If you are a novice horse racing bettor, the Kentucky Derby is the perfect beginner’s race for your first bet. Not only is it the most famous horse race of the year, it usually boasts the largest field of the three Triple Crown races. The more runners in a race, the more profitable the winning bet can be. And winning is a great way to start your horse racing betting career. Happy hunting!
|Irish War Cry||7-1|
|Battle of Midway||20-1|
|Lookin at Lee||20-1|
|J Boys Echo||30-1|
|State of Honor||30-1|
|Fast and Accurate||80-1|
2017 Kentucky Derby Cash Winning Betting Tips
What: 2017 Kentucky Derby
When: May 6, 2117
Start Time: 6:34 PM ET
Where: Louisville, Kentucky
Stadium: Churchill Downs
Stream: NBC Sports Live
1. Physically look at each horse before you pick your Kentucky Derby winner
Make sure to look at the horses before you make a bet. You must see how they’re reacting to the 100,000+ people in attendance at Churchill Downs. Horses that appear excitable or washy, should be avoided.
Tiznow ran better when he got washy. But, Tiznow was a monster. Horses don’t often become monsters until their four-year-old season. Every horse running in the Kentucky Derby is a three-year-old. Don’t bet on excitable, wet, washed out equines.
Horse to consider: Irish War Cry
Horse to consider avoiding: Always Dreaming
2. Don’t just bet the horse, bet the jockey
In America, we don’t often give jockeys the respect they deserve. It’s because we’re used to smaller field where most jockeys just have to not make mistake to get into a fourth-place finish. But, the Kentucky Derby is going to have 20 horses in the field. Often, it’s a jockey’s race.
Position before the turn is the most important when it comes to the Kentucky Derby. If you’re hung out too wide around the first turn, you could be dead. You also want a horse with a jockey that has excellent timing, that knows exactly when to push the button.
Jockeys that have won the Kentucky Derby already have an advantage. Also, seasoned riders usually do better in the Derby than young riders.
Horse to consider: Gormley, Victor Espinoza, 3 Derby wins
Horse to consider avoiding: Patch, Tyler Gaffalione
3. Pay attention to Kentucky Derby favorites
The favorite has won the last 3 Kentucky Derbies. Those favorites, California Chrome, American Pharoah, and Nyquist, were solid favorites. A solid favorite is a horse that goes off at 3 to 1 or lower.
If no horse goes off at 3/1 or lower, there’s no true favorite in the Kentucky Derby. What you will want to then do is look for the winner from the group of horses going off at single-digit odds. I’ve listed those horses.
Horses to consider: Always Dreaming 5-1, Classic Empire 6-1, Irish War Cry 7-1
Horses to consider avoiding: All other entrants
4. Closers haven’t done as well in the Derby in recent years
In the past 3 years, stalkers and pressers have all won the Kentucky Derby. A lot of it may have to do with the pace of the Derby being much slower in recent years than it has been in the past. Orb, a closer, did win the Derby in 2013, but that Derby came up muddy and the pace was ridiculous.
Battalion Runner and Malagacy, 2 confirmed front-runners, have been declared from the Derby. What it means is that the pace almost assuredly won’t be nearly as swift as so many horseplayers believe it will be. Closers could be at a disadvantage.
Horses to consider: Irish War Cry, Always Dreaming, Gormley, Irap, Battle of Midway
Horses to consider avoiding: Hence, Sonneteer, McCraken, Lookin at Lee, Gunnevera, J Boys Echo, Girvin
5. Remember, the Kentucky Derby is just a horse race
What I mean by that is don’t change your handicapping just because it’s the Kentucky Derby. If you’ve handicapped horse races before and have won, stick to your program. Don’t start overthinking it just because it’s the Kentucky Derby. Remember that for every piece of valuable information you read or hear, you’re going to read or hear two pieces of information that’s meaningless.