Everything You Need To Know About Betting the 2020 MLB Season

What You Need To Know About Betting the 2020 MLB Season

On June 23, Major League Baseball Commissioner Rob Manfred announced that the 2020 MLB Season would start on either July 23 or 24. Per Manfred, the league would play a 60 game season that ends on September 27.

What You Need To Know About Betting the 2020 MLB Season

What is Major League Baseball’s plan?

On March 26, the MLB Players Association and Major League Baseball made an agreement that stated MLB could impose a 60-game schedule. That’s what happened after neither side could come to a consensus on how to start the season.

Players will report to training camps by July 1. The baseball league came out with a manual that, among other things, includes the following.

Teams will play divisional opponents 10 times. They’ll play the other 20 games against interleague opponents in their region. For example, the Dodgers will play the Angels and Oakland Athletics.

  • If a game goes to extra innings, teams start with a runner on second base.
  • August 31 is the new trade deadline
  • Rosters go from 30 to start the season, to 28 after the first couple of weeks, to 26 after a month.
  • Teams can have up to 60 players available to participate due to coronavirus positive cases, or injury.
  • There will be a specific Covid-19 injury list. There will be no minimum or maximum days players can spend on the coronavirus injury list.

2020 MLB Season Betting Tips

It’s difficult to know how teams will respond to the new rules. Players didn’t want this deal. They fought hard for a separate deal.

Unfortunately for them, Manfred had to decide to either shut down the season for the entire year or put a plan in place and start in July. One good thing about the plan is that teams mustn’t travel far for games.

That should, in theory, help the very best players stay sharp. That goes for batters and pitchers.

Pitchers, though, will have a much tougher time of it. As sports bettors, we should think about playing over totals for at least the first couple of days.

Then, we can adjust. The Top 5 hitting teams were the Houston Astros, Minnesota Twins, Boston Red Sox, New York Yankees, and Colorado Rockies. Colorado and Boston seem safe if you like overs. If you like unders, pay attention to pitching matchups when the Stros, Twins, and Yankees play. New York has an awesome bullpen. So, like the Dodgers, there’s no guarantee that overs hit in Yankee games even though they’re strong at the plate.

When it comes to moneyline wagers, be careful about backing any underlay odds team. Remember, we won’t have a full spring training to digest. Nor will we have the luxury of seeing how teams fare in the first quarter of a 162-game season. That means we must take our time before dumping on a squad at, say, -200 to beat an underdog.

It might be wise to lay off betting run lines until at least the first 5 days are in the books.

2020 World Series Futures

The Los Angeles Dodgers and New York Yankees are favored. There’s a huge gap after the Dodgers and Yankees.

Do either offer fair odds? On one hand, it’s difficult to say “yes” because we don’t know how either team will play. On the other hand, the Dodgers and Yankees mustn’t travel.

That means they should have enough in the tank after 60 games to be at their best in the playoffs.

After LAD and NYY, it’s difficult to find a team that can challenge for the World Series. The Astros, maybe, but the Stros were caught cheating after last season. Who knows if they’re anywhere near as good as they’ve been the past couple of seasons?

Maybe, it was all smoke and mirrors. Because there are just 60 regular-season games, this may be one of those years where we should look to back a favorite to win the Fall Classic.

Posted in MLB
2019 World Series Odds & Analysis

2019 World Series Odds & Analysis

Welcome to October. Beerfest, Halloween and the World Series! Keep reading for the latest 2019 World Series odds, betting favorites, contenders, smart picks and an underdog that could flip the script!

2019 World Series Odds & Picks

  • Houston Astros +200
  • Los Angeles Dodgers +285
  • New York Yankees +380
  • Atlanta Braves +1000
  • Minnesota Twins +1600
  • St. Louis Cardinals +1925
  • Washington Nationals +2200
  • Tampa Bay Rays +2350
  • Oakland Athletics +2800
  • Milwaukee Brewers +3750

2019 World Series Betting Favorite: Houston Astros +200

Houston finished the regular season with the best record in baseball. What it means is that the Stros head into the postseason with home-field advantage. That makes Houston an even bigger favorite than the odds indicate. Why?

No team in MLB comes close to the Astros’ starting rotation. Justin Verlander is 21-6 with a 2.85 ERA and a .80 WHIP. Gerrit Cole is 19-5 with a 2.52 ERA and .89 WHIP. Zack Greinke has a 2.93 ERA, an 18-5 record, and a .98 WHIP. Greinke, Cole, and Verlander are all ace pitchers.

The scary part? When any one of those ace pitchers leaves the game, the Astros are in good hands with the top bullpen in MLB based on ERA. Not only that, but the Astros also rank first in team batting average.

All of it adds up to Houston being a super team. But although Stros backers should be giddy, the best team in the regular season doesn’t always take the Fall Classic. Check out two teams that could take down the mighty Astros for the championship.

2019 World Series Betting Smart Pick: Atlanta Braves +900

The Dodgers and Yankees are obvious choices. Both those teams have glaring flaws. For the Dodgers, the defect is in their closer, Kenley Jensen. The Yankees flaw is that outside of Luis Severino, they don’t have a starter that can hang with Houston’s rotation.

Because both the Yanks and Dodgers have issues that could lead to their downfall in the postseason, the smart pick is the Atlanta Braves. The ATL won the NL East this season behind a solid starting rotation led by Mike Soroka. Soroka has a sweet 2.60 ERA. The second ace in the rotation is former Astros pitcher Dallas Keuchel.

Keuchel’s ERA is 3.75 while Max Fried, third in the rotation, has a decent 4.02 ERA. The Braves bat .258 as a team, ranking ninth in the league. The bullpen has a 4.19 ERA. That ranks eleventh in MLB. If Atlanta’s starters can put their team into a good position to win, the BP should do the rest. The Braves have the best shot of the NL teams of upsetting the Astros and winning the World Series.

2019 World Series Betting Underdog Pick: Oakland Athletics +2000

If you’re looking for a longshot, look no further than the Oakland Athletics. Yes, the Athletics must win their wildcard game against the Tampa Bay Rays. If they can do that, they might have the best shot at upsetting the Houston Astros this postseason.

Oakland’s starters post the sixth-best ERA in MLB. The bullpen ranks seventh in ERA. Oakland bats .250 as a team. The A’s biggest asset? They’re familiar with Houston. If they win on Wednesday and face the Astros in the AL Divisional Playoffs, the A’s have as good of a shot as anyone of knocking off the favorites.

Posted in MLB
MLB Betting Analysis Sept 23-29

MLB Betting Analysis Sept 23-29

The 2019 baseball season is winding down but that doesn’t mean you can’t win some money betting on MLB action this week. Use my betting analysis for games this week to cash in big.

MLB Betting Analysis Sept 23-29

Monday, Sep 23

Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals

The Nationals should be vulnerable here. Zach Eflin has a 4.00 ERA. He heads into this matchup after he only allowed 5 hits in 7 innings against Atlanta. The Phillies take this.

Pick: Philadelphia Phillies

St. Louis Cardinals at Arizona Diamondbacks

Adam Wainwright’s comeback is complete. He’s got a 3.83 ERA and 13-9 record this season. The Cards have won 5 in a row, all on the run line when Wainwright takes the mound. Go for it!

Pick: St. Louis run line

Tuesday, Sep 24

Cleveland Indians at Chicago White Sox

The Tribe has gone 3-1 SU in Aaron Civale’s last 4 starts. His ERA is a dynamite 1.82. Cleveland gets a win.

Pick: Cleveland

Oakland A’s at L.A. Angels

Angels starter Dillon Peters is 3-3 with a 4.81 ERA and a 1.51 WHIP. Those aren’t mind-blowing stats. But, the Halos respond when Dillon starts. They’re 3-1 in his last 4. Angels should pull off the victory.

Pick: L.A. Angels

Wednesday, Sep 25

New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays

The last time Rays listed starter Brendan McKay took the mound versus the Yankees, he lasted 5 innings and gave up 3 earned runs off 6 hits. NYY should punish McKay again on Wednesday.

Pick: Tampa Bay Rays

Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds

Brewers starter Jordan Lyles has decent stats. More importantly? The Brew Crew are 9-1 on the moneyline in Lyles’ last 10 starts.

Pick: Milwaukee Brewers

Thursday, Sep 26

L.A. Dodgers at San Diego Padres

Ace Clayton Kershaw takes the mound for LAD. Kershaw is great but Padres starter Eric Lauer heads into this off a decent performance. Lauer allowed only 2 earned runs in his last 6 innings pitched. Eric’s home ERA is 3.08, which means we should give the Friars a shot in this one.

Pick: San Diego Padres

Friday, Sep 27

Chicago Cubs at St. Louis Cardinals

If the Cubs wish to make the postseason, they must start winning games. Jose Quintana takes the mound for their important Friday matchup with the rival St. Louis Cardinals. Quintana could have a good game on Friday. It won’t matter if he does. The Cubs are a terrible road team. Back the Cards who are 8-2 SU in Dakota Hudson’s last 10 starts.

Pick: St. Louis Cardinals

L.A. Dodgers at San Francisco Giants

The Giants have already been eliminated from the playoffs. They’ll still play hard on Saturday because they face the Dodgers. LAD bats .231 versus Johnny Cueto. JC should spark a Giants upset victory on Sep. 27.

Pick: San Francisco Giants

Saturday, Sep 28

Cleveland Indians at Washington Nationals

The Nationals might be favored, which means we can get value on The Tribe taking on a so-so NL squad. Adam Plutko takes the mound for Cleveland. Rock and Roll City has gone 4-1 straight up in Plutko’s last 5 starts. Back Cleveland.

Pick: Cleveland

Sunday, Sep 29

Chicago Cubs at St. Louis Cardinals

Sunday’s feature matchup has the Cubs and Cardinals once again battling on the diamond. Jon Lester picks up the baseball for the Cubs. Adam Wainwright grabs it for the Cards. The Cardinals pound Lester with a .284 batting average. St. Louis run line? You bet!

Pick: St. Louis run line

Posted in MLB