2015 Preakness Stakes Free Picks

2015 Preakness Stakes Free Picks

American Pharoah is undefeated in his last five races as he heads into the 2015 Preakness Stakes with one jewel of the Triple Crown firmly in the 3-year old colt’s possession.

The Preakness Stakes field will have less than half of the frenzied Derby field from two weeks ago, down to a mere eight horses currently set to run on Saturday. Currently only two of them appear to be legitimate challengers to American Pharoah, and they are the two horses that finished in second and third at the Kentucky Derby.

Firing Line is going off at 4-1 with Dortmund (pictured) at 7-2 while American Pharoah is a 4-5 favorite to win.

A Closer Look At My 2015 Preakness Stakes Free Picks

Event: 2015 Preakness Stakes
Date: May. 16, 2015 
Start Time: 6:14 PM ET 
Location: Pimlico Raceway, Baltimore, Maryland
TV Info: NBC
Stream: NBC Sports Live Extra

2015 Preakness Stakes Free Pick:  2-Dortmund, 7/2

The horse that should win is American Pharoah, but the horse that I’m going to bet on to win is Dortmund. Why is that?  Horse racing isn’t really about picking the winner of the race. It’s about making the best possible bets under the circumstances. Besides, if my free pick to win is American Pharoah, won’t most of you feel just a bit cheated?  Everybody is picking American Pharoah to win the Preakness Stakes.

Dortmund has a chance to bounce back in a big way on Saturday. He could go gate-to-wire. If he doesn’t go gate-to-wire he figures to be no worse than third because the only other true speed horse in the race is Bodhisattva. It’s doubtful that Bodhisattva will be able to run past Dortmund.

Must Bet Horse For All Preakness Stakes Pick 3 and Pick 4:  7-Divining Rod, 12-1

The horse that you absolutely have to put into your Pick 3 and Pick 4 wagers is Divining Rod. If you’re just playing vertical wagers, exactas, trifectas, superfectas, etc., you might be able to get away with keying Dortmund or Firing Line. I wouldn’t key American Pharoah in anything, horizontal or vertical wagers.

Divining Rod has the best chance out of the longshots to beat one of the Top 3 horses:  American Pharoah, Firing Line and Dortmund. He could improve significantly off of the win in the Lexington Stakes. Divining Rod might get bet down to around 15 to 1. Even at those odds, he’s a must use in the Pick 3 and Pick 4 because horizontal bettors are likely to either only use the Top 3 or single American Pharoah in the wagering.

Top Preakness Stakes Longshot Free Pick:  5-Tale of Verve, 30-1

He’d have to run one of the greatest races in the history of thoroughbred racing in order to win, but this is horse racing, where crazy things happen all of the time. Tale of Verve broke his maiden at the 1 3/16 mile distance. That’s the same distance as the Preakness Stakes. There doesn’t appear to be much difference between Bodhisattva and Tale of Verve. Go with the horse that’s likely to offer better odds on race day if you really want to bet on a longshot.  

2015 Preakness Stakes Betting Odds

Post time: 6:18 p.m. Saturday at Pimlico Race Course in Baltimore. Purse: $1.5 million. Distance: 1 3/16 miles. TV: NBC. Radio: ESPN 680 in Louisville.

post position. horse (weight) jockey/trainer odds

1. American Pharoah (126) Espinoza/Baffert 4-5

2. Dortmund (126) Garcia/Baffert 7-2

3. Mr. Z (126) Nakatani/Lukas 20-1

4. Danzig Moon (126) Leparoux/Casse 15-1

5. Tale of Verve (126) Rosario/Stewart 30-1

6. Bodhisattva (126) McCarthy/Corrales 20-1

7. Divining Rod (126) Castellano/Delcaour 12-1

8. Firing Line (126) Stevens/Callaghan 4-1