2014 Preakness Stakes Post Position Analysis

2014 Preakness Stakes Post Position Analysis

With Wednesday’s 2014 Preakness Stakes post position announcement taking place, the path toward making a winning bet on the second leg of annual Triple Crown just got a little bit easier. 

You see, while nothing in horse racing is ever a given, now that you know where each thoroughbred will be starting from, making a likely pay dirt striking wager could be as a simple as brushing up on your post position history.

Preakness Stakes
The 2014 Preakness Stakes will good underway Saturday, May 17th.
Starts: 05/17/2014 1:00PM
Pimlico Raceway, 5201 Park Heights Ave.

Preakness Stakes Post Positions & Morning Line Odds

  1. Dynamic Impact 12-1 
  2. General A Rod 15-1
  3. California Chrome 3-5
  4. Ring Weekend 20-1
  5. Bayern 10-1
  6. Ria Antonia 30-1
  7. Kid Cruz 20-1
  8. Social Inclusion 5-1
  9. Pablo Del Monte 20-1
  10.  Ride On Curlin 10-1

While 2014 Kentucky Derby winner California Chrome is the clear-cut favorite and is widely expected to win the 2014 Preakness as well, I should be noted, at least according to post position history, that Ria Antonia, the longest of all long shots at a whopping 30-1, stands the best chance of winning.

After looking back through the annals of Preakness Stakes history, I found a whopping 15 Preakness Stakes winners have started from the No. 6 post position, with two of those occurrences taking place over the last half-dozen years. Just last year, long shot mount Oxbow won from the No. 6 post despite huge 15/1 odds while Big Brown brought home the bacon in absolutely commanding fashion from the sixth post in 2008.

While expecting Ria Antonia to come through from the sixth post and pull off one of the biggest upsets in Preakness Stakes history may be a bit of a stretch (no pun intended) seeing as how history loves the No. 6 post, placing a wager on the dark horse may be a virtual requirement.

The next best post position according to history is the No. 4 position with 12 victories, making Ring Weekend, a 20-1 long shot, another horse at least worth betting a few bucks on.

Last but certainly not least, if you like California Chrome to blow away the field like a lot of people do (he’s a superstar) then you should know that the No. 2 and No. 3 post positions are the third best post positions in Preakness Stakes history with 11 wins apiece.

With California Chrome in the No. 3 post and longer shot, General a Rod in the No. 2 post position, clearly, history says the newly minted Kentucky Derby winner will have a great chance to bring home the bacon in the 139th running of the Preakness Stakes.

Over the last five Preakness Stakes races, the winning thoroughbred ran from the 5-9 post positions four times.

Since the start of the new millennium, only three horses have won the Preakness Stakes from a double-digit post position (Rachael Alexandra 2009, 13th post, Afleet Alex 2005, 12th post and Point Given in 2001 from the 11th post). Dating back to 1954, only two horses have ever won the Preakness Stakes from the No. 1 post position (Tabasco Cat, 1994 and Bally Ache in 1960).