2018 Kentucky Derby Jockey/Horse Power RankingsNoah Williams
The 2018 Kentucky Derby is this Saturday on May 5th. Are you undecided between 2, 3 or even 4 possible picks to bet on to win the 2018 Kentucky Derby? Then you need to look past the horse to the jockey. A top-teir jockey can win on a long shot. A rookie can falter on the betting favorite. Therefore I am ranking the jockey/horse duo so you can pick a Derby winner come race day!
Kentucky Derby Jockey/Horse Power Rankings
- Ryan Moore, Mendelssohn +525 – Moore is the regular rider for Irish trainer Aidan O’Brien. Think Tom Brady/Bill Belichick. That means he’s won practically every major stakes race in Europe. Churchill Downs won’t intimidate Moore. Plus, he’s on the best horse.
- Luis Saez, Magnum Moon +750 – No rider in North America has had as good of year, so far, as Luis Saez. Saez is good enough to boost your horse to 2 to 3 lengths.
- Victor Espinoza, Bolt d’Oro +850 – American Pharoah’s jockey just understands how to get horses to run their best in the Kentucky Derby. Victor’s won the Derby 3 times.
- Javier Castellano, Audible +600 – Castellano picks up the call on Audible after Johnny V. decided to go with Vino Rosso. Javier’s a mainstay for the Eclipse Award for Outstanding Jockey.
- Johnny Velasquez, Vino Rosso +1350 – The great Johnny V. has decided to stick with the Wood Memorial winner. He’ll have Vino Rosso in a position for the win on Saturday.
- Mike Smith, Justify +365 – Smith is on the favorite. I know he’s a great jockey. He hasn’t always ridden his best on Derby Day, though. That’s why he’s sixth on my power rankings.
- Irad Ortiz, Hofburg +1500 – The Ortiz brothers show up seventh and eighth on my list. I like Hofburg a bit more than Good Magic. That’s why Irad’s ahead of Jose.
- Jose Ortiz, Good Magic +825 – Read what I wrote about Irad. If the real Good Magic shows up, Jose could get him into the money on May 5.
- Jose Lezcano, Flameaway +4500 – Lezcano is an underrated rider. He can do more with less than most jockeys.
- Kent Desormeaux, My Boy Jack +2000 – Desormeaux has a couple of Kentucky Derby wins on his resume. He’ll make the right move. His horse might not be good enough, though.
- Florent Geroux, Noble Indy +3000 – Florent Geroux rides at the Fairgrounds. He’s got some experience racing over Churchill’s dirt.
- Junior Alvarado, Enticed +2500 – He rode lights out at the Aqueduct meet at New York. But, Junior’s got a tough road to get Enticed into the Top 4.
- Flavien Prat, Solomini +2350 – Prat’s been fantastic the past few years at both Del Mar and Santa Anita. That’s why he jumps aboard Solomini.
- James Graham, Lone Sailor +5000 – Graham knows Churchill’s dirt better than most any other jockey on this list. If he were on a real contender, he’d be ranked higher.
- Paco Lopez, Firenze Fire +10000 – Paco’s one of the best speed riders in the game. When Paco’s on a speed horse, forget it. You either go with Paco, or you don’t. Too bad Firenze Fire isn’t a speed horse.
- Drayden Van Dyke, Instilled Regard +6000 – He’s facing the most pressure he’s ever faced as a jockey during his short career. Instilled Regard’s not a real contender, which means Drayden shows up in the bottom 5 on my rankings.
- Ricardo Santana, Combatant +7000 – Combatant doesn’t appear to have any shot. Santana can ride. The horse is the problem.
- Robby Albarado, Free Drop Billy +3500 – Free Drop Billy doesn’t have much of a shot. Not only that, but Albarado hasn’t been on top of his game in recent years.
- Corey Lanerie, Promises Fulfilled +5000 – He’s a good jockey. But, Corey’s dreaming if Promises Fulfilled can wire this group.
- Luis Contreras, Bravazo +6000 – Bravazo’s form has gone south big time. Contreras is a decent jockey. He’s done his best work riding for the Casse brother at Woodbine. Woodbine has an artificial track. There’s not a lot going for Contreras on Saturday.