2016 Preakness Stakes Superfecta PicksJosh Bailey
The betting odds and post positions are is set for the Second Jewel of the Triple Crown, the Preakness Stakes. The race takes place this Saturday, May 21. Nyquist will enter the starting gate as the prohibitive favorite. His odds could drift down from his 3/5 morning line to possibly 1 to 2 or even worse.
When it comes to playing the superfecta, it makes no sense to key Nyquist on top. The field is much smaller than the field in the Kentucky Derby. The only way to make money on the super is to key a horse to beat Nyquist. See below for my Preakness Stakes superfecta play.
Analyzing My 2016 Preakness Stakes Superfecta Picks
What: 2016 Preakness Stakes
When: Saturday, May 21, 2016
Post Time: 6:19 PM ET
Where: Baltimore, MD
Stadium: Pimlico Race Course
Stream: NBC Sports Live
Win: 11-Stradivari 8/1
The Todd Pletcher trainee ended up with post-position 11. Although being on the outside may seem like a problem, Stradivari should have enough early speed in order to get into position. Jockey John Velasquez adds to the appeal. This guy’s prep for the Preakness Stakes, an allowance win at Keeneland on April 17, was stunning.
Place: 3-Nyquist, 2-Uncle Lino
3-Nyquist 3/5 – The Derby champ shouldn’t finish worse than second or third in this race. If you leave him off any tickets, you’re expecting something drastic to happen.
2-Uncle Lino 20/1 – I love how he’ll break from post-position 2 and quickly grab the lead. Uncle Lino could be the surprise horse on Saturday.
Show and Fourth: 3-Nyquist, 2-Uncle Lino, 7-Collected, 8-Laoban, 1-Cherry Wine, 5-Exaggerator, 6-Lani, 10-Fellowship
7-Collected 10/1 – Bob Baffert’s horse has the speed to keep the front runners within striking distance.
8-Laoban 30/1 – They took blinkers off, meaning that Laoban might relax more in the Preakness than he has in his previous races.
1-Cherry Wine 20/1 – If the pace is swift, Cherry Wine could jump up and into the super and possibly even the trifecta.
5-Exaggerator 3/1 – The runner-up in the Kentucky Derby is being given a lot of love. If it comes up muddy on Saturday, he becomes one of the favorites.
6-Lani 30/1 – He’s hard not to like on top but the UAE Derby that he won in March is at the Preakness distance of 1 3/16 miles.
10-Fellowship 30/1 – For some reason, he always finishes in the money. I’m not sure why but at 30/1, it’s hard to leave him off of the superfecta ticket.
$1 Superfecta Play
I’m going to key Stradivari on top of Nyquist and Uncle Lino in a $1 superfecta. I’ll use 8 horses in both the third and fourth slots. See below for ticket construction.
11 w/2,3 w/1,2,3,5,6,7,8,10 w/1,2,3,5,6,7,8,10
Total = $84
2016 Preakness Stakes Post Positions & Morning Line Odds
- Cherry Wine 20-1
- Uncle Lino 20-1
- Nyquist 3-5
- Awesome Speed 30-1
- Exaggerator 3-1
- Lani 30-1
- Collected 10-1
- Laoban 30-1
- Abiding Star 30-1
- Fellowship 30-1
- Stradivari 8-1