  11. Laughing Fox +2500
  12. Anothertwistafate +725
  13. Win Win Win +1600

Preakness Betting Favorite: Improbable +235

The Bob Baffert trainee has been doing great since the Kentucky Derby. Although that’s true, he has yet to win a race this year. Not only that, but he only made a mild bid in the slop at Churchill Downs. He could win the Preakness Stakes. However, he might have to get better after a tough time in the Run for the Roses. At 5/2, Improbable doesn’t offer much value.

Preakness Stakes Sharp Pick: Alwaysmining +800

A winner of 6 straight at Laurel Park, the Kelley Rubley trained Stay Thirsty sired three-year-old could be the horse to beat. He has faced short fields during the streak. He also didn’t win a race at a racetrack other than Laurel Park.

His connections purchased him for $130,000, though. That means they really felt he was a good enough horse to win races like the Preakness. Not only that, but this Preakness has come up light on talent with connections for Omaha Beach, Game Winner, Roadster, Maximum Security, Country House, and Tacitus all preferring to keep their horses on the bench.

Alwaysmining should get the perfect trip in a race lacking pace. He’s the choice.

Preakenss Sleeper Bet: Owendale +1100

The Pimlico Racecourse oddsmaker doesn’t believe the public backs Lexington Stakes winner Owendale. The oddsmaker could be wrong. In the Lexington Stakes win, Owendale showed the turn of foot that wins Triple Crown races. If he had made it into the Kentucky Derby starting gate, he might have gotten into the superfecta if not win the race outright.

Trainer Brad Cox is one of the best in the U.S. He’ll make sure that Owendale is ready to roll. Not only that, but Owendale’s sire, Into Mischief has become one of the top sires in North America. Owendale’s broodmare was sired by Bernardini, who won the Preakness Stakes in 2006. Owendale has a big chance to win the Second Jewel of the Triple Crown. It’s hard to see the public not jumping on those 10/1 odds. Expect 6/1 or 7/1.

Preakness Long Shot Pick: Signalman +2500

There’s no way the third-place finisher in the Blue Grass Stakes should offer odds of 30/1 to win the Preakness Stakes. Signalman won the Grade 2 Kentucky Jockey Club as a two-year-old. He finished third to Game Winner in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile.

He ran awful in his first race of the year, the Grade 2 Fountain of Youth. He improved in the Blue Grass. The Preakness will be the third race of his form cycle, often a horse’s best. Signalman could take the Preakness Stakes either on the lead or tracking front runner Warrior’s Charge. Don’t discount his chances based on his morning line odds and what experts are telling you.

MLB Betting Analysis May 13 – May 20

MLB Betting Analysis May 13 – May 20

With hockey and basketball playoffs at the conference finals, baseball has taken a back seat. However, there are three games you need to keep an eye on this week. Let’s get started.

MLB Betting Analysis May 13 – May 20

St. Louis Cardinals at Atlanta Braves
When: Wednesday, May 8 at 7:20 pm ET
Where: SunTrust Park, Smyrna, GA
TV: ESPN

Betting Analysis: The Cardinals battle the Braves in a key NL matchup on Wednesday. St. Louis sends Michael Wacha to the mound. Wacha has a 5.35 ERA and a 1.65 WHIP. Not only that, but the Braves bat a huge .366 against him.

Atlanta counters Wacha with pitcher Mike Soroka. Soroka’s stats are much better than Wacha’s. His ERA is a terrific 1.21. His WHIP is 1.04 while his record is 3-1. The 21-year-old Brave could be the next great NL starter.

He hasn’t allowed more than 1 earned run in 5 starts this season. The Cardinals are the best team he’s faced yet. Even though that’s true, Soroka has 31 strikeouts in 29.2 innings pitched. He should control St. Louis while Wacha could give up 3 to 4 runs.

Pick: Atlanta Braves

Houston Astros at Boston Red Sox
When: Saturday, May 18 at 7:15 pm ET
Where: Fenway Park, Boston, MA
TV: FOX

Betting Analysis: One of the best rivalries in baseball resumes on Saturday when top AL squads Houston and Boston clash at Fenway. The Astros list Corbin Martin as their starter. Martin, a 23-year-old, hasn’t started a game this season. He did pitch 5.1 innings in a 15-5 Houston victory over the Texas Rangers on May 12. In that matchup, Martin struck out 9 and gave up 2 earned runs off 3 hits.

Boston lists ace Chris Sale as their May 18 starter. Sale is 1-5 with a 4.50 ERA. He may have turned his form around in the last couple of starts, though. He threw 6 innings and gave up no earned runs off 3 hits in a 6-1 win over the White Sox. Against the Orioles on May 8, Sale threw 8 innings and gave up only 1 earned run off 3 hits in a 2-1 Boston win.

Sale should lead the Red Sox to victory on Saturday.

Pick: Boston Red Sox

Chicago Cubs at Washington Nationals
When: Sunday, May 19 at 7:00 pm ET
Where: Nationals Park, Washington, D.C.
TV: ESPN

Betting Analysis: Sunday’s ESPN nationally broadcast game has the Chicago Cubs traveling to Nationals Park to take on Washington. The team from D.C. looks to be up against it. Jeremy Hellickson, their Sunday starter, is in bad form. He’s allowed a combined 8 runs off 11 hits in his last 9.1 innings pitched.

In his last game, Hellickson only threw for 4 innings. Chicago only bats .220 against Hellickson, but the Cubs are on a roll. Chicago has won 11-of-13 in the past two weeks. They’ll get to Hellickson early.

Pick: Chicago Cubs

Posted in MLB
MLB Betting Analysis May 6 – May 12

MLB Betting Analysis May 6 – 12

Spring is in full bloom and so is the 2019 MLB season. If you are betting on baseball this week, I recommend looking at the following three games in addition to any other baseball bets you are making.

MLB Betting Analysis May 6 – 12

Seattle Mariners at New York Yankees
When: Wednesday, May 8 at 6:30 pm ET
Where: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
TV: ESPN

Betting Analysis: The Seattle Mariners have scheduled Japanese pitcher Yusei Kikuchi to start on Wednesday, May 8. Kikuchi has thrown well this season. His ERA is a very good 3.98 to go along with a 1-1 record and a 1.16 WHIP. Kikuchi’s last start, on May 3, was very good. He threw 7 innings and allowed a single earned run off 3 hits.

New York counters Kikuchi with 24-year-old Jonathan Loasigia. Loasigia only has a single start this year. He’s throwing on Wednesday in place of the injured James Paxton. Loasigia threw well in the single start. Although his WHIP was somewhat high at 1.30, he struck out 10.

Even though he appears to have talent, the Yankees are calling him up after James Paxton got hurt in his last start. That could put the Yankees at a disadvantage in this. Seattle gets the nod.

Pick: Seattle Mariners

Cleveland Indians at Oakland Athletics
When: Saturday, May 11 at 4:05 pm ET
Where: Oakland Coliseum, Oakland, CA
TV: FS1

Betting Analysis: The Tribe sends ace Trevor Bauer to the mound on Saturday to take on the Oakland Athletics. Bauer has a 4-1 record, a 2.45 ERA, and a 1.05 WHIP. He’s won his last couple of starts while going deep into each game, pitching 8 innings of a 2-1 Cleveland victory over Houston April 25, and then throwing 7 innings of a 7-4 win over Miami on April 30.

Oakland starts one of their top pitchers, Frankie Montas, on Saturday. Montas has a good 4-2 record. His ERA is 2.97 while his WHIP is 1.29. Montas had a bad outing in his last on April 29. He gave up 7 runs off 8 hits in 4.1 innings. Only one of the runs was earned, though.

Cleveland bats .360 against Frankie Montas. The Athletics could have their hands full with Bauer, who always throws well in his starts. The Tribe figures to take this match.

Pick: Cleveland Indians

Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs
When: Saturday, May 12 at 7:05 pm ET
Where: Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
TV: ESPN

Betting Analysis: Based on stats, Brewers’ Sunday starter Zach Davies is their ace. Davies has a 1.38 ERA and a 3-0 record. Davies could have some trouble against the Cubs, though, because Chicago’s got some strong hitters. Then again, the Cubs only bat .242 against Davies.

Cubs starter Cole Hamels has gotten into a groove since a bad outing on March 31. The Cubs have won Hamels’ last 5 starts. No to only that, but he’s got a very good 3-0 record to go along with a 3.19 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP.

This could be a pitcher’s duel. But, the Cubs should get to the Brewers once Davies leaves the game.

Pick: Chicago Cubs

Posted in MLB