2015 Preakness Stakes Expert Pick

2015 Preakness Stakes Expert Pick

One leg of the famed Triple Crown is down bringing forth American Pharoah as the winner and now the 3-year old colt will try to take the 2015 Preakness Stakes.

If Bob Baffert trained American Pharoah is going to become the first Triple Crown winner since Affirmed in 1978 but he will have to do it by bucking Preakness betting trends. Specifically that only one of the last 54 Preakness winners have started from.

"I never like the 1 hole," trainer Bob Baffert, who has won the Preakness five times, said. "That’s the first time I’ve ever drawn the rail here. I’ve been so lucky. You don’t like to see it, but if he’s the best horse we’ll find out."

2015 Preakness Stakes Expert Pick

Event: 2015 Preakness Stakes
Date: May. 16, 2015 
Start Time: 6:18 PM ET 
Location: Pimlico Raceway, Baltimore, Maryland
TV Info: NBC
Stream: NBC Sports Live Extra

My $100 Preakness Stakes Bet

$20 to win on 8-Firing Line

$20 exacta box 1-American Pharoah/8-Firing Line

$8 exactas 1-American Pharoah over 3-Mr. Z, 4-Danzig Moon, 5-Tale of Verve, 6-Bhodisattva, 7-Divining Rod

2015 Preakness Stakes Best Bet

1-American Pharoah, 4/5

After drawing the rail, American Pharoah’s off odds might actually drift from the 4/5 morning line to somewhere around 6/5 or even 7/5. The rail is not the place to be in any route race unless you’re the lone speed. American Pharoah most definitely is not the lone speed. Jockey Victor Espinoza is going to have to try and make a trip for the son of Empire Maker from post-position 1.

What are the chances of Espinoza doing that successfully?  The chances probably aren’t as great as one would expect, but the Derby winner is so amazingly talented that odds of even money or greater makes him key horse for exactas in this race. There just isn’t another horse that can stand up to American Pharoah on his best day. This race is American Pharoah’s.

How to Make Money off of American Pharoah

The best way to make money off of American Pharoah is to put him in exactas and trifectas over some of the horses, and drop one of the favorites, either Dortmund or Firing Line. The guess here is that Mr. Z is going to really pressure Dortmund early on in the race. He’s probably the likeliest horse not to finish in the exacta or trifecta. By dropping the second choice in the race, the hope is that I’ll be able to put together a few tickets that make a profit beyond my $100 investment.

Firing Line is going off at a better morning line, 4/1, than Dortmund. Use Firing Line in an exacta with American Pharoah, and bet on Firing Line to win. Use American Pharoah in exactas and trifectas over a few other longshots in order to potentially cash big.

2015 Preakness Stakes Betting Odds

Post time: 6:18 p.m. Saturday at Pimlico Race Course in Baltimore. Purse: $1.5 million. Distance: 1 3/16 miles. TV: NBC. Radio: ESPN 680 in Louisville.

post position. horse (weight) jockey/trainer odds

1. American Pharoah (126) Espinoza/Baffert 4-5

2. Dortmund (126) Garcia/Baffert 7-2

3. Mr. Z (126) Nakatani/Lukas 20-1

4. Danzig Moon (126) Leparoux/Casse 15-1

5. Tale of Verve (126) Rosario/Stewart 30-1

6. Bodhisattva (126) McCarthy/Corrales 20-1

7. Divining Rod (126) Castellano/Delcaour 12-1

8. Firing Line (126) Stevens/Callaghan 4-1