Pablo del Monte Amongst 2014 Preakness Stakes Longshots

2014 Preakness Stakes Morning Line Odds Analysis

One of the most common mistakes I see in horse racing is the fact that many novices –believe that the 2014 Preakness Stakes morning line is the racetrack oddsmakers’ own odds prediction on how the event will turn out.

Preakness Stakes
The 2014 Preakness Stakes will good underway Saturday, May 17th.
Starts: 05/17/2014 1:00PM
Pimlico Raceway, 5201 Park Heights Ave.

2014 Preakness Stakes Morning Line Odds ordered by post position.

  1. Dynamic Impact, 12-1
  2. General A Rod, 15-1
  3. California Chrome, 3-5
  4. Ring Weekend, 20-1
  5. Bayern, 10-1
  6. Ria Antonia, 30-1
  7. Kid Cruz, 20-1
  8. Social Inclusion, 5-1
  9. Pablo Del Monte, 20-1
  10. Ride On Curlin, 10-1

You see, the morning line odds are actually the racetrack oddsmakers own prediction of how the public will bet the race. It is not….repeat…not…his own prediction, which a lot of people mistakenly assume.

Morning line odds are also often created by anyone from race track employees and public relations officials to local newspaper handicappers and can vary wildly depending on which track you’re wagering at.

In the case of the 2014 Preakness Stakes Morning Line Odds are just about perfect as one would expect with an elite event like one of the Triple Crown jewels, even if this year’s Preakness Stakes morning line oddsmaker is in his first year in his new position.

Veteran handicapper Keith Feustle took over morning line duties at Pimlico Race Course and Laurel Park when former Pimlico oddsmaker Frank Carulli retired following the 2013 spring meeting. Previously, Feustle was an oddsmaker at Colonial Downs since 2003 and an Equibase chart caller at the Maryland tracks since 1992.

Anyway, getting back to the matter at hand, I like the odds for the 2014 Preakness Stakes a lot and believe that each thoroughbred is slotted exactly where they should be based on their most recent results, starting with California Chrome.

Following California Chrome on the odds list is Social Inclusion and for good reason. In three starts this year, the lightning fast mount has won two races at Gulfstream to start the year before finishing third the last time out at Aqueduct in April.

Bayern is a10-1 favorite that is also expected to challenge California Chrome. This thoroughbred won each of its first two races at Santa Anita this year before finishing third at Oaklawn Park and second at Churchill Downs

General a Rod is a 15-1 favorite, but he may have been given a bit generous odds, seeing as how he came in 11th place at Churchill Downs’s Kentucky Derby earlier this month. The mount did finish first in two of his five previous starts while also finishing in the top three in each of the other three.

Another thoroughbred that should challenge California Chrome is Dynamic Impact. This thoroughbred has run a whopping six races this year and he’s crossed the finish line first in each of his last two races. So he’s clearly got some momentum going coming into the Preakness Stakes.