One of the easiest 2014 Kentucky Derby betting tips to hand out this year is to back California Chrome, the odds on favorite to win at Churchill Downs. The price on California Chrome opened at +300 but has since fallen to +225. By the time Saturday rolls around, I wouldn’t be surprised to see the number on this horse fall to +150. That’s how much of a “lock” he seems to be in the eyes of everyone involved.
The chestnut colt is riding a brilliant four race winning streak, which included a breathtaking win at the Santa Anita Derby against an elite field that included Hopportunity, who is the third favorite at the 204 Kentucky Derby betting table, and finished second that day. California Chrome won that race by five seemingly easy lengths, cementing his place as the lead horse of the season.
California Chrome deserves all this praise, but as we saw last season, almost anything can happen. Wicked Strong is chiming in as an intense emotional favorite and hails from New England, which is essentially the breeding ground of champions in other sports (Patriots, Bruins, Red Sox, Celtics). That’s not one of my actual 2014 Kentucky Derby betting tips, but Wicked Strong deserves a look. Orb, who won this event last year, boasted 5-to-1 odds as well so the second favorite is always worth a look.
|1||Vicar’s In Trouble||Rosie Napravnik||Mike Maker||25-1|
|2||Harry’s Holiday||Corey Lanerie||Mike Maker||50-1|
|3||Uncle Sigh||Irad Ortiz Jr.||Gary Contessa||35-1|
|4||Danza||Joe Bravo||Todd Pletcher||8-1|
|5||California Chrome||Victor Espinoza||Art Sherman||21-10|
|6||Samraat||Jose Ortiz||Rick Violette Jr.||16-1|
|7||We Miss Artie||Javier Castellano||Todd Pletcher||33-1|
|8||General A Rod||Joel Rosario||Mike Maker||18-1|
|9||Vinceremos||Joe Rocco Jr.||Todd Pletcher||50-1|
|10||Wildcat Red||Luis Saez||Jose Garoffalo||18-1|
|11||Dance With Fate||Corey Nakatani||Peter Eurton||14-1|
|12||Chitu||Martin Garcia||Bob Baffert||22-1|
|13||Medal Count||Robby Albarado||Dale Romans||22-1|
|14||Tapiture||Ricardo Santana Jr.||Steve Asmussen||20-1|
|15||Intense Holiday||John Velazquez||Todd Pletcher||12-1|
|16||Commanding Curve||Shaun Bridgmohan||Dallas Stewart||33-1|
|17||Candy Boy||Gary Stevens||John Sadler||18-1|
|18||Ride on Curlin||Calvin Borel||William G. Gowan||18-1|
|19||Wicked Strong||Rajiv Maragh||James A. Jerkens||8-1|
|SCRATCHED||Pablo Del Monte|
One of my favorite 2014 Kentucky Derby Betting tips is also the most logical: spread your money around. Take a favorite like Wicked Strong or California Chrome, throw a soft play at a mid-play and then throw some spare change at a colt with a hilarious name. For my money, Danza at +1000 and Vicars In Trouble at +4200 are catching my attention because of recent wins and favorable odds.
Sometimes the best horse on the board pays out, but more often than not, it’s a horse that nobody considers that sometimes shocks the field. I think California Chrome is the horse to beat, but we’ve said that before. You should have him in there as your steady play, but if you really want to swing for the fences when wagering on the odds to win, follow my 2014 Kentucky Derby betting tips and throw a chipshot at a longshot like Danza or Vicars In Trouble.