Kentucky Derby Expert Picks

Breeders Cup Undercard Best Bets

The first Breeders Cup race at Keeneland this Saturday is Race 3. Before Race 3 are two excellent events that could help pad horseplayers’ bankrolls.

Race 1 at Keeneland on Saturday is The Perryville at 6 furlongs over the main track for $100,000. Race 2 is the 6 furlong Juvenile Dirt Sprint. Also run for a purse of $100,000, the Juvenile Dirt Sprint is for horses aged two-years-old. Keep reading for picks for both undercard races for this Saturday’s Breeders’ Cup!

2015 Breeders Cup Undercard Best Bets

What: Breeders Cup
When: Saturday, October 31, 2015
Where: Lexington, Kentucky
Race Track: Keeneland Racecourse
Weather: 62° F | Light Rain
Watch: NBC
Stream: NBC Sports Live

Race 1 – The Perryville Stakes

Horses running in The Perryville are high allowance, Grade 3 type equines that would have no shot in the Breeders’ Cup Sprint. There doesn’t appear to be a whole lot of pace but it’s been hard for horses to lead gate to wire at Keeneland in the past couple of weeks.

Win: 3-Lord Commander 4/1 – The Perryville will be Lord Commander’s fourth lifetime race. After breaking his maiden in February in his first lifetime race, Lord Commander failed in the Jimmy Winkfield to Majestic Affair. Trainer Todd Pletcher had the son of Giant’s Causeway run in an allowance race over the Keeneland dirt in early October. In that race, Lord Commander professionally sat a length behind the speed before taking over and running on for the victory. Jockey John Velasquez figures to employ the same tactics in this.

Place: 8-Bayerd 5/1 – Trained by Steve Asmussen, Bayerd has run fast enough races in order to win this. You have to like how Bayerd has the ability to track about 5 lengths off and still put in a decent run to the wire. If Keeneland’s race track is fair, this guy will have a huge shot on Saturday.

Show: 2-Lewy’s Vaporizer 3/1 – The speed of the speed might get an easy lead in this. Lewy’s Vaporizer is fast enough to clear. But, Velasquez aboard Lord Commander probably won’t let that happen. Since the two chalks break next door to each other, Lord Commander gets the nod. Lewy will take them as far as he can before packing it in and slowing down enough for Bayerd to catch him for second.

Race 2 – The Juvenile Dirt Sprint Stakes

There appears to be more early speed in this race than what’s in the Perryville. Two-year-olds can be difficult to handle at times. Although a lot of the jockeys in this race will try and strangle back their horses, it’s going to be difficult for many of those jockeys to do so.

Win: 5-Dan the Go to Man 5/1 – Trained by Eddie Kenneally and ridden by Corey Lanerie, Dan the Go to Man wore down heavily favored Whence in his last to break his maiden at 6 furlongs over the mud at Keeneland. His second race was much, much better than his first. Any more improvement could make Dan the Go to Man extremely difficult to keep from the winner’s circle in the Juvenile Dirt Sprint Stakes on Oct. 31. His style is perfectly suited for the Keeneland track while Lanerie has been riding well. Lanerie is winning at 22% at the current Keeneland meet.

Place: 2-Whence 6/1 – After losing to Dan the Go to Man, Whence came back and won a race at Keeneland in scintillating fashion. The Steve Asmussen trainee tracked the leaders in a 6 furlong maiden special weight race at Keeneland, took over, and then drew off for a nice 4.75 length victory. If he doesn’t get burned out near the lead, Whence might be able to hold off Dan the Go to Man in the stretch.

Show: 6-Banree 5/1 – Trainer Wesley Ward put this two-year-old filly into the Grade 1 Spinaway after watching her finish second in the Grade 3 Schuylerville. She lost in the Spinaway by 17 ½ lengths. Ward decided to put her into an allowance race at Keeneland that she subsequently won by over 3 lengths. That race should have given her confidence going into this battle on Saturday. Banree has a shot.