The best golfers in the world head to Baltusrol Golf Club in Springfield, New Jersey, this week for the final Major of the year, the PGA Championship. When the golf betting odds first came out, Dustin Johnson was a favorite along with Jason Day and Rory McIlroy at 8/1. Since that time, Johnson’s odds have drifted up to 9/1. Are Day and McIlroy good choices at 8/1 odds? Who’s the smart play to win the PGA Championship? Is there a longshot worth golf bettors’ time?
A Closer Look At My 2016 PGA Championship Expert Betting Picks
What: PGA Championship
When: Thursday, July 28th – Sunday, July 31st, 2016
Where: Springfield, New Jersey
Course: Baltusrol Golf Club-Lower Course
The Favorite Bet To Win The PGA Championship: Jason Day/Rory McIlroy – 8/1
Day has what it takes to win a second straight PGA Championship. He didn’t hit the ball particularly well at The Open Championship at Royal Troon. In that major, Day shot a 285, +1. At the RBC Canadian Open this past weekend, Day finished in 30th place with a -3. But, Day has pointed towards the PGA Championship all season long. The real problem with betting on Day is taking the 8/1 odds. The odds are too low on Day to perform a repeat.
If the 8/1 odds are low on Day to win the 2016 PGA Championship, they’re ultra-low on Rory McIlroy to win the 2016 PGA Championship. McIlroy was great in The Open Championship at Royal Troon. But Rory is used to playing on a links course. Baltusrol isn’t comparable to Royal Troon. McIlroy missed the cut at the U.S. Open. He shot a 1 over in the Masters. My gut tells me that Rory is someone to shy away from backing to win the PGA Championship.
The Smart Bet To Win The PGA Championship: Phil Mickelson 20/1
The last time that Baltusrol held a major tournament, Mickelson won. Phil shot a 276, -4 in the 2005 PGA Championship to take home the trophy. He was exceptional that day. Could history repeat itself? Why not? Mickelson was fantastic at Royal Troon. He played too well to lose. He missed the cut at the U.S. Open, but Baltusrol is a golf course that he likes. I think that Mickelson comes up big at 20 to 1 odds.
The Longshot Bet To Win The PGA Championship: Patrick Reed 40/1
Like Mickelson and McIlroy, 25-year-old Patrick Reed missed the cut at the U.S. Open. He also shot a 12 over at the Masters. But, Reed has shown signs of being competitive this year. He finished 2nd at the Valero Texas Open. He finished 12th at The Open Championship at Royal Troon. He’s made 2 cuts from 3 major tournaments so far this year. Plus, golf bettors are getting 40 to 1 odds on him.