2014 Kentucky Derby Longshot Betting PicksJosh Bailey
Who doesn’t love cashing in on a longshot race horse with long odds – and a huge return?
No one, that’s who!
Everyone loves to strike pay dirt on a longshot horse that no one picks. Having said that, there is nothing more exciting – or profitable – than cashing in on a horse that could boost your annual racing bankroll more than you could have ever imagined.
|1||Vicar’s In Trouble||Rosie Napravnik||Mike Maker||25-1|
|2||Harry’s Holiday||Corey Lanerie||Mike Maker||50-1|
|3||Uncle Sigh||Irad Ortiz Jr.||Gary Contessa||35-1|
|4||Danza||Joe Bravo||Todd Pletcher||8-1|
|5||California Chrome||Victor Espinoza||Art Sherman||21-10|
|6||Samraat||Jose Ortiz||Rick Violette Jr.||16-1|
|7||We Miss Artie||Javier Castellano||Todd Pletcher||33-1|
|8||General A Rod||Joel Rosario||Mike Maker||18-1|
|9||Vinceremos||Joe Rocco Jr.||Todd Pletcher||50-1|
|10||Wildcat Red||Luis Saez||Jose Garoffalo||18-1|
|11||Dance With Fate||Corey Nakatani||Peter Eurton||14-1|
|12||Chitu||Martin Garcia||Bob Baffert||22-1|
|13||Medal Count||Robby Albarado||Dale Romans||22-1|
|14||Tapiture||Ricardo Santana Jr.||Steve Asmussen||20-1|
|15||Intense Holiday||John Velazquez||Todd Pletcher||12-1|
|16||Commanding Curve||Shaun Bridgmohan||Dallas Stewart||33-1|
|17||Candy Boy||Gary Stevens||John Sadler||18-1|
|18||Ride on Curlin||Calvin Borel||William G. Gowan||18-1|
|19||Wicked Strong||Rajiv Maragh||James A. Jerkens||8-1|
|SCRATCHED||Pablo Del Monte|
Now, with thoughts of striking it rich floating around in your head, this fun-filled, but informative betting breakdown on the top longshots to win this weekend’s 140th running of the Kentucky Derby will help you narrow your choices on just which longshot thoroughbreds you’re going to place your betting bucks on.
2014 Kentucky Derby Longshot Betting Picks
Bet On Danza at 10/1 As A 2014 Kentucky Derby Longshot
My No. 1 longshot horse I think horse racing gamblers should bet on is going to be Danza, winner of the Arkansas Derby three weeks ago on April 12 at stunning odds of 41/1 no less. Yes I know Danza isn’t really an ‘overreaching’ kind of longshot as he currently sits in the No. 5 favorite position, but this horse could very well win it all over the horses favored over him.
Samraat is a 15/1 Longshot To Win The Kentucky Derby
This three year old went undefeated as a two year old in three races a year ago and outran Uncle Sigh down the stretch in a thriller on March 1, to bring home the bacon in the Gotham Stakes.
“This is a real horse now,” trainer Rick Violette said following that performance. “We knew he had a shot to be a real horse after the Withers; he proved he is a real horse today.”
Uncle Sigh Is A Really Big Longshot at 30-1 At The 2014 Kentucky Derby
Uncle Sigh has had three straight second place finishes over his last three races but as the speed influence of Indian Charlie, he could be just about due to end up in the winner’s circle. Uncle Sigh is trained by Gary Contessa and expected to be ridden by veteran Irad Ortiz Jr.
Vicar’s in Trouble Is A 30-1 Kentucky Derby Longshot Running At The Post Postion
Vicar’s in trouble will enter the Derby as the No. 2 ranked horse in total points during the Kentucky Derby prep race season. This thoroughbred finished first in the Grade II Louisiana Derby just this past weekend on March 29, after finishing third at Risen Star on Feb. 22. Just prior to that, Vicar’s in trouble won at Lecomte on Jan. 18. Long odds or not, I fully expect this horse to challenge for the outright win.
Ride On Curlin Is 15-1 And Will Need A Miracle
This three year old has competed in each of the last three months, finishing third twice and second, the last time out at the Arkansas Derby on April 12. A top three or four finish is certainly not out of the question, though I’m not expecting an outright first place finish.
Tapiture Is Also At 15-1
Tapiture, who won the Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes at Churchill Downs back in November, was looking like one of the top contenders to win the 2014 Kentucky Derby – until finishing fourth at the Arkansas Derby earlier this month. Still, the odds this horse is offering may be too tempting to pass up, particularly seeing as how Tapiture won two of his previous three races from November of last year to March.
Wildcat Red is 15-1
Last but not least, I like Wildcat Red, a three-year old that won the Fountain of Youth at Gulfstream on Feb. 22 before finishing second at the Florida Derby just over a month later.
A History of Longshots at The Kentucky Derby
Last year Orb cashed in as a solid 5/1 favorite – over a horse that not many expected to even finish in the top three. Second place finisher Golden Soul gave bettors with the foresight to predict his finish, a huge, 34/1 payout.
Two years ago I’ll Have Another ran down the favored Bodemeister late to cash in as a bankroll-boosting 15/1 longshot to form an exacta that paid a fantastic $306. With 8/1 favorite Dullahan finishing third, the trifecta paid a beautiful $3,065.