2018 Kentucky Derby Expert PicksNoah Williams
The 2018 Kentucky Derby is days away. On race days, the main event isn’t the only big race on the card. There are a lot of other great races you can bet on. Use my Kentucky Derby expert picks to cash in.
My expert picks start in Race 6 where Finley’sluckycharm, American Gal, and Lewis Bay are all 7/2 on the morning line. Then, I look to Race 8 where Awesome Slew is the second choice at 5/2. The final race for my Kentucky Derby Expert Picks is Race 10 where Beach Patrol will try to prove he’s still one of the better turf runners in the U.S.
2018 Kentucky Derby Expert Picks
Race 6 – Grade 1 Humana Distaff
Like I wrote above, Finley’sluckycharm, American Gal, and Lewis Bay are all at 7/2 on the morning line. I’m going to build a ticket around the Todd Pletcher trained Ivy Bell. Ridden by Javier Castellano, Ivy Bell had been treading water before winning the Grade 2 Inside Information at Gulfstream Park in her last. That race was at 7 furlongs. She now has a 2 and 1 record from 3 races at 7 furlongs.
I can’t use all 3 chalks in the place slot in my trifecta. Lewis Bay is a must use. So is Finley’sluckycharm. That means American Gal won’t show up on my ticket until the show slot.
3-Ivy Bell w/1-Finley’sluckycharm, 5-Lewis Bay w/All
Race 8 – Grade 2 Churchill Downs Stakes
Awesome Slew is a deserving 5/2 second choice. He always fires. Plus, the field he faced in the Grade 1 Carter and the BC Dirt Mile are much, much better than this field. Still, I can’t use him on top. The reason why is because Limousine Liberal looks like a standout. The 4/1 morning line second choice should track right off 9/5 chalk Imperial Hint. Once the real running starts, Limousine Liberal figures to poke his head in front of Imperial Hint. If Imperial Hint implodes, Awesome Slew will pick up the pieces for second.
I’m not getting fancy. $6 exactas with Limousine Liberal over Imperial Hint and Awesome Slew. Reversing for $3.
7-Limousine Liberal w/3-Imperial Hint, 10-Awesome Slew
3-Imperial Hint, 10-Awesome Slew w/7-Limousine Liberal
Race 11 – Grade 1 Old Forrester Turf Classic
No matter how I cut it, I can’t look past Beach Patrol and Deauville. The two chalks should run 1-2 in the Olde Forrester Turf Classic on Kentucky Derby Day. Because I believe that Beach Patrol and Deauville will run 1-2, this a great race to bet the superfecta.
1-Deauville, 10-Beach Patrol w/1-Deauville, 10-Beach Patrol w/3-Kurilov, 7-Synchrony, 9-Yoshida w/All