2018 Tour de France Odds & Picks

2018 Tour de France Odds & Picks

The first stage of the 2018 Tour de France starts at Noirmoutier-en-l’Île on Saturday. Who will win the largest free sporting event in the world? Will it be heavy favorite Chris Froome? Is there a smarter bet you should make? Who is the long shot to win the Tour de France? Let’s check out the odds first.

Odds & Picks to Win the Tour de France

  • Chris Froome wins Tour de France +203
    Does not win -243
  • Richie Porter wins +420
    Does not win -535
  • Nairo Quintana wins +875
    Does not win -1333
  • Mikel Landa wins +975
    Does not win -1475
  • Vincenzo Nibali wins+1350
    Does not win -2300
  • Tom Dumoulin wins +1350
    Does not win -2300
  • Romain Bardet wins +1500
    Does not win -3000
  • Geraint Thomas wins +1700
    Does not win -3400
  • Jakob Fuglsang wins +1850
    Does not win -3700

Tour de France Odds-On Favorite: Christopher Froome +203

The great Chris Froome headed in to last year’s Tour de France as a serious favorite to win the General Classification. He didn’t disappoint. After Geraint Thomas won the first Group Stage by taking Stage 1 overall, Froome dominated from there on out.

He won Group Stage 5 through 11 and Group Stage 14 through 21. The only Group Stage he yielded after 1 through 4 was Group Stage 12-13.

He’s won the General Classification at the Tour de France 4 straight times:  2013, 2015, 2015, and 2017. Based on those stats, some might believe that Froome is an overlay at +203 to take the GC at the 2018 Tour de France.

But, it’s difficult to back Froome at such low odds. I’ll look elsewhere.

Tour de France Smart Pick: Nairo Quintana +875

Quintana is one of the very best climbing riders in the world. He has been for some time, now. Nairo won the Tour of the Basque Country in 2013. He’s won the Tirreno-Adriatico twice, in 2015 and 2017. In 2016, Quintana won both the Volta a Catalunya and the Tour de Romandie.

If Nairo could put together his excellent climbing rides with a few other great rides during the 2018 Tour de France, he’ll have a shot at the General Classification. I’m not the only one who believes that because outside of Froome and Richie Porte, Quintana offers the lowest odds to win the 2018 Tour de France General Classification.

Tour de France Longshot Pick: Vincenzo Nibali +1350

Vincenzo Nibali has something that most riders at the 2018 Tour de France doesn’t, a General Classification yellow jersey victory. It happened in 2014. Most will say that the only reason Nibali won in 2014 was because Froome crashed out of the race.

Maybe, that’s the case. Still, his odds are awfully nice for a past winner who’s in the prime of his cycling career. Nibali’s worth a look at decent odds.

2017 Tour de France Odds & Picks

2017 Tour de France Odds & Picks

With the 2017 Tour de France getting underway on Saturday, July 1, bicyclists and bicycle betting enthusiasts will be in all their glory.

Better yet, you’re going to have a great chance to cash in with a potentially winning wager thanks to my expert betting breakdown on four riders that could find themselves standing in the winner’s circle following the conclusion of the world’s biggest and most coveted bicycle race.

Tour de France Odds & Picks

Running from Saturday July 1st to Sunday July 23rd, the 104th Tour de France is be made up of 21 stages and will cover a total distance of 3,540 kilometers.

Odds To Win Tour De France
RIDER ODDS
Chris Froome 5-6
Richie Porte 7-2
Nairo Quintana 8-1
Alberto Contador 9-1
Romain Bardet 15-1
Alejandro Valverde 15-1
Adam Yates 25-1
Johan Esteban Chaves 25-1
Fabio Aru 40-1
Simon Yates 40-1
Vincenzo Nibali 50-1
Tom Dumoulin 60-1
Ilnur Zakarin 60-1
Thibaut Pinot 80-1
Rafal Majka 100-1
Louis Meintjes 100-1
Miguel Angel Lopez 100-1
Bauke Mollema 125-1
Julian Alaphilippe 125-1
Jakob Fuglsang 150-1
Daniel Martin 150-1

What: Tour de France 2017
When: July 1-July 23, 2017
Start Time: 6 AM ET  
Where: Düsseldorf to Paris
Watch: NBC
Stream: NBC Sports Live

The Las Vegas Oddsmakers’ Pick To Win The Tour de France: Chris Froome 6/4

Froome has won each of the last two Tour de France races and three of four overall. However, the 2017 edition is expected to be Froome’s most challenging Le Tour appearance since becoming the leader of the UK’s Team Sky. The 32-year-old Froome is winless on the year and finished fourth in the Criterium du Dauphine where his climbing skills looked rusty at best. Froome is the favorite, but he’ll be challenged this year more than ever.

The Smart Pick To Win: Richie Porte 2/1

For me, Richie Porte is the smart pick to win the 2017 Tour de France seeing as how the Tasmianian won the Tour Down Under in January and Tour de Romandie in April while finishing second at the Criterium du Dauphine after getting caught by Denmark’s Jakob Fuglsang late.

Reports say that the 32-year-old Porte has generally looked like the best climber in the world this year and his confidence has to be very high right now. If Porte’s BMC Racing teammates really show up to give him the support he needs, there’s no doubt that Porte could beat Froome to claim his first Tour de France crown.

The Value Pick To Win The Tour de France: Alberto Contador 18/1

34-year-old veteran Alberto Contador won the Tour de France in 2007 and 2009 and enters the 2017 edition in fantastic form after finishing second in Paris-Nice, second in Vuelta a Andalucia, second at the Volta a Catalunya and second at the Tour of the Basque Country. Contador is with a new team this season (Trek-Segafredo) and is surrounded with several talented teammates that include a pair of top 20 finishers in Bauke Mollema and Jarlinson Pantano. While he’s no longer the favorite or even the second fave, Contador is offering great value as an 18/1 pick, especially seeing how well he’s ridden this year.

The Longshot Pick: Marcel Kittel 1000/1

29-year-old German, Marcel Kittel is arguably the best racer in the world today and he won the Dubai Tour back in late January. While Kittel has been inconsistent at best since then, he does have five stage wins at five different races this year and that means he should at least have a shot of pulling off the huge upset. Besides, at 1000/1 odds if Kittel does pull off the ‘miracle’ win, the return you’re getting on this longshot is mind-boggling.

2016 Tour de France Odds

2016 Tour de France Odds

The Tour de France begins on Saturday, July 2 and finishes, 21 Stages later, on Sunday July 24. 

Teams will compete for their shot at an increased prize fund of €2,295,850 (£1.9 million) and the winner pocketing a cool €500,000 (£415,000), the largest tour prize to date.

Stage One begins at Mont Saint Michel and ends in Utah Beach. 

The race then heads to the south of France, into Spain and Andorra, east into Switzerland briefly, and returns north to finish on the Champs Elysee in Paris.

Tour de France outright winner odds

  • Chris Froome: 6/4
  • Nairo Quintana: 2/1
  • Alberto Contador: 9/2
  • Richie Porte: 16/1
  • Fabio Aru: 20/1
  • Thibaut Pinot: 22/1
  • Tejay Van Garderen: 33/1
  • Vincenzo Nibali: 33/1
  • Geraint Thomas: 66/1
  • Romain Bardet: 66/1
  • Alejandro Valverde: 80/1
  • Mikel Landa: 100/1