Belmont Stakes Picks to NOT Win

Belmont Stakes Odds to NOT Win

Can’t decide on a Belmont Stakes winning horse to bet on? Keep reading for the odds and picks on horses that will NOT win the 2019 Belmont Stakes.

Odds & Picks Against Winning The Belmont

  • Joevia -10000
  • Everfast -2500
  • Master Fencer -1900
  • Tax -2150
  • Bourbon War -2750
  • Spinoff -1700
  • Sir Winston -4000
  • Intrepid Heart -1250
  • War of Will -335
  • Tacitus -210

Joevia – Joevia looked great winning the $100,000 Long Branch Stakes in his last race. Although he looked great, there’s a lot not to like about this Gregory Sacco trainee. First, his sire, Shanghai Bobby, produces more sprinters than distance horses. Joevia might not get the 1 ½ miles of the Belmont Stakes.

Second, the Long Branch is a non-graded stakes. The Belmont is a Grade 1, meaning this is a huge step up. Finally, Joevia could be stuck on the rail for most of this race. That means either jockey Jose Lezcano guns him to the front, takes him back, or tries to make out a trip with more quality horses in front of him.

Everfast – No doubt, the run he had in the Preakness Stakes to finish second to War of Will was impressive. However, we must question the quality of that field. The only other horse entered of note after War of Will was Improbable. Improbable was way too tired after the Kentucky Derby to have an impact on the Preakness.

There’s also Everfast’s past history. He finished second in the Grade 2 Holy Bull and then proceeded to get drubbed by double-digits in the Fountain of Youth, the Florida Derby, and the Pat Day Mile.

Master Fencer – He ran well in the Derby. It’s not often a more than 50/1 shot from Japan finishes sixth in the most popular race the United States. Master Fencer has quality, but there’s a difference between the Kentucky Derby and the Belmont Stakes.

The Derby is at 1 ¼ miles while the Belmont is at 1 ½ miles. It’s hard to know if he’ll get the distance. More importantly, horses must improve from the Derby on the first Saturday in May to the Belmont in the early part of June. If a horse doesn’t improve, it won’t have a shot in the Belmont. Master Fencer may or may not have improved. His past performances says he won’t enough to win on Saturday.

Bourbon War – The straight closer ran horribly in the Preakness Stakes. Why would he improve enough in three weeks to win the Belmont? He wouldn’t. Bourbon War, at least on paper, has less of chance of winning the Belmont than Joevia does.

War of Will – Making War of Will a pick to not win the Belmont Stakes isn’t popular. He looked great winning the Preakness. That was a bad field, though. Not only that, few horses can run well in 3 straight races at 3 different racetracks and at 3 different distances in the span of 5 weeks. War of Will could bounce in the Belmont. He’s tough to back at 2/1 odds.

The 2019 Belmont runs this Saturday, June 8th with an approximate post time of 6:48 PM ET. You can watch the Belmont on NBC and stream it via NBCSports.com.