2015 Breeders Cup Exacta PickJosh Bailey
The extraordinary pools on Breeders’ Cup Day almost always lead to huge exacta payouts. This is true even if favorites run one-two.
But, favorites don’t often run one-two on Breeders’ Cup Day. There is just too much talent in every race for that to happen. We’ve listed out our favorite exacta wager for Saturday’s Breeders’ Cup card. Keep reading to cash a massive ticket!
A Closer Look At My Winning Breeders Cup Exacta Pick
What: Breeders Cup
When: Saturday, October 31, 2015
Where: Lexington, Kentucky
Race Track: Keeneland Racecourse
Weather: 62° F | Light Rain
Stream: NBC Sports Live
Race 4-Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint
At 5 ½ furlongs on the turf, the BC Turf Sprint ends up as one of the fastest races on the card. Turf racing is different than dirt racing. Although speed almost always kills on the dirt, it doesn’t always kill on the turf. In this race, though, speed might be exactly what’s required to win it.
Key Horse: 1-Pure Sensation 6/1
This Christophe Clement trained gelded son of Zensational won a Grade 3 at 5 furlongs over the turf at Parx in his last. He has a ton of speed, almost as much as Lady Shipman, which might not be a bad thing for this race. Since he breaks from post-position 1, jockey John Velaszquez is likely to use that speed to at least get into position so that Pure Sensation can track Lady Shipman from either inside or right to that one’s outside. Pure Sensation can run a :43.94 half-mile, which should put him on a the pace with Lady Shipman from the outset. Clement is one of the best trainers in the world when it comes to horses running on the turf.
Put in Exacta with:
3-Undrafted 4/1 – Owned by former football great Wes Welker, Undrafted finished first in a Grade 1 Ascot two races ago. That gives him a big class edge in this. If Purse Sensation and Lady Shipman are too fast early, he’s likely to be the one that picks up the pieces. Excellent jockey Lanfranco Dettori comes over from Europe to ride.
5-Lady Shipman 5/2 – She is the speed of the speed, but more than likely jockey Irad Ortiz is going to try and rate her about a head behind Pure Sensation. Tactically, Pure Sensation has the edge since there’s no given that she’ll be able to pass that one in the stretch after her tough race in early October where she drifted out and got caught by Ageless. Still, she’s the most accomplished in this field after Undrafted and is a must use.
8-Something Extra 12/1 – Forget about his last race, which washed off the turf. Something Extra has enough speed to keep the two front-runners in his sights. Neither Ortiz aboard Lady Shipman nor Velasquez aboard Pure Sensation is going to go all out to the half-mile, meaning that Something Extra might be in a perfect position about a length behind at the top of the stretch. He could mow down both front-runners as they turn for home.
12-The Great War 12/1 – Trainer Wesley Ward is winning at 28% at the current Keeneland meet. He’s winning at 21% for the entire year. The Great War finished up well in the Grade 2 Nearctic at Woodbine in his last. He’s been training lights out at Keeneland and like Something Extra can stay close to the pace if need be in this.