2020 Belmont Stakes Lines

2020 Belmont Stakes Lines

The 2020 Belmont Stakes is set to run this Sunday with a field of ten. The race usually concludes the Triple Crown season, but this season it is leading off. Keep reading for the Belmont Stakes betting lines.

Belmont Stakes Lines & Analysis

  • Tap It To Win +650
  • Sole Volante +750
  • Max Player +2300
  • Modernist +3000
  • Farmington Road +2200
  • Fore Left +3000
  • Jungle Runner +6000
  • Tiz The Law -130
  • Dr Post +650
  • Pneumatic +1700

Tiz The Law

Tiz the Law is the 6-5 favorite for a reason as he gets set for the first Triple Crown race of his career. The three-year-old colt will be well-rested since he has not run since March 28 when he won the Curlin Florida Derby Grade 1 Stakes at Gulfstream Park. Prior to that, Tiz the Law finished in the winner’s circle by taking the Holy Bull Grade 3 Stakes in February at Gulfstream. Tiz the Law will break from the No. 8 spot at Belmont.

Sole Volante

This thoroughbred will be back in action just 10 days after winning the Allowance Optional Claiming at Gulfstream on June 10. Yes, Sole Volante failed to get the win in finishing second at the Lamdholm South Tampa Bay Derby Grade 2 Stakes on March 7, but he did win the Sam F. Davis Grade 3 Stakes in Tampa Bay on February 8. Will the quick turnaround be too much for Sole Volante to overcome? Oddsmakers apparently don’t think so.

Dr Pos

After finishing fourth in his final race as a two-year-old last July, Dr Post has gone 2-for-2 this year by winning the Maiden Weight Special at Belmont Park in March and backing that up by winning the Unbridled Stakes at Gulfstream on April 25.

Tap It To Win

Tap It To Win didn’t look like anything special in finishing an identical 10t in his final two races as a two-year-old in 2019, but he’s sure turned it around as a three-year-old by winning the Allowance Optional Claiming at Gulfstream on May 9 and following that up with an even more impressive win at Belmont Park on June 4 in which he finished just .54 of a second off the track record for 1 1/16 miles.

Pneumatic

The son of Uncle Mo comes into this Triple Crown event off a third place finish in the Matt Winn Grade 3 Stakes at Churchill Downs on May 23. Prior to that, Pneumatic won in February and April at Oaklawn Park.

Max Player

Max Player will definitely be well-rested since he hasn’t taken to the track since winning the Withers Grade 3 Stakes at Aqueduct on February 1 after capping off his campaign as a two-year-old by winning a Maiden Weight Special at Parx racing in December.

Modernist

There’s a lot of buzz surrounding Tap It to Win after his impressive allowance win at Belmont Park, but Modernist isn’t getting much love as the Belmont Stakes approaches. He won a Grade 2 race two starts back, and in the Grade 2 Louisiana Derby in his last start, he broke out of the No. 14 post, was 4-wide around the first turn and 3-wide turning for home, and still managed a solid third place finish. He’s going to be on or near the lead, and with a good trip he can hang on for second at a good price.

Farmington Road

Farmington Road is a true longshot as he comes into the 2020 Belmont Stakes off a disappointing fourth place finish at the Arkansas Derby on May 2. Prior to that, he finished second at the Oaklawn Stakes in April, a disappointing fourth at Risen Star in February and first in the Maiden Weight Special at Tampa Bay in January.

Fore Left

After finishing third and 10th in his final two races as a two-year-old in 2019, Fore Left picked up a confidence-boosting win at the UAE Two Thousand Guineas on February 6 in his only race of 2020.

Jungle Runner

Jungle Runner is likely going to be an afterthought in the Belmont Stakes after finishing eighth at the Arkansas Derby in May, fifth at the Mine That Bird Derby in February and eighth at the Smarty Jones Stakes in January!

Belmont Stakes Picks to NOT Win

Belmont Stakes Odds to NOT Win

Can’t decide on a Belmont Stakes winning horse to bet on? Keep reading for the odds and picks on horses that will NOT win the 2019 Belmont Stakes.

Odds & Picks Against Winning The Belmont

  • Joevia -10000
  • Everfast -2500
  • Master Fencer -1900
  • Tax -2150
  • Bourbon War -2750
  • Spinoff -1700
  • Sir Winston -4000
  • Intrepid Heart -1250
  • War of Will -335
  • Tacitus -210

Joevia – Joevia looked great winning the $100,000 Long Branch Stakes in his last race. Although he looked great, there’s a lot not to like about this Gregory Sacco trainee. First, his sire, Shanghai Bobby, produces more sprinters than distance horses. Joevia might not get the 1 ½ miles of the Belmont Stakes.

Second, the Long Branch is a non-graded stakes. The Belmont is a Grade 1, meaning this is a huge step up. Finally, Joevia could be stuck on the rail for most of this race. That means either jockey Jose Lezcano guns him to the front, takes him back, or tries to make out a trip with more quality horses in front of him.

Everfast – No doubt, the run he had in the Preakness Stakes to finish second to War of Will was impressive. However, we must question the quality of that field. The only other horse entered of note after War of Will was Improbable. Improbable was way too tired after the Kentucky Derby to have an impact on the Preakness.

There’s also Everfast’s past history. He finished second in the Grade 2 Holy Bull and then proceeded to get drubbed by double-digits in the Fountain of Youth, the Florida Derby, and the Pat Day Mile.

Master Fencer – He ran well in the Derby. It’s not often a more than 50/1 shot from Japan finishes sixth in the most popular race the United States. Master Fencer has quality, but there’s a difference between the Kentucky Derby and the Belmont Stakes.

The Derby is at 1 ¼ miles while the Belmont is at 1 ½ miles. It’s hard to know if he’ll get the distance. More importantly, horses must improve from the Derby on the first Saturday in May to the Belmont in the early part of June. If a horse doesn’t improve, it won’t have a shot in the Belmont. Master Fencer may or may not have improved. His past performances says he won’t enough to win on Saturday.

Bourbon War – The straight closer ran horribly in the Preakness Stakes. Why would he improve enough in three weeks to win the Belmont? He wouldn’t. Bourbon War, at least on paper, has less of chance of winning the Belmont than Joevia does.

War of Will – Making War of Will a pick to not win the Belmont Stakes isn’t popular. He looked great winning the Preakness. That was a bad field, though. Not only that, few horses can run well in 3 straight races at 3 different racetracks and at 3 different distances in the span of 5 weeks. War of Will could bounce in the Belmont. He’s tough to back at 2/1 odds.

The 2019 Belmont runs this Saturday, June 8th with an approximate post time of 6:48 PM ET. You can watch the Belmont on NBC and stream it via NBCSports.com.

Belmont Stakes Long Shot Bet: Tax +1500

Belmont Stakes Long Shot Bet: Tax +1300

The 2019 Belmont Stakes is upon us. If you are looking for a long shot pick to bet on look no further. While no one predicted Country House would win the Kentucky Derby, I am betting on Tax to win the 2019 Belmont Stakes as a +1300 long shot. A $100 wager on Tax to win the Belmont will win you $1300. If you need more convincing keep reading to find out why I am betting on Tax to win the 2019 Belmont.

2019 Belmont Stakes Opening Odds

  1. Joevia +4000
  2. Everfast +1400
  3. Master Fencer +1200
  4. Tax +1300
  5. Bourbon War +1300
  6. Spinoff +1100
  7. Sir Winston +2000
  8. Intrepid Heart +800
  9. War of Will +290
  10. Tacitus +175

Belmont Stakes Long Shot Bet: Tax +1300

On paper, it looks like Tax has no shot. He finished fifteenth in the Kentucky Derby by 15 lengths. The only reason he got moved up to fourteenth is that the stewards disqualified Maximum Security. A closer examination of Tax’s run in the Derby, though, shows that he didn’t run nearly as poorly as the racing lines indicate.

As soon as the gates opened, he seemed to be in a good position, but Tax appeared incredibly uncomfortable. Jockey Junior Alvarado allowed Tax to settle in along the rail and for a while, it appeared as if he might make a move towards the front runners. However, at no point during the running of the Derby did it look like Tax had gotten a hold of the racetrack. Knowing this, Junior laid off his mount at the top of the stretch. If he had worked Tax hard, he might have finished in the Top 10.

If we throw out the Derby run, Tax has run races that makes him a logical choice to win the Belmont Stakes. He got the jump on Tacitus in the Wood Memorial. Although he couldn’t hold off Tacitus in that race, Alvarado could do a couple of things differently on Saturday to either keep him in front of the chalk or allow him to run down the chalk. Alvarado’s got way more options in this shorter field. He can most definitely put Tax into a much better position for the win on Saturday that he could in the Kentucky Derby.

There’s also the fact that Tax has a ton of back class. He finished third in the Remsen as a two-year-old behind Maximum Mischief and Network Effect. In his first race a three-year-old, the Grade 3 Withers, he won by a head. Then came the second in the Wood Memorial.

Not only does Tax have back class, but because Arch sired him, he should have no trouble running the 1 ½ mile Belmont distance. He’s the best-bred horse to get the Belmont distance.

Finally, Danny Gargan trains. Gargan is one of the top trainers in New York. He knows how to get his horses ready to run their best at Aqueduct and Belmont Park. He’ll have Tax prepared to bounce back with a top effort after the Derby debacle. If you’re looking for a longshot with a chance, Tax looks like the one to back.