NFL Week 1 Odds & Analysis

NFL Week 1 Odds & Analysis

Last week the NFL dropped the 2020 regular-season schedule and every sportsbook released its opening odds for the first week of football.

NFL Week 1 Odds & Analysis

Thursday, Sep. 10

Houston Texans at Kansas City Chiefs -12

Kansas City starts its repeat quest against the Houston Texans. Patrick Mahomes is the best quarterback in the NFL. Texans’ quarterback Deshaun Watson can exploit a KC defense that lost some pieces.

Sunday, Sep. 13

Seattle Seahawks at Atlanta Falcons -0

Seattle is an NFC contender. The Atlanta Falcons improved on both sides of the football. TE Hayden Hurst should help the offense. DE Dante Fowler should help the defense.

New York Jets at Buffalo Bills -5 ½

Wait until you see Jets’ offensive lineman Mekhi Becton. He’s 6’ 7” and weighs 364 pounds. Sam Darnold has no excuses this season playing behind Mekhi. Now that Tom Brady is in Tampa the Bills feel the door is open to win the NFC East.

Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions -0

After signing safety Artie Burns away from Pittsburgh, Chicago should field one of the top defenses in the NFL. With Matthew Stafford, the Lions have the better quarterback in the matchup.

Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings -3

Which NFC North team takes the division? We get a clue in Week 1. Green Bay swept Minnesota last season. The Vikings had a great draft.

Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots -7

The Patriots start the post-Terrific Tom era against the rival Dolphins. New England’s defense accounts for the large spread. Miami hopes Tua is a quick learner. If he is, the Fins could surprise.

Philadelphia Eagles -7 at Washington Redskins

Top D.C. draft pick Chase Young had 16 ½ sacks in 15 games his senior season. If he gets to Carson Wentz, Washington has a shot. Philadelphia made the playoffs last season. This season, they want to win the NFC.

Las Vegas Raiders at Carolina Panthers -0

This is the season Mike Mayock’s and Jon Gruden’s changes should show positive effects. Carolina got a new quarterback in Teddy Bridgewater. These two appear equal. That’s why the spread is 0.

Indianapolis Colts -9 ½ at Jacksonville Jaguars

Indianapolis is a good team. The Colts have talent on both sides of the ball. Signing Philip Rivers should help the offense. Jacksonville has a new OC in Jay Gruden. The defense remains a decent unit.

Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens -10

Lamar Jackson hopes his style of football is as effective in 2020 as it was in 2019. The Browns built one of the top offensive lines in the NFL. Baker Mayfield has no excuses.

L.A. Chargers -3 ½ at Cincinnati Bengals

Tyrod Taylor should start at quarterback for the Bolts. He’s a vet with a lot of weapons. Cincinnati will start top draft pick Joe Burrow. Joe is NFL ready. Don’t be surprised if he dominates the Chargers way he did the Alabama Crimson Tide.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints -4 ½

Tom Brady wants to prove he can take his game to Florida. The Saints are a Super Bowl favorite. They must prove it in Week 1 against, on paper, one of the top teams in the league.

Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers -9

The 49ers let a Super Bowl slip from their grasp. That should motivate them in Week 1. Now that Kyler Murray is an NFL sophomore, Arizona has high expectations for the season.

Dallas Cowboys -2 ½ at L.A. Rams

Ezekiel Elliot and the Dallas rushing attack faces one of the best defensive lines in the NFL. The Cowboys face one of the worst offensive lines in the league.

Monday, Sep. 14

Pittsburgh Steelers -3 at New York Giants

NYG surprised everyone by drafting Georgia tackle Andrew Thomas in the first round. If Thomas can protect Daniel Jones, the Giants have a shot. Steelers get back Ben Roethlisberger. Big Ben should dominate a bad Giants’ defense.

Tennessee Titans at Denver Broncos -2 ½

The Titans almost made it to the Super Bowl last season. Quarterback Drew Lock is the man at Denver. Lock might have success against the Titans’ defense.

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Most 1st Round Picks By College Odds

Most 1st Round Picks By College Odds

Its draft week and time to find out which college will produce the most 1st round picks. Keep reading for the latest NFL draft odds and analysis.

Which College Will Have The Most 1st Round Picks?

Alabama Crimson Tide
O 5½ +115
U 5½ -145

5 Alabama players appear destined for the first round. Those 5 players are OT Jedrick Wills, wide receivers Jerry Jeudy and Henry Ruggs III, corner Trevon Diggs, and quarterback Tua Tagovailoa. Tua has dropped off some team’s draft boards. But the Patratis are supposed to be hot for the Bama signal-caller. Safety Xavier McKinney could get the Round 1 call.

Auburn Tigers
O 1½ +260
U 1½ -350

Derrick Brown, a defensive lineman, should be a Top 10 pick. Brown is 6’ 5” and 326 lbs. He had 55 tackles and 4 sacks last season. Edge Marlon Davidson is another who might get the first round phone call.

Clemson Tigers
O 1½ -260
U 1½ +200

Most mock draft have linebacker Isaiah Simmons in the Top 5. Simmons dominated with 107 tackles, 8 sacks, and 3 interceptions. Isaiah is 6’ 4” and 238 lbs. Few teams in the NFL couldn’t use a player with those physical gifts. Corner A.J. Terrell is another player that could go in Round 1. Some believe Tee Higgins might get the call. But the wide receiver had an awful 40-time.

Georgia
O 1½ -155
U 1½ +125

Tackle Andrew Thomas is the sure-fire Georgia Bulldog to go in the first round. Thomas can play left tackle or right tackle. Even if a team has a strong line, he’s a player they’d consider drafting for depth. Both running back D’Andre Swift and the other tackle, Isaiah Wilson, have gotten some first round mentions.

LSU
O 5½ +270
U 5½ -360

Quarterback Joe Burrow will be the first player taken off the board. Edge K’Lavon Chaisson, linebacker Patrick Queen, corner Kristian Fulton, and wide receiver Justin Jefferson are also possible first round picks. Center Lloyd Cushenberry could sneak into Round 1. So could safety Grant Delpit.

Ohio State
O 2½ +425
U 2½ -610

Two of the picks are obvious. DE Chase Young might be a once in a lifetime player. The 6’ 5” and 264 lbs. player provided 16 ½ sacks last season against some of the best offensive lineman in the country. Corner Jeffrey Okudah is another who could have a hall of fame type career. Okudah is a shutdown corner. He won’t last past pick 5. Another player getting limited discussion as a first round pick is running back J.K. Dobbins.

Oklahoma
O 2 -150
U 2 +120

The two definite Round 1 picks per most draft analysts are wide receiver CeeDee Lamb and linebacker Kenneth Murray. No other Oklahoma player has received much attention for going in the first round.

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NFL Draft Position Over-Under Odds By Player

NFL Draft Position Over-Under Odds By Player

The 2020 NFL Draft is days away and keep reading for my analysis on the what position each of the top players will be drafted at.

NFL Draft Position Over-Under Odds

EDGE Chase Young: 2½
O +650
U -1175

Washington coach Ron Rivera loves defensive players (a la Luke Kuechly in Carolina) like Young. With Dwayne Haskins and Kyle Allen under center, it is impossible D.C. picks anyone else.

QB Tua Tagovailoa: 3½
O -260
U +200

The first team that wants a quarterback after the Bengals are the Miami Dolphins. The Dolphins have pick 5.

QB Justin Herbert: 5½
O -150
U +120

Philip Rivers bolted to Indianapolis. The L.A. Chargers could do worse than to grab Herbert with pick 6.

CB Jeff Okudah: 4½
O +100
U -130

The Detroit Lions, who pick third, need help at cornerback. Okudah is a shutdown corner.

LB Isaiah Simmons: 7½
O +260
U -350

The Giants’ defense is awful. They pick fourth. Simmons can rush passers, stuff the run, or backpedal into coverage because he’s a converted safety.

DL Derrick Brown: 8½
O +130
U -160

Carolina, with the seventh pick, are a good fit for Brown. The Panthers need run stopping help now that Luke Kuechly retired.

OL Mekhi Becton: 8½
O -140
U +110

The league flagged Becton’s drug test at the NFL Combine. That might affect what Jacksonville does with pick 9. The Jags could use Becton’s athleticism, though. That might trump the failed drug test.

OL Andrew Thomas: 10½
O -160
U +130

Thomas might be the perfect fit for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Bucs have pick 14 and must protect Tom Brady.

OL Jedrick Wills: 8½
O +110
U -140

Arizona will consider Wills at 8. Jedrick can play multiple positions along the offensive line. Protecting QB Kyler Murray is a priority.

WR Jerry Jeudy: 11½
O -145
U +115

Oakland, picking twelfth, must find a capable wide receiver for Derek Carr to throw too. Jeudy runs routes better than any WR in the draft.

WR CeeDee Lamb: 12½
O +115
U -145

NYJ has pick 11. Although the Jets need a lot of pieces, the priority is to grab a wide receiver for QB Sam Darnold.

QB Jordan Love: 19½
O -140
U +110

New England must find a quarterback. The Patriots first Round 1 pick is 23. Love has the right intangibles to be a star in the NFL.

DL Javon Kinlaw: 15½
O +170
U -215

San Francisco DL DeForest Buckner went to the Indianapolis Colts. The 49ers could draft Kinlaw 13 to replace Buckner.

WR Henry Ruggs III: 13½
O -105
U -125

Ruggs III is a good fit for Denver at pick 15. Henry ran his 40 in 4.27. The Broncos have a legit WR1 in Courtland Sutton. Ruggs could be the speedy WR2.

CB CJ Henderson: 16½
O +215
U -275

Dallas needs a cornerback. They’ve got the pick 17. Henderson offers value at Dallas’ point in the draft.

EDGE Klavon Chaisson: 16½
O -145
U +115

Atlanta, picking 16, is a good fit. The Falcons signed Dante Fowler. But Vic Beasley is gone and the ATL was the worst team in the NFL at sacking quarterbacks last season.

LB Kenneth Murray: 19½
O -300
U +240

At pick 21, the Philadelphia Eagles will look for linebacker help unless one of the top 3 wide receivers are on the board. Murray fits at 21.

WR Justin Jefferson: 21½
O +100
U -130

Minnesota traded Stefon Diggs to Buffalo. The Vikings pick 22. They should grab Jefferson.

CB Kristian Fulton: 24½
O -125
U -105

The Raiders have 2 first round picks, 12 and 19. They need a WR and a CB. They can address the corner issue by grabbing Fulton at 19.

OL Josh Jones: 25½
O -135
U +105

Green Bay is always looking out for the offensive line. The Packers pick 30. There’s a chance Jones is around at 30.

LB Patrick Queen: 25½
O +105
U -135

Queen is undersized. The Saints won’t mind, though. 3 of New Orleans linebackers are free agents after the 2020 season. The Saints drafting Queen at 24 makes sense.

S Xavier McKinney: 25½
O +145
U -175

Miami’s third pick is 26. If McKinney’s around, they’ll draft him.

EDGE Yetur Gross-Matos: 27½
O +140
U -170

Seattle picks 27. The Seahawks must rebuild their defense to contend. Gross-Matos is a good pick at 27.

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