Rocket Mortgage Classic Odds and Favorite, Smart, Long Shot Picks

Rocket Mortgage Classic Odds and Favorite, Smart, Long Shot Picks

The PGA Tour is continuing its northerly swing with the Rocket Mortgage Classic heading to Michigan this week. Click here for updated golf odds.

Rocket Mortgage Classic Odds and Favorite, Smart, Long Shot Picks

Favorite Betting Pick: Webb Simpson +1010

It makes sense that Webb Simpson would offer the lowest odds to win this week’s Rocket Mortgage Classic. Simpson has three Top 5 finishes in the four tournaments he’s played in this year.

He won two of those tournaments, the Waste Management Phoenix Open in February, and the RBC Heritage a couple of weeks ago. Both victories impressed.

The RBC Heritage win was more impressive, though. Webb had a terrible showing at the Charles Schwab Challenge, the first PGA Tournament after the shutdown due to the coronavirus pandemic.

Webb missed the cut at the Colonial Country Club after shooting a first-round 73 and a second-round 69. He bounced back just a week later at the RBC.

How good was Simpson at the RBC Heritage? He shot a -22 after a 65-65-68-64. Webb’s -22 put him a stroke ahead of Abraham Ancer and two strokes ahead of Daniel Berger and Tyrell Hatton.

But although it’s right to favor Simpson heading to Detroit Golf Club for the Rocket Mortgage Classic, we can’t blindly back the chalk.

Webb didn’t play in last year’s Rocket Mortgage Classic. He doesn’t have a ton of experience playing at Detroit GC.

Not only that, but Simpson withdrew from the Travelers Championship after a family member tested positive for Covid-19.

Will Webb’s mind be on golf this week? We’re looking elsewhere.

Smart Betting Pick: Hideki Matsuyama +1800

So far, Matsuyama’s return to the golf course has not yielded positive results. Then again, Hideki only played at the RBC Heritage. He didn’t play at the Charles Schwab.

Matsuyama didn’t tee off at the Travelers Championship. It makes sense that Hideki shot a 74 and 70 at the RBC. Missing the cut isn’t a big deal.

We must assume that Matsuyama decided to take last week off to prepare for the Rocket Mortgage Classic.

Based on his 2019 performance over Detroit GC, that also makes sense. Matsuyama shot a -15. That was 15 strokes off runaway winner Nate Lashley’s -25. But it was only 4 strokes off second place finisher Doc Redman.

Hideki was just 3 strokes off third place finishers Wes Roach and Rory Sabbatini. If Matsuyama is on his game, he can win this tournament.

Long Shot Betting Pick: Rory Sabbatini +4500

The other golfing Rory had a great 2019 Rocket Mortgage Classic. Shooting a -18 is big. Sabbatini has also hit the ball well in his first two tournaments played since the pandemic.

Rory shot a -10 to finish fourteenth at the Charles Schwab Challenge. He shot a -14 at the RBC Heritage to finish twenty-first. Both finishes should give him confidence heading to Detroit.

So, we’re getting +4500 on a golfer in decent form who tore up the course last year. Sounds like the recipe for an underdog win bet.

2020 Travelers Championship Odds & Fav, Smart, Long Shot Picks

2020 Travelers Championship Odds & Fav, Smart, Long Shot Picks

The PGA Tour is set for the third consecutive week of stellar golf action. This week the world’s top golfers will play at the Travelers Championship at TPC River Highlands in Cromwell, Connecticut. All the top five players in the world and the top 10 players in the FedEx Cup standings are all signed up to play.

2020 Travelers Championship Odds & Fav, Smart, Long Shot Picks

Favorite To Win: Rory McIlroy / Justin Thomas +1200

Since the PGA Tour restarted, both Rory McIlroy and Justin Thomas have shot okay. That’s actually a good thing. Both golfers might have used the Charles Schwab Challenge and the RBC Heritage as stepping stones for this week’s Travelers Championship.

Rory shot a -6 at the Charles Schwab. He had a sweet 63 on the second day. If not for a 74 final round, McIlroy may have challenged for the win.

Thomas shot a -11 at the Charles Schwab. His second round 68 and 71 final round pushed him out of the Top 5. But JT still managed to finish in the Top 10.

At the RBC, McIlroy shot a -11 while Thomas shot a -17. Justin’s final score was just 5 strokes off winner Webb Simpson.

Both favorites have a chance to win the Travelers. But neither offers good enough odds for a wager.

Thomas played at the 2019 Travelers Championship. He shot a -4, which was 13 strokes off winner Chez Reavie’s -17. Rory didn’t tee it off at last year’s Travelers.

It’s best to look elsewhere for the smart play.

Smart Betting Pick: Brooks Koepka +2000

Brooks Koepka played at the 2019 Travelers Championship. He finished worse than Thomas, shooting par.

Koepka’s game may be coming around, though. At the Charles Schwab Challenge, Brooks shot under par-70 in every round. It showed that he made good decisions on all four days.

Brooks finished at -6. That was tied for thirty-second. Not great, but Koepka’s goal was to get his swing back, not actually win the tournament.

Since last October, Koepka had missed the cut at the Shriner’s Hospital for Children’s Open, withdrew from the CJ Cup, and missed the cut at the Honda Classic. Shooting under par in every round of a tournament helped Brooks regain his confidence.

At the RBC Heritage, Koepka shot a -18 and finished seventh. He could parlay that into a win at the Travelers this weekend.

The Long Shot Betting Pick: Paul Casey +3000

Casey hasn’t teed it off since the WGC-Mexico back on February 20. But golfers like Casey don’t need much work to get into golfing shape.

Also, there’s a good chance that while his competitors battled at the Charles Schwab and RBC, Casey circled the Travelers as his comeback tournament.

Last year, Paul shot a -11. So, it makes sense that he’d use the Travelers Championship to get back onto the PGA Tour.

At the odds, Paul Casey is worth a look to take home the 2020 Travelers Championship trophy.

The Match Tiger/Peyton vs Phil/Brady Odds & Analysis

The Match Tiger/Peyton vs Phil/Brady Odds & Analysis

Get ready for a super-sized MATCH this year with Tiger Woods teaming up with Peyton Manning and Phil Mickelson teaming up with Tom Brady for a made for betting event.

Tiger/Peyton Are -200 Betting Favorites To Win

Tiger. Woods spent the past couple of years perfecting a new swing. He was ready to unleash at the Masters in April. Woods must feel he can win. If he didn’t, he’d have put the kibosh on this before it got legs. Also, Tiger is motivated. Phil beat him in the last head-to-head. 

But that’s not the only reason to like Tiger. Peyton is a good golfer. That’s the real reason these two are favored over Lefty and Terrific Tom.

Phil/Brady’s Moneyline Betting Odds Are +160 To Win

Phil has history on his side. A couple of years ago, Tiger was favored over Lefty in the Match at Shadow Creek in Las Vegas. After 18-holes, the pair were tied. Mickelson beat Woods in extra holes. If Phil beat Tiger once, he can beat him again. 

Not only that, but like Peyton, Tom is also a good golfer. Brady won’t hurt Phil’s chances of beating Tiger in a repeat. That’s all a pro can ask for when they pair with an amateur.

The Match Tiger/Peyton vs Phil/Brady Betting Analysis

On paper, Tiger and Peyton look like obvious winners.  Peyton shoots around 80. He’s a member of both Augusta National and Cherry Hills in Denver. Manning also has a big advantage over Brady. While Tom has played in the NFL the last few seasons, Peyton has had a chance to work on his game in between Nationwide Insurance commercial shoots.

Manning won’t be the problem if Tiger and Peyton lose. We expect Peyton to shoot around an 80. That’s what he’ll shoot no matter the course. For this team, Tiger could be the problem.

If the tournament happens at a Florida course, then, yes, Tiger has an advantage. But 

Tiger must play up to his best. He doesn’t often go into a tournament cold and perform well. Not only that but before the shutdown Tiger wasn’t 100% sure he’d be ready for the Masters. As crazy as it sounds, Mickelson might be in better golf shape. 

Last July, Mickelson decided to change his lifestyle. He ate better and exercised. Results didn’t happen until the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro Am this year where Phil finished third. He missed the cut in the next couple of tournaments. Then came the sports shutdown.

The missed cuts shouldn’t worry you. Mickelson doesn’t play for a paycheck. He plays to get ready for the big tournaments. If this happens, Lefty will be at his best. 

Like we wrote above, don’t worry about Terrific Tom. The GOAT won’t allow Manning to outplay him in a game of hopscotch. Why would he allow him to outplay him on the golf course? The odds say Tiger and Peyton are the favorites. But Lefty and Terrific Tom are the team to back.