2016 Belmont Stakes Superfecta Picks

Analyzing My 2016 Belmont Stakes Superfecta Picks

2016 Belmont Stakes Superfecta Picks

The post positions and betting odds are out for the June 11 Belmont Stakes. As to be expected, Kentucky Derby second place finisher and Preakness winner Exaggerator is the chalk at 9/5. Just like in the Preakness, I can’t put the chalk on top of my superfecta bet in the Belmont. To me, as good as Exaggerator is, it will be his 6th race of the year and his 3rd in 5 weeks. He’s going to start getting tired. See below for my superfecta betting picks for the 2016 Belmont Stakes.

Analyzing My 2016 Belmont Stakes Superfecta Picks

What: Belmont Stakes 2016
When: Saturday, June 11, 2016
Start Time: 5:45 PM ET  
Where: Elmont, N.Y.
Stadium: Belmont Park
Watch: NBC
Stream: NBC Sports Live Extra

Win:  2-Destin

Go back to Destin’s wins in the Sam F. Davis and the Tampa Bay Derby to get an idea of how talented Destin is. His breeding, sired by Giant’s Causeway, suggests that 1 ½ miles should be no issue for him. I also think that if the pace is slow, it’s only going to be Stradivari and Destin close enough to get past likely pace setter Gettysburg.

Place: 5-Stradivari, 11-Exaggerator

5-Stradivari – I do like how he ran in the Preakness. He finished 4th, but he pushed himself the whole way and was just a bit short.

11-Exaggerator 9/5 – The chalk could rock it again. But he’s not that much more talented than some of these. A lot of his success in the Preakness had to do with the muddy track. An afternoon thunderstorm is expected on Saturday. Will it do enough to help Exaggerator’s cause?

Show & Fourth: 1-Governor Malibu, 3-Cherry Wine, 4-Suddenbreakingnews, 5-Stradivari, 6-Destin,10-Lani, 11-Exaggerator

1-Governor Malibu 12/1 -He almost won the Peter Pan over a huge, odds on favorite by running up the rail. He knows Belmont.

3-Cherry Wine 8/1 – If the pace falls apart, which can happen in a 1 ½ mile race, Cherry Wine should have no trouble finishing third or fourth.

4-Suddenbreakingnews 10/1 – Suddenbreakingnews looked great in the Arkansas Derby. His run in the Kentucky Derby was good enough to give him a shot in the Belmont for a third or fourth place finish.

10-Lani 20/1 – Usually, if the Japanese didn’t think that they had a shot for a top 4 placing, they would have sent Lani home already. Nobody knows what may have happened if Lani had broken well in either or both the Derby and the Preakness.

$1 Superfecta Play

I’m going to key Destin over Stradivari and Exaggerator in a $1 superfecta. I’ll use 7 horses in both the third and fourth slots. See below for ticket construction.

2 w/5,11 w/1,3,4,5,6,10,11 w/1,3,4,5,6,10,11

Total = $60

Belmont Stakes Odds
Post/Horse Morning Line Odds
1. Governor Malibu 12-1
2. Destin 6-1
3. Cherry Wine 8-1
4. Suddenbreakingnews 10-1
5. Stradivari 5-1
6. Gettysburg 30-1
7. Seeking the Soul 30-1
8. Forever d’Oro 30-1
9. Trojan Nation 30-1
10. Lani 20-1
11. Exaggerator 9-5
12. Brody’s Cause 20-1
13. Creator 10-1