2015 Breeders Cup Superfecta PickJosh Bailey
Some horseplayers believe that the superfecta is the hardest bet to hit in thoroughbred racing. Superfectas require picking the first four finishers in exact order in a single race. Click here for a complete 2015 Breeders Cup betting cheat sheet.
In the Breeders’ Cup, making superfecta wagers is extremely difficult because every horse in every Breeders Cup race has the ability to win. That’s what the Breeders’ Cup World Championship is. It’s a celebration of the best thoroughbred horses in the world. The best superfecta, one that won’t destroy your bankroll and appears hittable, takes place in the Breeders’ Cup Classic, the last and most important Breeders’ Cup race of the day.
A Closer Look At My 2015 Breeders Cup Superfecta Pick
What: Race 11 Breeders Cup Classic
When: Saturday, October 31, 2015
Start: 5:30 PM ET
Where: Lexington, Kentucky
Race Track: Keeneland Racecourse
Weather: 62° F | Light Rain
Stream: NBC Sports Live
The two favorites, Triple Crown winner American Pharoah and Pacific Classic winner Beholder, look virtually unbeatable in the Classic. One of those two horses should win. But, just in case, why not throw in a long shot like Smooth Roller? That horse could be a monster.
Win Slot Horses
4-American Pharoah 6/5 – The Triple Crown champ should be able to dictate the pace. He’s been training lights out at Santa Anita. Bob Baffert is confident and he may have even grown some since his last race, a second place finish in the Travers.
10-Beholder 3/1 – The Pacific Classic winner had a great work on Oct. 26 over the Keeneland dirt that should put to bed any notion that she won’t be able to run as well outside of California as she does in the Golden State. She doesn’t need the lead but can grab it if American Pharoah doesn’t want it.
7-Smooth Roller 15/1
This four your old gelding’s win in the Grade 1 Awesome Again at Santa Anita in late September was so much better than anything he had done in his previous 3 races that it’s hard to know what to make of it. If he really is that much better than he was before, he could win the Breeders’ Cup Classic. If not, oh well, at least American Pharoah and Beholder is also in the win slot.
Place Slot Horses
The Aidan O’Brien trained son of Galileo has dirt breeding on his dam’s side since Yoursothrilling was sired by the amazing Storm Cat. Gleneagles will run at 1 ¼ miles and on dirt for the first time in his career on Saturday. He was virtually unbeatable going a mile over the grass in Europe. He’s been close to the pace in almost all of his races. He should be in the second flight, along with Smooth Roller, behind American Pharoah and Beholder. He’s a must in the place slot because he could be awesome and it would be a shame to leave a 20 to 1 shot horse out of the place slot.
Show Slot Horses
The Jockey Club Gold Cup winner figures to put in a fantastic run to possibly get into the Top 3. He’s not likely to win since his best races have been at one turn over Belmont’s dirt. But, he’s definitely good enough to get into the show slot.
He was valiant in defeat when trying to run with American Pharoah in the Grade 1 Travers in late August. Then, in the Pennsylvania Derby, Frosted went back to tracking the pace setters before making a move around the far turn and running to the lead. He’s definitely improved from the Triple Crown races. If he’s improved off of his Pennsylvania Derby win, a third place finish could definitely be in order.
This talented four-year-old colt sired by Mineshaft is an absolute head case. When his head is right, like it was when he beat Tonalist in the Grade 2 Suburban, he’s awfully tough to beat. But, when his head isn’t right, like when Tonalist drubbed him by over 11 lengths in the Grade 1 Jockey Club Gold Cup in his last, Effinex can’t beat $50,000 claimers. You have to keep him in the show slot because you have no idea which Effinex is going to show up.
Fourth Place Slot
2-Keen Ice 12/1
The Travers winner is definitely moving in the right direction. His biggest problem in this is closing into what could be soft fractions. If that’s the case, forget about a Top 3 finish since Frosted, Effinex, Tonalist and Gleneagles are all going to be closer to American Pharoah and Beholder than he’ll be. But, leaving Keen Ice out of the fourth place slot is just plain foolish.
9-Honor Code 6/1
The Kelso Handicap run was just awful. More importantly, like Keen Ice, he’ll be beholden to the pace. If American Pharoah and Beholder decide to run one-two around the track, a fourth place finish is the most likely outcome for Honor Code. Use because he must be respected, but the Kelso Handicap implies that he’s over the top.
How to Bet My 2015 Breeders Cup Superfecta Pick
Your superfecta ticket for the Breeders’ Cup Classic, if you decide to play the one listed here, should look like this:
4,10,7 w/4,10,7,5 w/4,10,7,5,1,3,6 w/4,10,7,5,1,3,6,2,9
A $.50 cent superfecta will cost you $135